morning all...
Okay, updating my predictions from yesterday,,,
I reckoned 7:30am for the 95mill mark, and that turned out to be about 2 hours early. Of course since we haven't had a full days stats yet, we can't work out what are the peaks and troughs of a normal Thursday/Friday in summer!
We are now at the slowest rate so far, not too surprising given that most of you transatlantic folk should be in bed, and in the UK the ipod itunes media types aren't known as early risers. But are we beginning to see a trend around the magic multiple of 100,000 mark. A lot of people won't have been reading these boards and might have guessed that one was going at the 95mil mark. And the rate did increase (see
http://ym.muda.org/kurt/apple/) massively at that time (up from 140 per min average to 470 per min).
So questions are:
Is 5:00EST generally the quiestest selling time?
How slow are the sales going to get when we get near to the BIG prize, (there'll be an "after you" mentality surely)?
And how widely is this being promoted? I notice it's on the music store front page now, but will they email folk about it, along with the new music tuesday's promo? (assuming the competition runs that long, it might well finish before then)
And what is the album on iTunes with the most number of tracks? That could well rise up the charts?
And, by the way, based on the limited stats so far, it looks like the UK, German and French sales were down in the second week.
(PS do you think they'll keep the ticker stats available after the promotion?, or does it give away too much info to "rivals"?)
Also, - possibly interesting stat: in the US you'd have to buy no more than 402 songs to make it worth your while winning the 20GB ipod, in the UK you'd have to buy no more than 378 songs to still be up on the deal (although you'd still own the music, it's not like lottery tickets), and in Germany and France, you'd be able to buy 453 songs and win (you'd be up net .50 cents or so!) before you'd spent the cost of the prize.
Actually, that means, on a iTMS song/ipod cost exchange ladder, the 20GB iPod is best value in the UK and worst in Euroland. Go figure.
x
(of course, I may well have got all this completely arse about face, but if any americans are still reading in the small hours of the morning, it's really gonna play with their sleep-deprived heads!)
rate's just reached it's lowest on record, 109 per min.