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I like the theory about RIMM and the new BBerry - here is another one:

Tax Stimulus Rebates

People have started getting them so Apple wants to capitalize on that while people still have the money. By the time June rolls around most of it will have been spent so it would make sense to release the phone early (if it is ready to launch) rather than wait for WWDC just to have a large announcement. All they have to do is call a press conference and announce it with someone holding a copy and using it - it will basically give them the same bang as WWDC would, maybe a little smaller but the hype around this thing is so large it wont matter.

My guess is launch next week - it makes smart business sense.

I like your idea better than mine. Planning this right around a tax relief is a great idea if Apple is indeed going to do this.

Bravo!

Alex

I don't think we're going to see OLED anytime soon. I owned an OLED based MP3 player and when I used outdoors, it was completely washed out. Those OLEDs are great indoors, and absolutely horrific outdoors. I certainly do not want an OLED screen. LCD is fine with me.

Alex
 
So where is the FCC in all of this? Especially if are speculating an early release of the 3G iPhone.
 
Fcc

Doesn't Apple need the ok from the FCC to start selling the iPhone 3G? No one has seen that FCC approval yet and that needs to come before the iPhone 3G can start to ship.

I think that's the way it works.
 
Apple most likely told the FCC that they wanted to keep the phone quiet until they make an announcement.

I just hope this iPhone is coming soon..
 
Maybe they will just announce it, allow you to order it because they are sure their FCC grant is about to become public and they wish to beat the FCC to it. That way, they still get press, and you know what you blow your tax relief on...

I could see it working this way. They drain the supply hoping to beat the FCC to the punch.

Makes sense.

Alex
 
Maybe they will just announce it, allow you to order it because they are sure their FCC grant is about to become public and they wish to beat the FCC to it. That way, they still get press, and you know what you blow your tax relief on...

I could see it working this way. They drain the supply hoping to beat the FCC to the punch.

Makes sense.

Alex


That's probably one of the smartest posts I've read in this thread, that makes perfect sense. However, isn't it possible for Apple to tell the FCC to hold off until they announce it?
 
Ok this is a total guess here but i just thought of it. When steve first introduced the app store he said "it will work over wi-fi and cell networks" he never said edge. And I am in the Apple Developer Program and have the beta which has the app store but when u try to open it over edge it says cannot connect. maybe you need the 3g to download and access app store.

Total Rambling here just came to my mind nobody freak out or anything

What I think will happen is apple will introduce a tv ad show it for a while so people know its coming
 
o2 store down

Just seen this while looking at the 02 online store,

Thanks for visiting the O2 Online Shop

Due to extremely high demand, we're unable to process orders online at present.

For details about the iPhone, please visit http://www.o2.co.uk/iphone.

To find out more about our latest deals please call
0844 800 2200
Or visit o2.co.uk to find out more about our products and services....


Not sure what this means but i have also noticed that here in the uk the iphone adverts have vanished of the tv, and today the demo models had gone form the carphone warehouse. So could it be happening or could it all be a big xfile.There is one thing for sure if the 3g iphone does come in the next week or two apple don't need to advertise these unavailable signs are building enough hype to same them allot of money. :)
 
Ok this is a total guess here but i just thought of it. When steve first introduced the app store he said "it will work over wi-fi and cell networks" he never said edge. And I am in the Apple Developer Program and have the beta which has the app store but when u try to open it over edge it says cannot connect. maybe you need the 3g to download and access app store.

Total Rambling here just came to my mind nobody freak out or anything

What I think will happen is apple will introduce a tv ad show it for a while so people know its coming

That makes sense to me. The iTunes store on the iPhone currently only works via WiFi. Perhaps it will work with 3G as well.

Alex

Just seen this while looking at the 02 online store,

Thanks for visiting the O2 Online Shop

Due to extremely high demand, we're unable to process orders online at present.

For details about the iPhone, please visit http://www.o2.co.uk/iphone.

To find out more about our latest deals please call
0844 800 2200
Or visit o2.co.uk to find out more about our products and services....


Not sure what this means but i have also noticed that here in the uk the iphone adverts have vanished of the tv, and today the demo models had gone form the carphone warehouse. So could it be happening or could it all be a big xfile.There is one thing for sure if the 3g iphone does come in the next week or two apple don't need to advertise these unavailable signs are building enough hype to same them allot of money. :)

It's working... We're all a buzz about it. All the major sites are now covering it. Hundreds of posts in the forum are now in discussion. It a perfect execution to a perfect plan and it costs them zippo.

Alex
 
Your Right everyone has created so much hype they r pretty much set on advertising
 
Tax Rebate

What about the tax rebate in the US, maybe Apple wants to sell a new model earlier than planned as people get some extra cash to spend.
 
And now back to Unavailable.
It doesn't occur to anyone that the tag the describes the availability of the product might be, you know... "computerised" in the sense that it calculates based on sales and supply line information? I mean this is the most obvious explanation, isn't it?

