My guess is, more than 70% of all iPad sales are Minis. So if there is an iPad to be ditched, its the big iPad with Retina Display (non-Air). Who's buying that?
Not even close, but I still agree with you, I seriously hope I can avoid abandoning the 7.9" form factor. Love my rMini.
I could go as far and call myself an analyst. Since Apple will never breakdown individual unit sales in public, no one outside Apple will ever know the numbers for sure. But based on my vague guess I rejected someones prediction and made my own prediction. So you can come back to me in 1-2 years time and hold me accountable for which size iPad I said would and wouldn't be ditched by then. As we wait... (for me to eat my own words). What again is your contribution to the discussion? Do you only want to be the guy who mistakes MacRumors for MacFacts or do you have any own thoughts regarding the relationship between iPad mini and iPad Air?
An Analyst analyses things, like supply chain, or usage data, as in below. If you are just making a guess based on your own preferences and anecdotal personal experience, then you are just guessing.
Here is some analysis:
Even though the 1st generation iPad mini is the second most used iPad model, it is still only 21%, and the vastly superior rMini is only at 5% So the ratio of popularity is more than the exact opposite to your guess. it is actually a 3:1 ratio in favour of the larger form factor.
According to this data, this ratio is almost exactly the same even when taking only the latest models into account. The latest models (iPad Air & rMini) account for approximately 20% of total iPad usage, with the iPad Air accounting for 15% of that total. Again 3:1 ratio in favour of the larger iPad.
Based on my interpretation (analysis) of this data, I would presume that the larger form factor would remain the priority for Apple, and that it wouldn't be out of the question for them to make the iPad Air the feature leader here, especially given the associated issues the smaller form factor brings with it, such as lower thermal envelope, smaller, phone-sized touch targets in relation to split screen multi-tasking, diminishing returns on utility and efficiency factors with pixel density reaching 489+ PPI @3x resolution for the 7.9" panel, etc.
However, if they do manage it, I would buy one rather than the bigger 9.7". I do realise I am in the minority, though.
Rather funny actually. My current portable device line-up is a 64GB iPhone 5, 128GB iPad rMini, and a maxed 2011 11" MBA. I have now gotten a 128GB iPhone 6+, and will get the 128GB iPad Air if it has feature differentiation from the rMini, and am waiting on the new 12" laptop to replace my MBA. So after going as small as possible in terms of device size, it looks like I will probably be going up a step at every device level. Weird!