Haha... Approx 10 000 000 sold watches (~3 000 000 in USA alone is predicted with very low level statistic data) world wide is no fail in my eyes! You really dig this thread out again to do what? Humiliate yourself?
Haha...
Got a tip for us?
Let us know
Become a MacRumors Supporter for $50/year with no ads, ability to filter front page stories, and private forums.
Predicting Apple Watch Fail Thread
- Thread starter Velin
- Start date
- Sort by reaction score
Haha... Approx 10 000 000 sold watches (~3 000 000 in USA alone is predicted with very low level statistic data) world wide is no fail in my eyes! You really dig this thread out again to do what? Humiliate yourself?
Haha...
You just don't understand how the media covers Apple, do you? It's all about getting the views/clicks. And nothing draws views/clicks like a highly negative headline about Apple. Every opportunity to call Apple's next big thing a failure is instantly seized. It has been going on for years. I still remember when the Blackberry Bold was widely called the "iPhone killer".
This 90% sales plunge headline comes from a research firm called Slice Intelligence. Here's a little more about them: http://fortune.com/tag/slice-intelligence/
So they are taking a small sampling from a small group of US customers and somehow gauging from that how many watches are selling. Um, ok.
Now I'm sure sales have dropped significantly from the initial burst that always follows a new release. That doesn't mean it's going to fail. My wife and I both love our watches (though we are anxiously awaiting WatchOS 2.0) and a lot of people we know are interested in it.
However, if you are interested in writing Apple articles for Market Watch, you sound like a good candidate. Don't forget to include the catch phrase "the watch doesn't do anything that the iPhone doesn't already do".
Feed the trolls day at the zoo! I'm running into more and more people who are planning on buying the watch after seeing mine or someone else's. Of course that observation is just as relevant as the troll's.
This forum is starting to become unbearable with the amount of idiotic threads started daily......
Sounds familiar. Think back to the launch of the iPad "It's just a big iPhone who wants that?"
It's too bad Apple released the Watch with the OS unpolished. But by September that will be corrected and sales will pick up again. And it sounds like big changes are in store for Gen 2 so things will keep looking bright for Watch sales. While imperfect the Apple Watch has become indispensable for me as an extension of the iPhone, subtle reminders for all my upcoming meetings, and persuading me to go to the gym more frequently.
It works far better for me than I expected it would. Useful all day long. Won't be for everyone, just as not everyone uses a desktop, tablet, cellphone or iPhone. But I'm no different from lots of others out there who use iPhones and will find the Watch useful, so my prediction is that it won't fail.
It did well enough to start with that at the worst for apple it will become a "hobby" project like the Apple TV. They won't give up on it that fast even if the sales are actually getting a lot worse.
So easy for a non-owner of the AW to make such statements. Likely is jealous and can not afford one and wants to cr^p on everyone else s party.
OP's thread has much company in these forums.
Yeah... sales suck... even though apple is rolling on all the cash the watch flooded in.... they still suck.... LoL
Yep, that sure sucks. Only eight billion dollars. Why, that's only $26.00 from every man, woman, and child in America. For one product.
Bought he Sport and a 5c a week or so ago and really like the watch. Haven't used the phone much but the watch is comfortable and tells the time the same as my Rolex at a tenth of the price. I just love Apple products!
Nobody seemed to have a problem with the exact same research firm claiming huge initial sales. E.g.
Apple Watch U.S. Sales Estimated at 2.8 Million - MacRumors et al
That said, we don't have a lot of info sources. So for debate purposes we have to either accept it both ways, or ignore it both ways.
Last edited:
I'm ignoring it both ways. They are taking a small sample of one type of customer in one country. It is not enough to go on.
People need to face the reality that we simply don't know how many were sold until Apple tells us.
Well, considering this thread was started 10 months ago, it would seem that this forum "started" to become unbearable quite some time ago
And the amount of headlines I've read the past couple days citing that "90%" figure coming from Slice just proves how much news agencies rely on negative reviews and potential failures for Apple and their products for clicks/traffic. And it's so blatantly bogus. (Maybe not blatantly bogus that a huge drop/decline in sales has happened, but that the figure cited was drawn from a poorly designed study)
This woman will!
I went to an Apple Watch Basics workshop at an Apple Store: all of us were women and all of us had 42mm watches.
I wonder - based on no research or evidence - whether more women have been wearing Fitbits and the like and are ready to drop those in favour of the Apple Watch. Maybe. I don't know any women with a particular love of watches so wonder whether it's also possible we're less likely to be conflicted about no longer wearing other watches.
No idea whether the Apple Watch will look like a success or failure in 5 years time but I don't think it'll be possible to know definitively much before that.
Also, wanted to come back in here and post this link below. As a follow up to some of my, and others, comments on the whole "90% Drop in Sales" jibber jabber.
http://www.fool.com/investing/gener...s-out-of-control.aspx?source=eogyholnk0000001
http://www.fool.com/investing/gener...s-out-of-control.aspx?source=eogyholnk0000001
Even if sales were utterly dismal, I really don't think Apple would let the watch fail. They'd pull a Microsoft and dump money on it for several years to come.
That article is all logic, rational thinking, no sensationalistic amnesia.
I have a feeling it will go over the heads of most.
There have been plenty of positive headlines as well.
The lower figure is from the exact same company that gave the high figures at the beginning of Watch sales.
Why was one believable but the other not?
Also, who said it was a poorly designed study? It's from a company that actually scanned the receipts of over 2 million Americans. I don't know of any other analysis firm with such a factual source basis.
I mean, they know exactly how many of those two million people ordered a Watch, how many they ordered, and what accessories. That's incredibly detailed info, especially compared to exit or phone polls like some other analysis firms.
From that info, they can use other known purchase/sales comparisons, in order to figure out how to fairly accurately extrapolate total country sales.
Last edited:
It's certainly impressive data but one has to wonder about a few things: 1) whether the sample represents the population well given that they gave this company rights to scan their email and that people often have multiple email addresses and 2) whether the increase in number of people buying online vs offline has resulted in a shift in number of electronic receipts.