I can see why some would jump to that conclusion. But all of the data people have been sharing over this board and the modmyi.com board have led most of us to the following conclusions:
- They are only looking at unlimited plans right now
- They are using a combination of APN & TTL, which is why tetherme/commcenter hack users that have changed the TTL on their laptops and JB iPads haven't been getting flags
- There are some things that may cause false positives (microcells, LogMeIn, Safari plug-ins), although this is assuming the forumgoers are being honest.
To cover all my bases, I did the commcenter hack and edited the carrier.plist to ensure the "broadband" APN wasn't even an option. Then I changed the TTL on my laptop and did some light tethering, probably about 50mb of web surfing, about a week ago. No notice yet. After the iPad2 JB comes out, hopefully this week, I'll change the TTL on that and do the same. If I don't get another notice (one in March so far), I'll feel comfortable tethering going forward.