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Yet sales still grew by 80 million tracks. That same article also noted that CD sales fell by 64 million units over the same period, so it appears customers are not abandoning digital music sales in favor of returning to purchasing their music on physical media.

If the major record companies would start selling music in the Apple Lossless format (sorry, FLAC doesn't have enough native device support, while every iPod, iPod touch and iPhone model outside of the iPod shuffle built since circa 2004 supports Apple Lossless natively), that would do more to pretty much kill off the Compact Disc format.

I think the problem for Jobs is that no thanks to the combination of relatively slow broadband speeds and download capacity limits imposed by ISP's, downloadable movies as an alternative to a Blu-ray disc won't work yet.
 
If BluRay licensing is such a "bag of hurt" how is it getting done on Windows?

This is an excellent question. I would venture to guess that the most likely answer is that MS doesn't actually have to really pay the $X/unit fees because of the $15M cap ... with roughly 95% of the market, their license fees per unit works out to nearly zero: $15M / 250 million units per year = 6 cents per PC.

...Bluray is also a good storage media, all those photographers and media types out there would love to get their hands on bluray im sure.

Hmm.. Given that my still photo collection's copy in iPhoto is now 160+GB, maybe it really is time to reconsider BR backups as cost-competitive to HDDs....


...The main problem with digital distribution (from iTunes) is the cost. here in the UK, i just looked at the iTunes music chart. Number 1 is Eminem, £7.99, physical media album is available for £1 more, higher quality, CD inlay, playable in the car, can lend to friends, and obviously your paying the costs for the physical part, the case, inlay, cd etc.

This problem is even greater with Video...

Agreed. As an educated consumers, we also know that the distribution costs to the seller are reduced if he doesn't have to manufacture a physical disk, but he's not passing along any of that savings to consumers, plus we as the consumer are getting a less valuable product, since we cannot resell it used.

Thus, the current prices on the downloaded versions are effectively a rip-off by comparison to the old school physical media...and even if there's zero cost savings from my pocket as a consumer, I'll still stick with the old school physical media copy. Even if I then choose to rip it, my consumer-centric value-added is a free archival backup copy.


As the owner of a front projection home theater system and several large screen TVs, I'm here to tell you that 720p just doesn't cut it at screen sizes greater than 50".

No contest ... but does the mainstream marketplace care?

Please let's not conveniently neglect the fact of the USA's conversion to digital in 2009 (yes, just last year) and all of the news on the Federal "Coupon" shortfalls...in the end, the Feds issued 45+ million coupons, which exceeds all the copies of BR that Avatar sold (despite all the hoopla on the "success" of the latter) by roughly 6:1 ...

BR movies are awesome, but they haven't caught on for everyone because not only do you need a BR player (which are much cheaper now) you need a TV that can play 1080p...

...and continuing on my above statement, since it appears that the Studios counted those Avatar DVD/BR combo sets as "two units" sold, what this suggests is that the home consumer reality is probably closer to 12:1 in favor of the old pre-DTV tech.

...It's my opinion that most people don't give two hoots about the difference. Get over it....Not enough of a difference for me to replace all my DVDs.

Agreed. The Enthusiasts need to keep in mind that the average consumer's value paradigm isn't necessarily the same as their's. There's quite a bit of legitimacy in the consumer-centric question of "What do you mean I have to go buy it AGAIN?", particularly since that for many of them, they probably have just done this in their recent memory to get to DVD from VHS.

It's not an insult...

Keep it up. You've been reported.

+1. If you hadn't already done so, I would have pushed the button at this point.


Well I'm not reading through 30 pages of posts, as I'm just catching up with this topic...

Page 40 baby! Read every post en route (almost there)

That is blatantly false. Normal sofas are between 5 and 8 feet away from your TV...

But for those of us who actually listened to our parents ("Don't sit that close to the TV - you'll go blind!"), their typical viewing distance is also not going to be ~5ft, but ~10ft.

With screen sizes of 40 to 50"...

