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I just re-watched the 2007 interview and found it an interesting retrospection exercise.

At the time of the interview the app store was only a few apps created by Apple. You can see that Steve Jobs at that time had no idea that the apps for the iPhone would add one more full-sized dimension to the iPhone. Even how well the iPhone was going to sell was a question.

Fast forward to today and the iPad which has outsold the iPhone's acceptance in the first 60 days and I find myself wondering about what unanticipated innovations will users and developers find for this device?

On another point. At that time Steve Jobs thought he had a five-year lead on software. That turned out to be about a 2.5 year lead to market before the look-alike products began to hit. However, that may still have been enough for Apple to maintain first-mover advantage for some time into the future.

Steve said if Cingular that, "they invested in Apple by bending and breaking some ways that Cingular did business in the past." Then he added, "I will never forget that."

I wonder if some that gratitude to Cingular/AT&T is still behind Apple's allegiance to that carrier?

It's also amusing to see that while Cingular/AT&T had all that virtually unused 3G capacity in 2007, how quickly it was used up and begin to strain the AT&T capacity.
 
I am very excited just to hear his perspective on the next few years.

I suspect he will announced something, not sure how big it will be...hopefully a new Macbook Air.

Does anyone have a time for the conference?
 
I say that when we get to 2020 and look back on this decade, it will be known as the tablet decade (if not the iPad decade), just as the last decade could best be associated with the iPod. I think the iPad is going to change the course of technology. That's magic.

Finally someone else that looks beyond code, keyboards and mice!

Yes, my big prediction for this decade is a significant compromise of the daily and casual use of a keyboard / mouse and windowing interface. People will be using tablet like devices more commonly to the point of them becoming social tools.

I can see the desktop PC use slipping away and gathering dust. To end users, working a desktop PC looses familiarity akin to using a standard transmission in modern America. (Trolls will love that last line!)

A computer that you can't "pick up and go," not changing the display for the physical orientation and lack of automatic recognition over who is using it becomes cumbersome and upsetting.

I see PCs at homes and business resolving to where you have a utility machine in the corner that you don't put direct attention on alot like a water heater, washing machine or a refrigerator. The tablet gets your regular attention.

Those that see this trend will cash in. Those that balk it, get bit in the butt by it and become grumpy guys writing database code at coffee shops.
 
Wheras I think it is magical, so there you go. But there is a way to settle this difference of opinion: time.

I say that when we get to 2020 and look back on this decade, it will be known as the tablet decade (if not the iPad decade), just as the last decade could best be associated with the iPod. I think the iPad is going to change the course of technology. That's magic.
I couldn't agree more. I think the problem with the word "magical" is that Apple overestimated the intelligence of the average consumer and assumed they would understand that literal magic does not exist. So there are inevitably folks who get real upset when they buy an iPad and it does not actually grant them 3 wishes, put a curse on their enemies or enhance their sexual prowess.
 
Thanks for saying that. Someone needed to. The guy is a class act, outside of these forums in the 'real world' he is respected. And he should be, look what he's accomplished. Those who bash him are jealous, ignorant, not that bright, I don't know but there sure is lots of SJobs bashing on this forum.

Totally agree. The bashers are drinking ... 'DroolAid'™. :)
 
What if Steve announces the new iPhone tomorrow? That would be cool. I mean, technically WWDC is a developers conference. It's probably not going to happen, but obviously Steve knows the phone has leaked so why would he even bother going? I mean, they are going to talk about it right?
 
Thank you, CFreymarc and NSMonkey, for your comments. We see the same trends upcoming.

I think there will always be a place for traditional computers and keyboards, but now the tablet era will dwarf the PC era as the PCs dwarfed the minicomputers. PCs will be around, but they will mostly be used to run boring business processes. Tablets will be the new personal computer that will finally be personal enough for everyone.

I know, just to cite a tiny example, that I never want to surf the web with a mouse again. Using your fingers to size and move the text is direct and natural. The mouse is an abstraction away from that natural approach, necessary in the past but no longer so.

I hope Steve Jobs talks more about this new era he is helping to shape.
 
Was it just me, or did Jobs look genuinely annoyed with Kara Swisher in previous interviews?

I thought that too with the Jobs and Gates interview. Swisher kept cutting in on MossPuppet, asking some pretty irrelevant questions and generally looking a little out of depth. I hope her interviewing skills have improved this time round. IIRC, Scoble also said something about it at the time.
 
Thank you, CFreymarc and NSMonkey, for your comments. We see the same trends upcoming.

I think there will always be a place for traditional computers and keyboards, but now the tablet era will dwarf the PC era as the PCs dwarfed the minicomputers. PCs will be around, but they will mostly be used to run boring business processes. Tablets will be the new personal computer that will finally be personal enough for everyone.

I know, just to cite a tiny example, that I never want to surf the web with a mouse again. Using your fingers to size and move the text is direct and natural. The mouse is an abstraction away from that natural approach, necessary in the past but no longer so.

I hope Steve Jobs talks more about this new era he is helping to shape.

Both form factors have their place IMO. If I'm eating, I *prefer* to be sitting at a computer with a mouse, and there are just as many times it's preferable not to have to hold the computer like you do a tablet than when the tablet becomes preferable (which would be at the couch or standing up, etc).

I for one welcome having both options in the future. :)
 
Both form factors have their place IMO. If I'm eating, I *prefer* to be sitting at a computer with a mouse, and there are just as many times it's preferable not to have to hold the computer like you do a tablet than when the tablet becomes preferable (which would be at the couch or standing up, etc).

