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Predicting Apple Watch Fail Thread
- Thread starter Velin
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I suspect Apple knew the watch has/has many compromises, and its the reason they're keeping the sales numbers private, as the device develops, matures. Am happy as heck with mine, but I was well aware its a first gen product.
The lowest estimate seems to be that they are selling 10,000 watches a day, in the U.S. That's 3,650,000 a year. Over 3 and a half million in the U.S alone. More if you include the initial surge, which should be included. Did I point out that's only including U.S sales, and that Apple are selling the watches other places, including China. I'd suggest the OP remove their marker.
Actually I think initial sales/preorders were more from fan boys like me. Now I'm running into more and more people ( more women specifically ) who have bought recently or are planning to. Now that they've seen a few in use for a while they've figured out how useful it is.
Most of the women I know that have purchased one have almost all said the same thing, they no longer have to dig their phones out of their ( sometimes huge ) purses/bags.
Eventually most people will have some similar type of device simply for the convenience. There were a gazillion phones out there before the iPhone but not many had so called smart phones. Now most people do. Once people realize how the device fits into their lives the tide turns. And the initial burst of sales slows down to a more sustainable rate.
This dialog helps me because notifications are becoming extremely and timely important for me.
Responding to the right person at the right time is the edge that would make a huge difference.
Until everyone has an Apple Watch and is notifications centric, then those that do will have a success edge in business & personally.
I know that I've already received that value by providing an added peace of my mind that my family has come to expect when I respond instantly or promptly.
That's bankable value for me.
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Responding to the right person at the right time is the edge that would make a huge difference.
Until everyone has an Apple Watch and is notifications centric, then those that do will have a success edge in business & personally.
I know that I've already received that value by providing an added peace of my mind that my family has come to expect when I respond instantly or promptly.
That's bankable value for me.
➰
If anything, their numbers slew high, since the people who use the apps that collect data are big time shoppers.
(And I bet most of them have no idea they signed up for statistics collection, although it's anonymous. We all click OK to app TOS's every day without reading them.)
However, if we can think of such things, obviously so did they, and have worked on ways to compensate. It won't be perfect, but it's at least got a nice basis to start from.
It's all relative of course. Let's say all their numbers are off by 15%. There'd still be a 90% drop in sales. It's just the actual quantity would be different.
Also, after the device became available in stores, then yeah, online receipts start to lose meaning.. We have to go back to relying on companies that use exit polls etc.
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Personally, I think it's selling as well as could be expected. It has the same buyer problem as any smartwatch: until/unless you have tried one yourself, its possible benefits are not that apparent.
It may not actually show a decrease in sales if only online sale went down by 90% while offline sale went up.
This is clearly a possibility since in-store availability has increased more recently while it was 100% unavailable in the beginning.
I agree though that the sales numbers look rather promising, even with 90% decline.
I have not been back to the Apple Store in weeks and I have to admit that I was shocked at how many fewer people were there in comparison to just weeks before. The geek also said they has almost every watch in stock and ready to sell. I asked if the sales have tapered off and he just smiles but would not answer.
I do not think the Apple watch will fail but sales have slowed considerably from what I have seen.
I do not think the Apple watch will fail but sales have slowed considerably from what I have seen.
Isn't this true for most product launches?
Initially there is much fanfare and lines around the block but pretty soon, lines subside and items are often in stock.
The 90% drop was already a few hours after the online launch. Approx 3 days after the launch they only sold 20000 watches a day.
That's the problem with statistics where one always has to to weight the data to give useful results. The initial peak should have been separated because it destroyed the statistic. Every one can see that during the first 2 month after launch there is a stable 20000 a day average and then it faded slowly to 10000 watches a day while the in house sale slowly begun. You also have to consider eBay and and other resale activities because some people bought two watches to pick the right size and sold the other one.
True enough. One does not need to even go to the Apple Store, this forum have calmed way down from introduction.
Thing is though I would like one eventually, prob Gen 2 if the fitness side of things improves and it is water proof. Based on this old article on here:-
https://www.macrumors.com/2014/11/13/apple-watch-chip-production/
If apple did really order 30 - 40m watches and can't easily scale that order rate back then that is a lot of stock to dump if they are going to release AW2 early next year. Bit of a tricky one for them, delay the next model and try and sell down stock with a poor product or get the all singing all dancing AW2 out there to kick start sales again and take a hit. Competition much closer than when the original iPhone was launched.
Can't easily drop the prices as that would cause them problems going forward as hard to justify going back up in price when Gen 2 comes out. Also I can't really see them being able to continue selling AW1 when AW2 is out like they do with iPhones.
https://www.macrumors.com/2014/11/13/apple-watch-chip-production/
If apple did really order 30 - 40m watches and can't easily scale that order rate back then that is a lot of stock to dump if they are going to release AW2 early next year. Bit of a tricky one for them, delay the next model and try and sell down stock with a poor product or get the all singing all dancing AW2 out there to kick start sales again and take a hit. Competition much closer than when the original iPhone was launched.
Can't easily drop the prices as that would cause them problems going forward as hard to justify going back up in price when Gen 2 comes out. Also I can't really see them being able to continue selling AW1 when AW2 is out like they do with iPhones.
I can say for a fact that a recent five-digit side work assignment I received was largely due to my responsiveness thanks to the watch. Paid for itself 60 times over.
Are you speaking to us from the future? Because I'm pretty sure the Watch has been out for only 3 months. How many folks did you know with an iPhone 3 months after launch?
I wonder how many of those persons sure of its failure actually own one, (and will run out to buy one once they fit in their budget). I guess that isn't a qualification for an opinion on the product, but it has seemed that some people were anti-watch from when it was first announced.
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http://www.engadget.com/2015/07/12/why-the-apple-watch-is-flopping/
I couldn't agree more. I returned my $600 mistake after 6 days.
I couldn't agree more. I returned my $600 mistake after 6 days.
Ugh, Apple Watch will fail because it has no camera and no GPS, iPhone will fail because it doesn't have a physical keyboard, iPad will fail because it can do the same things as a laptop can do. Maybe it will, maybe it won't. We don't know. I wouldn't trust those sales figures since the initial launch ruins the statistics. I bet every company would want to sell 10,000 units a day. Heck, that's more than what BlackBerry sells in one year.
I'm bored with the amount of articles stating its a failure when all figures are guesstimated.
As I've said elsewhere, here are some other famous Apple "flops".
Sales in the first quarter of availability:
iPod - 125,000 units.
iPhone - 1.1 million units.
iPad - 3.3 million units.
Mac - 50,000 units.
I'd say Apple Watch is doing just fine
Sales in the first quarter of availability:
iPod - 125,000 units.
iPhone - 1.1 million units.
iPad - 3.3 million units.
Mac - 50,000 units.
I'd say Apple Watch is doing just fine
I'm very amused at these stupid threads popping up just as I'm running into more and more people who have just bought one or are planning to. And most of them are women who are extremely pleased by the convenience offered by the device. There's nothing wrong with the watch. If you returned it then obviously you shouldn't have bought it in the first place, neither your comments nor those of what you linked to are relevant.
I find it hilarious that people say they are disappointed with the watch, remember it is a WATCH, does it tell the time? Yes? then its doing its job, everything else is an extra that other regular watches do. If you returned it you don't need to be on the forums anymore
Get out of that Sarasota sun! Sorry but the watch will do just fine, back to your Timex.
I love how outselling all the competition is flopping.