Until we consider what is typical in the market. There were estimated to be ~70 million pre-digital TV sets in USA Population potentially subject to requesting Federal $40 coupons to buy NTSC-ATSC converter boxes - - and over 45 million did so ... do you really think that these were all in the 40"-50" (and probably CRT) category? If so, I have a timeshare on some swamp land to sell to you: the reality is that they're typically be in the CRT and <30" category.

But please continue to stack the deck in favor of your straw-man:

...1080p is a noticeable difference at that range :

resolution_chart.png


...Do I have to repost that graph from a few pages back ? 5-8 feet away, a 40" TV will have a very noticeable difference in quality between 480p, 720p and 1080p...

"Very" noticable? The odd thing this chart you provided is that it clearly doesn't say what you're claiming: its threshhold lines explicitly say "Benefits of ... starts to become noticeable".

What the above chart unambiguously shows that differences between 1080 vs 720 simply are not perceptually present until we really start to stack the deck, typically by only considering a large screen at a short distance.

For your typical non-videophile, it has only been very recently (past ~24 months) where NTSC-based CRTs have transitioned to DTVs that weren't CRT based, which was the enabling technology to go to screen sizes significantly in excess of 36". As evidenced by 45+ million set top converstion boxes, there's still a relatively huge percentage of domestic households that are using setups that are comparatively small in size, plus they technologically lack the hardware to resolve 1080.

Add an economic downturn on top of that, and most of what we have here is a niche group of videophiles debating things that the general mainstream public isn't going to realistically have a majority transition to for still a few more years. Yes, it is coming ... but are we are absolutely not already a year past the mainstream 75% adoption point.


No I really do want to give people a hard copy. You younger folk might love hitting the net and finding all your memories that way but there are still quite a few of us and older that like to have a collection of discs and walk into a room and pop one in...Find the disc with the bride and groom on it and bam! instant wedding memories.

Having stuff at ones fingertips is good too, but this is really a matter of being able to provide to someone else, a physical & tangible gift that requires no hard work on their part. For example, my parents are still on dial-up (no broadband available short of satellite).


...It doesn't store thousands of hours in Blu-Ray quality.

Thousands of hours? Hope there's a huge dose of hyperbola here. Unless its your career, this had better be your only hobby...and even then, an insomniac. :D


How often do you really use your optical drive anymore and for what? How often do you see "normal" people use it? How many people really have a BluRay drive or even a burner? Nobody cares!

Data exchange? That's the domain of memory sticks.
Backup? External hard drives are much better and actually safer for handling the amount of data.
Audio + Video? CDs are dead, and only an insignificant minority watches movies on a computer.
Archving? Yeah, as if so many people do that. See Backup.

Optical drives are DEAD in computers. A few people will of course need them and not buy a computer without them, but their number will shrink very quickly.

Again, it is a total different story for home entertainment.

This is a good point. Locally, my work opticals were literally dead until quite recently, when the local IT shut down USB Thumb drives as being insecure .. we've thus had a resurgent need to burn CD-Rs at business meetings to exchange info, etc .. even though email still does bear the brunt of it.

At home, the use of Optical media is typically to make physical copies of my own works, to share with family. Even a downright tiny (25MB) movie takes forever to download across a typical home connection ... not even counting the fact that Mom & Dad are on 56K dial-up (see above).

Then comes data caps.. and what about rural areas?

Also 30mbps is definately on the HIGH end of consumer data connections.. I would say the average connect right now is 6mbps down 1mbps up.

I suspect you're probably high ... I'll doublecheck with my wife (she has hard data from work), but I think she's said that the median USA connection speed is like 3up/1down.


This only proves that Jobs is in fact a LIAR. He said the reason for no support was that licensing was a "bag of hurt" and that is clearly no longer true AT ALL.

So a statement from 2008 (or 2009) retroactively becomes a lie because some of the licensing mess he was commenting on finally got straightened out in 2010? I'll remember that for the next time that you tell me what your local weather is...



-hh
 
I have to disagree. Many people are shooting home videos in HD, edit their movies in iMovie HD but have no simple way to watch those edit HD movies on their HDTVs in HD. There are also many professionals what want and/or need to author Blu-ray content. There is an audience for BR authoring today just like there was an audience for DVD authoring when Apple was a trailblazer for desktop DVD authoring nearly 10yrs ago.


