IDC Projects Windows Phone to Top iPhone in Market Share by 2015

[Amazing Iceman]

As RIM announced that the PlayBook will be able to run Android Apps, the competition will be very interesting.
Additional factors need to be considered.
Things like malware, adware, and so on for all these OS. As more and more people get mobile devices with these OS, depending on how all these players in the market protect their OS and devices against this type of security issues, the consumer will go for what works and do not need all the anti-virus *************.
Other rumors like carrier independence, if it flies, and Apple successfully bat a hit with this, the consumers will go where their money is worth every penny.
Making your own hardware has been a key for Apple success. Maybe RIm enjoyed some of it, but most of all the other OS are so fragmented in terms of hardware, that for them it is not easy to maintain, release, as it is difficult for any IT department to support them.
So the distinction between enterprise/business and regular customers will also show a different distribution of the market share.

The iPhone will get stronger. The rest would fall into the 'el cheapo' phone category. Not price related, but quality and performance.
And believe me, I've been strongly considering getting an Android phone on t-Mobile to maintain my unlimited plan with tethering, but so far, none of the phones I have seen do really catch my attention.

 

[mcmlxix]

Finder does not support Cut and Paste for files, and is unlikely to do so. Its a philosophical difference, and to bring that up as an example of Win7 superiority is silly, at best. Apple could easily implement it, but they choose not to. Its another one of those "One button Mouse" deals, where Apple is being obstinate.

But what then is Apple’s philosophy regarding cut & paste to move a file? Drag and drop should be used instead?

This would be valid if Finder had a collapsible hierarchy in the menu bar; but it doesn’t. Who wants to alias every folder on to the menu bar? This would be valid if dragging a file (or folder) in one Finder window scrolled easily up and down. It’s dodgy at best.

Should multipleFinder window should have to be open, even if they don’t snap together so you have to spend a lot of time resizing and moving windows?

As for 2 button mice, sure Apple doesn’t have one, but that’s disingenuous, because of all intents and purposes, 1-finger click/tap = left button and 2-finger click/tap = right button.

 

[blondepianist]

I always assumed, probably wrongly, that there was some file size limit or that it could affect performance when using it for large files (I mostly work with huge ProRes files.)

Just FYI...

File size wouldn't affect performance at all, as long as you're copying between locations on the same drive. The "file" that you see in the GUI is actually a link to a location on disk where your data is; all the OS has to move is the link, which is very tiny.

 

[PaulSorensen]

no one uses windows phones....and for a good reason too...it sucks, it sucks, oh and it sucks....

That's three good reasons

 

[LaDirection]

Bookmark this and pull it up in 4 years...

 

[FriarNurgle]

The only way that would happen would be for the phone to be GIVEN away at a price so LOW that nobody would refuse it. And it would have to include a data plan that costs practically nothing. And it would have to be contract free.

Oh, look! There is an ad below this for HTC Aria™ for just 1¢ - Free shipping - AT&T.

That's kind of where I was going... but businesses would switch from Blackberrys to Windows Phones. I wouldn't put it past MS to offer some sort of crazy business discount to get companies to change.

 

[AidenShaw]

Just FYI...

File size wouldn't affect performance at all, as long as you're copying between locations on the same drive. The "file" that you see in the GUI is actually a link to a location on disk where your data is; all the OS has to move is the link, which is very tiny.

That's correct for "moving" a file, but not for "copying" a file. A "copy" needs to be just that - I can edit the copy without changing the original. If the two directory entries are links to the same file, then a change to the "copy" would modify the "original" - which is cleary unacceptable.

Bookmark this and pull it up in 4 years...

Are you suggesting that an internationally respected technology analysis firm might have more of a clue than the fans on MacRumours?

 

[LondonCentral]

Someone needs to bookmark this thread so we can come back to it in 2015. If there's a new CEO (or group of CEO's) for Apple and Nokia/MS have a brilliant partnership, I don't see where the humor is. Four years is a hell of a long time for a new OS to mature.

 

[LondonCentral]

Are you suggesting that an internationally respected technology analysis firm might have more of a clue than the fans on MacRumours?

Fans of Macrumors should set up their own analysis think tank. They'll be the most respect voice in the industry and rake in millions.

Disclaimer; The above comment is intended for April 1st.

 

[LightSpeed1]

As far as windows phone market share passing iPhone ever - I'll believe that $#*% when I see it.

 

[TomaxXamot]

Just FYI...

File size wouldn't affect performance at all, as long as you're copying between locations on the same drive. The "file" that you see in the GUI is actually a link to a location on disk where your data is; all the OS has to move is the link, which is very tiny.