I for one welcome having both options in the future. :)

You will have that option, just as you can buy a mainframe today even though the mainframe era is long gone.
 
Using your fingers to size and move the text is direct and natural. The mouse is an abstraction away from that natural approach, necessary in the past but no longer so.
Touch UIs have been around since at least the '70s so what Apple's doing is nothing new. What Apple does have a very intelligent software that takes full advantage of these technologies and packages them up into something the average consumer can use.

Thus far touch has worked better on mobile/consumption devices than traditional desktops because people generally don't use them for long periods of time or need to be exacting with typing. Some people still need big screens to work on and lots of horsepower to keep up with their ideas too. Ironically, programmers who are helping to create this new industry of computing will be the last ones to take advantage of it in their days jobs (since programming is very exacting...)

So step 1 of the "revolution" is the mouse supplanted by fingers. Step 2 is really a replacement for the keyboard. That can mean any number of things. I think Apple has done some very intelligent things, such as predictive text input on a touch screen but ultimately it's going to require more to gain general acceptance/replacement until there's a better method of data entry. Voice/thought recognition is still not there yet and the touch UI is very much in its infancy. Virtually everyone knows what a mouse and keyboard does but in the iPad different apps respond depending on whether they're double tapped, pinched, or swiped. Eventually gestures will work themselves into widely adopted ways of interaction and we'll have much easier ways of getting our thoughts across in binary. Apple's planted the seed, so to speak, for touch just as they had when Jobs visited PARC decades ago and revamped what Xerox had and helped created Mac OS so we'll see where that leads us...

You will have that option, just as you can buy a mainframe today even though the mainframe era is long gone.
It's interesting you bring that up because the client/server model is coming back... sort of. Cloud computing and thin clients are starting to pop up again since PCs have become fast/cheap enough that they don't need a lot of horsepower on the front end. Even Apple's rumored Apple TV would have no storage, just a link to apps on the other end of the pipe.
 
I agree with what you say, SpinThis! I would add that this evolution of the revolution, as it were, is what Apple is working on. So what the iPad of 2020 will look and work like should be as radically different from today's model as the iPod Touch is from the version 1 iPod from 2001.

We ain't seen nothing yet.
 
Hopefully Steve will let us know when Apple plans on fixing the wifi connection issues on the ipad. I know that might be a downer as such, but for some of us who have returned and replaced ipads, only to continue to have the same problems, we are eagerly waiting for a fix.
 
Walt Mossberg better be on stage to ask the questions, I recently listened to the Jobs/Gates discussion from D5, and Mossberg asked a lot of really good questions (and from listening to the earlier discussions with Jobs where he was alone he asking some hard ones) while Kara was doing nothing but drifting off in strange thoughts and generally being a pain in the behind to listen to.
 
Thank you, CFreymarc and NSMonkey, for your comments. We see the same trends upcoming.

I think there will always be a place for traditional computers and keyboards, but now the tablet era will dwarf the PC era as the PCs dwarfed the minicomputers. PCs will be around, but they will mostly be used to run boring business processes. Tablets will be the new personal computer that will finally be personal enough for everyone.

I know, just to cite a tiny example, that I never want to surf the web with a mouse again. Using your fingers to size and move the text is direct and natural. The mouse is an abstraction away from that natural approach, necessary in the past but no longer so.

I hope Steve Jobs talks more about this new era he is helping to shape.
Yep, you hit the nail on the head. The iPad is a "more personal" personal computer.

Some family members and colleagues have recently asked me to explain the iPad. They weren't "against" it, they just didn't understand why they might want one and/or why other people were so excited about it. I asked them, "If I give you a book to read, would you prefer to read it sitting upright at your desk or lying back on your couch or favorite chair?" The universal answer is "I would kick back on my couch or favorite chair." My explanation is that the iPad works more like a book than a PC or laptop in that the iPad comes to you instead of you having to go to it. They don't all run out and buy one immediately, but the explanation usually gets an "aha" reaction. And what I'm telling them is really just a long-winded version of "it's a more personal computer."

I agree that we're entering the tablet era. I would even take it a step further and say that -- between tablets and smaller mobiles -- we are witnessing the final evolution of personal computers as physical devices with a screen and (real or virtual) keyboard. My guess is that the next major leap will involve the elimination what we think of as a "screen". If I'm right, that next leap is a long way off and tablets and other mobile devices will dominate in the meantime.
 
Wheras I think it is magical, so there you go. But there is a way to settle this difference of opinion: time.

I say that when we get to 2020 and look back on this decade, it will be known as the tablet decade (if not the iPad decade), just as the last decade could best be associated with the iPod. I think the iPad is going to change the course of technology. That's magic.

Two million sold in two months makes it kind of a runaway best seller. That's probably twice the number of tablet computers that have sold in the past ten years.
 
To be honest, women (esp. that Kara Swisher) that are into technology seem to annoy me big time. I just hate when a woman knows too much about Apple and their products. Ugh!

I think that's a matter for an analyst. it's possible she's screwed up an interview or two, but generally I find her pretty smart.
 
"its tense relationship with Google (GOOG) and the next innovations from the Silicon Valley computer icon."

The most likely answers you'll get to these are 'pass' and 'pass'. Still if Steve is in a mood that day he might say that the suggestion that google are not evil is bull....!
 
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