Lethal

Well I was thinking of the adding of a blu-ray rom/combo drive to a computer. A blu-ray burner is a bit of a different story... and those are still pretty expensive, as is the media.

(Changing subject a little)

Wanted to talk about this comment:

Bluray is looking more and more like one of the high end audio formats that appeared as the successor to the CD - like it will be beaten by Internet downloadable formats.

Both formats still exist to this day, and were mired in a format war and it's still not ended. Had HD DVD persisted to this day, that statement would likely be very true; HD DVD/blu-ray being competing formats would've dissuaded interest in either format. But Blu-ray has been far more successful than SACD/DVD-A could ever hope to achieve. The comparison is flawed.
 
Seriously, knock it off. I am not, nor have I ever been a "Kool aid" drinker (and that is most definitely calling people blind followers, as you have just admitted- therefore, an insult.). It IS an insult, as you try to paint me as some blind follower of Steve Jobs.

I can't believe you are still whining about being categorized as a Kool-aid drinker. You must have cried a lot on the playground as a kid when other kids "insulted" you. He/She is saying you are loyal to Apple. Wow, that's such an insult. Go call a whambulance and the moderators.

+1. If you hadn't already done so, I would have pushed the button at this point.

And now you've duped others to take up your cause. You're probably going to report me now for no reason.
 
When my internet bandwidth is increased 10 fold, and my hard drive capacity is also increased 10 fold, and as many people as have mail service (for things like Netflix Blu-Ray delivery) have the same internet speed and hard drive capability, and when the online HD movies are delivered in equal to or better than Blu-Ray quality (which is now 1080p and in some cases 3D) - that is when I will agree with Steve that Blu-Ray is dead and streaming is king.

Now and for the next few years at least Blu-Ray has a place. I have a set top player and would love to have it in my Mac there is one reason I don't - Apple doesn't support it.

It might not be for everyone but it should be an OPTION!
 
Well I was thinking of the adding of a blu-ray rom/combo drive to a computer. A blu-ray burner is a bit of a different story... and those are still pretty expensive, as is the media.
Blu-ray burners are coming down in price (you can get them for less than $200) as is the media. It's not different than the path CD-Rs and DVD-Rs took. I remember my first CD burner was 4x and cost $150 and my first blank DVD-R was like $30.


Lethal
 
(finally all the way up to current page...what a looooong read)

Okay then, I was expecting a drive no less than $500 since that is the minimum I see Sony or Dell (I forget which one, but the other charges $600) charge for an upgrade on their 9.5mm Ultra-Slim Tray-Loading BRDs...

Even that might not necessarily be the correct cost: the +$500 (or whatever) is an upgrade from what?

The answer may or may not be trivial - for example, I recall my brother having a Dell laptop last year with a busted slimline DVD burner and its replacement cost was $100.


The cost of drives is not a factor in this discussion at ALL. Take your pick. ...

Except that the form factors being sold at NewEgg aren't what's of relevance to Apple, and thus, this discussion.

Apple is infatuated with minimizing size., so except for the Mac Pro, the hardware question is one of nothing less than the cost for a 9.5mm slot loader. FWIW, I priced the cost of one for my new Lenovo laptop just last week, and for a 9.5"mm BR burner, Lenovo wanted $1000+...and that wasn't even a slot-loader like Apple prefers to use.


Since when did something have to reach 75% adoption rate to be mainstream?

Since the Pareto Principle calls for 80%, I was cutting people a break :D

You're right in that the exact % number doesn't really matter, though: the real question is if the market has adequately transitioned *off* of the older technologies. Given that DVDs still outsell BR, we're clearly not yet to the 'critical mass' tipping point.

BTW, it is also going to be ambiguous for us to figure out when we do reach the tipping point because of how the industry is selling DVD+BR combo packs: this bundling obfuscates the customer status: we don't know if its a BR owner who's getting a free DVD because he can, or if its a DVD owner who's getting a free BR because he can, etc, etc.

I can't believe you are still whining about being categorized as a Kool-aid drinker.

Sorry, but I wasn't being called anything - - it was merely just a third party watching the playground fight begin to occur.