Thanks for clarifying that for me! I don't like doing things that I'm not sure about. As I said, my being unsure stemmed from windows that would sometimes come up in older versions of Photoshop, when closing, that mentioned clipboard sizes being too large. Or something along those lines. Again, thanks.

 

[/Moke]

Although SL does not have a stupid name like snap for being able to put windows side by side, we have been able to do it for years and it is one of my favorite features of OS, and what a concept allowing me to move a window where ever I want it and scroll through the page even if it is not active. All of you W7 humpers please try and "snap" two excel or word files next to each other. Oh that right you cant, because heaven forbid I would want to do that and work simultaneous on two MS office files.
Not sure why people are complaining about the Cut feature either, dragging works great and and so does Cmd+x;c;v, respectively.

Drag Left, Drag Right. Done.

 

[sterno74]

Symbian not going to turn into Windows

So the theory they seem to be positing here is that most of the former Symbian users are going to become Windows Mobile users. If you look at the market share figures they show Windows climbing to the 20.9% share that Symbian currently has and Symbian largely ceasing to exist.

The reality is that the OS of phones is becoming the key differentiator. You decide iPhone, Android, or Windows, and then from there you decide the specific hardware you want to run. Nobody is going to be looking for a Nokia phone specifically and then just taking whatever OS it runs.

So if you assume that Android, iOS and Windows are all equal competitors, then figure, at most, Windows is going to take 1/3rd of the market from former Symbian users. Those users will be looking at three OS's that are all completely different from Symbian, so there's no reason to believe they'd have any particular loyalty to the Windows mobile OS because of former Symbian use on a Nokia phone.

They seem to predict that, instead, about 75% of the Symbian users go to Windows mobile. I find that highly unlikely.

 

[Sodner]

April fools!

Next it's IDC predicts........

"The iPhone 5 will run the next iteration of the popular Android OS code named "Butter Ball" and is scheduled to be released this Friday. Long lines are expect as it's only carrier in the US will be Sprint."

 

[Jcoz]

Now read through the rest of the posts after that and discover that Finder does not support Cut and Paste.

Ok but didn't someone say that CMD + Drag does the same for files?

 

[/Moke]

No. Looser and looser = extra extra baggy!

LOL, I guess next time I try to insult people I should show my stupidity as mooch as that looser.

 

[marting]

Are you suggesting that an internationally respected technology analysis firm might have more of a clue than the fans on MacRumours?

I think he is. Too bad IDC isn't one of them.

 

[gkarris]

Oh boy, assume that all former Nokia Symbian users will automatically all buy Nokia Windows Mobile Phones - that's scientific...

 

[farmboy]

when closing an application in OS X is as easy as clicking an X in the top right corner let me know

even though iOS is a lot better than android some of the over simplicity is annoying on the iphone

My ⌘-Q beats your mouse up to X.

 

[AidenShaw]

I think he is. Too bad IDC isn't one of them.

Why, because IDC isn't like David Pogue and Walter Mossberg - simply republishing Apple's latest PR dementia?

 

[marting]

Someone needs to bookmark this thread so we can come back to it in 2015.

No we don't. We just go back to 6 months ago and see what they incorrectly predicted.

Predicted 2014 Market Share
Symbian: 32.9%
Blackberry: 17.3%
Android: 24.6%
iOS: 10.9%
Windows: 9.8%
Other: 4.5%

Today's guess:
Symbian: 0.2% (change: -32.7%)
Blackberry: 13.7% (change: -4%)
Android: 45.4% (change: +20%)
iOS: 15.3% (change: +5%)
Windows: 20.9% (change: +11%)
Other: 4.6%

Even accounting for the Symbian/Windows "merger", their predictions aren't even worth reading.

 

[Poally Dog]

Oh, boy, assume that all former Nokia Symbian users will automatically all buy Nokia Windows Mobile Phones - that's scientific...

all current symbian users go to win

no webOS factor (other than "other") ?

i have to believe that a couple of these platforms will surprise us

rooting for iOS

 

[gkarris]

all current symbian users go to win

no webOS factor (other than "other") ?

i have to believe that a couple of these platforms will surprise us

rooting for iOS

I had a few Nokia phones back in the day and they were all awesome.

A few Nokia users I know are going to either get an iPhone or Android phone. Most are upset that they went with Windows Mobile instead of Android.

Surprise, surprise...

 

[LOLaMac]

using the keyboard, how quaint

Far faster than using the mouse. Mac OS X is very good at providing keyboard shortcuts, far better than Windows, although that may have changed with Windows 7.

I don't even get the point of your snarky comment. You know damn well that the functions are also available via the menus and right mouse button too.

http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0092007/

 

[twlott]

Microsoft partnered with Nokia out of desperation. Not because there products are going to be any good.