We already know that Apple is able to track all sales in all their retail locations and on the web live, right?

They are just keeping supply tight in the run-up to the new model as they don't want to be left with a bunch of unsell-able stock. The web widget is reflecting how tight their husbanding of the stock is and therefore (transient) availability.
 
Though the Disney comparison seemed good, what you don't recognize is that if someone wants to find the Little Mermaid, it's not like buying Mulan will suffice. The customer just has to wait for the Little Mermaid. However, when buying a phone, if you go for the iPhone and it's unavailable (and you don't know a new one is on its way) then you could look at a BlackBerry and buy that instead. I think that when you guys think about the money they may or may not lose, you have to take into account that not all consumers (actually few) are as patient as we are.

I really do like the idea that they would release the iPhone revisions earlier in order to get people more exited about the 2.0 software update. And to be honest, I can't see the stock being unavailable for an entire month without any kind of formal announcement of a new version. Sure, it would create more hype, but the normal customer isn't going to get hyped, they're going to start thinking about getting a BlackBerry or a Palm device. What would create even more hype would be an early announcement of an upcoming product, hype about the 2.0 software, then a big release. This way, the normal customer would know (through print advertising, internet ads, apple.com, TV commercials) and would wait for the new version rather than settling for a different phone. Now, Apple has a big release, more hype, and hasn't lost money...

I have seen anything on MacRumours but patient people ;)
 
I think they will come out with a larger capacity version next week and then maybe in a few months come out with 3g. Just my guess :)
 
With all this hype.... It seems like this has created the most ideal situation....
With the unavailability of the current model.... The demand will sky rocket.... creating an anticipation in the audience like what we had between the announcement of the Iphone and its release to the public.....

Most of the Iphone v1 sold in the return window would only be returned by the customers.... So in actual sense Apple would only be loosing half the slaes for the period betweem now and the WWDC announcement. The sales lost in these two weeks will be equivalent to the revenue spend on "free publicity" and the sky rocketting demand....

Apple is innovative not only because they know how to give us the best in technology but because they have mastered the art of presenting the products in the most lucrative package.... And this time around they seem to be reinventing there marketting strategy in MO.....
 
My guess is that Apple hoped to have enough supply to last until WWDC and missed its estimates. Since the next phone is slated to come with version 2 of the firmware (that is still being developed), the world must wait for iPhones until the next release or buy from a third party.

Could I interest anyone here in a slightly used 16GB iPhone? :D

I don't think we're going to see OLED anytime soon. I owned an OLED based MP3 player and when I used outdoors, it was completely washed out. Those OLEDs are great indoors, and absolutely horrific outdoors. I certainly do not want an OLED screen. LCD is fine with me.

Alex

Well, the same could be said for the current iPhone screen.
 
My guess is that Apple hoped to have enough supply to last until WWDC and missed its estimates.

I'm going to agree with this guess, and I think the reason it missed is because iPhone demand was unexpectedly large. They probably expected it to sag in anticipation of the 3G release, and it didn't. That is pretty cool news, even if they lose a few possible sales as a result, it means that the iPhone is really picking up momentum.

Hopefully the AT&T inventory of iPhones will last until the WWDC, though!
 
I'm going to keep my current iPhone as a backup.

Alex

Yeah I don't get the eBay/Craigslist scramble. I mean, Apple updates plenty of products all the time with little/no warning. New iPods with better screens, etc. all the time. It doesn't mean that immediately those older products are completely worthless. Even if the OMGWTFBBQ 3G iPhone comes out tomorrow there will be plenty of people that don't need the speed boost that might just be interested in an iPhone and its features all the same. Just as people buy PlayStation 2s even as PS3s are the new hotness. Especially if the new 3G iPhone is *more expensive* than the current model there will still be plenty of demand for the 2.5G version.

I do think that we have to hear something about this this week. It is not a good time for Apple to go into a sales blackout on the iPhone. Not when you have US taxpayers getting their stimulus checks and graduation/Father's Day/June weddings right here with no iPhones to sell to people. It'd be like having no MacBooks to have even on preorder in August while students are gearing up for the new school year. Just REALLY doesn't make sense. If I'm a regular Joe Consumer that needed a new cell phone NOW and can't get an iPhone I'm not going to 'wait until WWDC.' And if I got roped into a two-year contract with another carrier because I needed a phone and Apple wouldn't sell me one, well Apple just lost a potential customer that they wouldn't be able to gain back for a long time. So they can't possibly stay quiet.

Especially if Apple is in the mobile phone market to win it, they can't go more than a week with no product to sell in any territory. Even if it's just preorders for crissakes. They would be turning their backs on a whole MESS of sales that would definitely hurt them financially. Not everyone is a tech nerd who follows each and every headline on Gizmodo or MacRumors.
 
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