And now you've duped others to take up your cause. You're probably going to report me now for no reason.

If that's what you believe, then I suggest that you go back and re-read: what you'll find is that I merely expressed public support for the individual who did (that's past tense) report the post.

Ultimately, its up to the Mods to decide to what degree the action may have been a TOS violation here at MR.


-hh
 
The future is pretty much going to be mobile devices and tablets so this makes sense. People like to have their entertainment with them at all times not some useless optical disc.

If you want Blu-Ray don't buy a mac.

Some people want 1080p video and lossless hi-res surround sound. On iTunes they are giving us frozen slushy chemical mix and calling it all-natural ice cream.

So much for the Mac being such a great media platform made for people who only want the best :eek: Guess you'll have to buy a Pee Cee or a PS3 if you want the highest quality video and sound.
 
I can't believe you are still whining about being categorized as a Kool-aid drinker. You must have cried a lot on the playground as a kid when other kids "insulted" you. He/She is saying you are loyal to Apple. Wow, that's such an insult. Go call a whambulance and the moderators.

I'm not loyal to Apple, that's my point. I'm quite critical of them on just about every product they make. This is one of the few times I agree with Steve. That does not make me a "kool-aid drinker", fanboy or anything else.

If you don't like my posts, ignore them.
 
I'll take mobile 720p over location-hostage 1080p any day. (that and my screens aren't big enough to show me any difference between the 2 anyway)

http://www.makemkv.com/download/

Yes, it's called internet streaming.

Yeah, I tried streaming my 500 gb lossless iTunes collection to my iPhone in the car with Simplify Media.

Until my ISP sent me a bandwidth nastygram. Before Simplify was bought by Google and taken off the market.

The ISP bandwidth caps are clearly going to be a problem. And if you recall the guy whose iTunes library was cut off because he bought a bad iTunes gift card on eBay, sometimes it's smart to keep some physical media.

If BluRay licensing is such a "bag of hurt" how is it getting done on Windows? Is Apple unable to get a deal wrangled out even with it's army of lawyers and 10 billion in the bank? :rolleyes:

MS doesn't include a Blu-ray player. I think in Windows 7 Windows Media Player can play DVDs but that wasn't the case in prior versions of Windows.

You have to buy one 3rd party, and the big choices are Cyberlink PowerDVD, Corel WinDVD, and ArcSoft Total Media Theater.

For MS's part, they were forced by the movie industry to only output high-res video to HDCP protected displays and video cards (which can be defeated with AnyDVD-HD) and only a certain handfull of audio cards that have a DRM protected audio path (PAP) will not downsample the hi-res audio to 48-16.

I get your discontent with the issue at hand however, I think optical media is very last century and the future is portable. With that said Blu-Ray will never get the traction and market share that DVD or even VHS got.

I'm sure that there will be a hobbyist market that will dream of the haylcon days of discs but it's pretty much done.

You couldn't be more wrong, the facts are in opposition to your misinformed opinion.

Blu-Ray is already exceeding DVD's adoption rate according to thedigitalbits.com which has been keeping track of disc adoption rates since DVD was created in 1997. I don't have a link but if you push me I can find one, I read the bits every day. It's logical, as Blu-Ray players became cheaper, faster, than DVD players did, and the usage model is basically as a super-DVD.
 
That is inaccurate. 'Full HD' is a marketing buzz word.



I have to disagree. Many people are shooting home videos in HD, edit their movies in iMovie HD but have no simple way to watch those edit HD movies on their HDTVs in HD. There are also many professionals what want and/or need to author Blu-ray content. There is an audience for BR authoring today just like there was an audience for DVD authoring when Apple was a trailblazer for desktop DVD authoring nearly 10yrs ago.


Lethal


I said "Full 1080p".
 
Since the Pareto Principle calls for 80%, I was cutting people a break :D

You're right in that the exact % number doesn't really matter, though: the real question is if the market has adequately transitioned *off* of the older technologies. Given that DVDs still outsell BR, we're clearly not yet to the 'critical mass' tipping point.

