I'll bet there's going to be a LOT of refurbs
note: But, maybe Apple will think they actually are defective?
I doubt that, but you never know.
curious
Of course not, I guess >95% of returned iPads by forum lurkers are not defective at all. Tests have shown that the new iPads are closer to a perfectly calibrated display than any other tablet screens out there. But people on here still seem to want blue colored whites, low contrast screens. Those are the ones which are defective, that's why it takes some people 15-20 swaps to get one of those blue-defective units.
So all these returned devices will be refurbs, of course. And if you buy a new, retail iPad in the coming weeks and decide to swap it, you are most likely to receive a refurbished iPad that someone has returned just recently. Congratulations, you just turned your brandnew, sparkly, pristine iPad into an old iPad that some germ-infected geek (don't we all, incl. me, fit this description?) has returned 2 weeks prior, well done.
I'd rather keep it pristine & awesome, but that's just me.