I disagree. This is the model I am buying, yet I'm fully submerged (to carry on the water theme) as I have bought about 20 apps already before even really getting to hold it. I just don't need a higher capacity that's all, I don't have a massive library and I am happy to sync if needs be. I would hardly describe paying £429 for a 1st gen device as 'dipping their toe', some people just don't need or want higher capacity or 3G. End semi-rant
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Thats why it will be the most popular model I think. Those dipping their toe in the water it's the cheapest route. Note I said cheapest and not cheap