BTW, it is also going to be ambiguous for us to figure out when we do reach the tipping point because of how the industry is selling DVD+BR combo packs: this bundling obfuscates the customer status: we don't know if its a BR owner who's getting a free DVD because he can, or if its a DVD owner who's getting a free BR because he can, etc, etc.

-hh

DVD's will outsell Blu for quite some time. Only 50% of the U.S. even has an HDTV. But that means that there's still half the country left to sell to! Blu hardware and software have been up substantially year over year, even in this down economy. EDIT:By the way, does that mean that HDTV's...or even HD broadcasting...is niche?

You are right about the DVD/Blu combos. I like to think of it as a future adopter starting his collection early. But then, I'm a glass half full kinda guy. :D

BTW, I don't really care if Blu ever comes to the Mac line. If you took the optical drive out of my current desktop, it would probably be a year or so till I noticed. I've only been in this thread to correct (what I see) as misconceptions on the subject of Blu-ray as a format in general.
 
Thousands of hours? Hope there's a huge dose of hyperbola here. Unless its your career, this had better be your only hobby...and even then, an insomniac. :D

Oh god, no, I don't store that much video at home! :eek: Although I do render out uncompressed video (or openEXR stills) all the time for animation.

I was originally posting in response to this:

Harddrive space is dirt cheap and a 2TB hard drive for $100 or so stores thousands of hours of video.

Of course hard drives can store tons of video, but not at blu-ray quality. That was my only point. A 2TB hard drive will hold a lot of compressed or small videos. ;)


That is inaccurate. 'Full HD' is a marketing buzz word.

Please, we've been through this, and you're still arguing semantics. Nobody cares if "Full HD" was created by marketing departments. Hype or not, 1080p is a significant leap in resolution over 720p. There has to be some way for people to tell the difference when seeing something written on the side of a box.

If you can't see the difference, then that stinks.

284989.gif
 
The Enthusiasts need to keep in mind that the average consumer's value paradigm isn't necessarily the same as their's. There's quite a bit of legitimacy in the consumer-centric question of "What do you mean I have to go buy it AGAIN?", particularly since that for many of them, they probably have just done this in their recent memory to get to DVD from VHS.
Average consumers don't buy many movies, not relative to how many they rent. They pretty much just buy their favorites or shows for their kids. They're mainly using Netflix, Blockbuster, etc. With minimal financial investment in physical DVDs, they really aren't deterred by moving to Blu-Ray. It's actually the enthusiasts with a financial decision to make, but they're enthusiasts; they want Blu-Ray regardless of their existing DVD library.

In fact, average consumers are the ones getting a lot out of Blu-Ray right now because it's so easy to transition when all it means is picking Blu-Ray as their preference in their rental service. They've already got 1080p televisions since they're so affordable, and Blu-Ray players were an easy sell to compliment those new TVs.

I don't know why anyone thinks average consumers are so behind-the-times. All those people with non-HD tvs aren't even relevant to this discussion, that discussion being Blu-Ray drives in Macs. Why? Because the people you consider average consumers don't own freakin' Macs. They can't afford the luxury. They might not even have computers.

So step back and pay attention to who we're talking about here. Anyone considering to buy a Mac has the lifestyle that also affords them a big HD tv and a Blu-Ray player too (unless they're holding out for a Mac HTPC like me).

Anyone with a Mac is an enthusiast. We're only talking about enthusiasts. Only enthusiasts are buying Mac Minis (it's a stupid computer, really, for anyone else) or MacBook Pros (which are much more expensive than alternatives for average consumers). If you're on this forum, you're probably an enthusiast, too. You could easily afford a decent home media setup, and unless you're being intentionally naive, you'd be able to tell the difference between Blu-Ray and streamed videos on that setup. If you just don't care about quality, cause you're not really into movies, that's perfectly fine. But your input isn't valuable in this conversation.

This conversation is about Blu-Ray in Macs. And the main reason to want Blu-Ray is to play Blu-Ray movies. Do I want a Blu-Ray in my laptop? No. In a iMac? No, again. Those aren't connected to my home theater, thus they don't need awesome quality. Nor do I watch movies on them often. But a Mac Mini? That poor computer has no use whatsoever except as an HTPC, but without Blu-Ray, it fails at that too. Give the Mac Mini Blu-Ray movie playing capabilities, and it immediately becomes the most awesome HTPC available. Useless, to best solution for a growing market. How is that not a good thing for Apple?
 
Average consumers don't buy many movies, not relative to how many they rent. They pretty much just buy their favorites or shows for their kids. They're mainly using Netflix, Blockbuster, etc. With minimal financial investment in physical DVDs, they really aren't deterred by moving to Blu-Ray. It's actually the enthusiasts with a financial decision to make, but they're enthusiasts; they want Blu-Ray regardless of their existing DVD library.

In fact, average consumers are the ones getting a lot out of Blu-Ray right now because it's so easy to transition when all it means is picking Blu-Ray as their preference in their rental service. They've already got 1080p televisions since they're so affordable, and Blu-Ray players were an easy sell to compliment those new TVs.

I don't know why anyone thinks average consumers are so behind-the-times. All those people with non-HD tvs aren't even relevant to this discussion, that discussion being Blu-Ray drives in Macs. Why? Because the people you consider average consumers don't own freakin' Macs. They can't afford the luxury. They might not even have computers.

So step back and pay attention to who we're talking about here. Anyone considering to buy a Mac has the lifestyle that also affords them a big HD tv and a Blu-Ray player too (unless they're holding out for a Mac HTPC like me).

Anyone with a Mac is an enthusiast. We're only talking about enthusiasts. Only enthusiasts are buying Mac Minis (it's a stupid computer, really, for anyone else) or MacBook Pros (which are much more expensive than alternatives for average consumers). If you're on this forum, you're probably an enthusiast, too. You could easily afford a decent home media setup, and unless you're being intentionally naive, you'd be able to tell the difference between Blu-Ray and streamed videos on that setup. If you just don't care about quality, cause you're not really into movies, that's perfectly fine. But your input isn't valuable in this conversation.

Everyone's input is valuable to this conversation. Also, remember that a lot of us Mac users are professionals, not enthusiasts.
 
Sigh. 15 front page headlines on MacRumors today and this non-story is the only one directly concerning Macs.

Jobs' vision...

Desktops = trucks
Mobile = hybrids

I'd venture to guess that there will never be a page full of Mac news on this website.
 
Wanting to store a bunch of discs in your room baffles me. The industry is moving away from physical media.

I'm the biggest proponent of streaming digital media. Really.

But relying on DRM-laced downloads is lunacy (and believe me, the movie industry will NEVER give you DRM-free downloads like the record companies reluctantly did).

I still believe in physical media, as a backup and master archive.

It future-proofs you -- instead of buying 128kbps AAC, you can rip whatever format you want -- including FLAC/ALAC lossless. Remember when Apple introduced higher-quality AAC and only some could be updated, and at a fee? Screw that.

It provides a backup in case of hard drive failure. I keep several copies including a RAID 5 NAS and I still know I can go back to disc if I need to. I really hope all you iTunes Music Store fanatics are backing up your library.

Then there's the bandwidth issues, your "unlimited" internet access isn't really unlimited.
 
Except that the form factors being sold at NewEgg aren't what's of relevance to Apple, and thus, this discussion.

Apple is infatuated with minimizing size., so except for the Mac Pro, the hardware question is one of nothing less than the cost for a 9.5mm slot loader.
Why on earth would you think a Blu-ray drive has no relevance to a Mac Pro?? Of any of Apple's systems, they're the ones likely to be paired with the largest screens and used by people doing content creation - you know, things like authoring Blu-ray discs.
 
Then there's the bandwidth issues, your "unlimited" internet access isn't really unlimited.

Actually, mine is. I purchased all 15 seasons of ER in HD a few weeks back and downloaded them all in a few days. I do that kind of stuff all the time and my ISP has not complained in two years.
 
The Apple that you once knew along with this website, have been gone for a few years.

I know I came here because of the iPhone.

Ha! So did I!

It's the only Apple product I own. Other than the iPod Touch that's been collecting dust since I got the iPhone. :D

The halo effect is taking a hold of me though. Planning on an iPad in the near future and maybe a Mac puter later on.
 
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