Thats assuming the average person buys six cables per year; multiple cables is likely, but multiple being replaced each year is highly unlikely. You are correct that you need to factor in extra cables improving statistical reliability, but one cable per iPhone gives you a baseline of total number of cables in use.
Do you have a citation for "average person buying 6 cables a year"? If I lose 6 cables a year might I replace them with 6 other cables a year?
My point was that number of phones sold is irrelevant. What matters is the number of cables sold. How do you figure multiple replaced per year is unlikely? Google it and you will see it's a non-zero issue. Look at how many aftermarket cables are sold at major retailers and the demand for these cables must be high enough to support the industry. Even if the cables were simple extras the market would not be able to support dozens of vendors selling multiple multipacks.
People primarily buy extra cables for convenience, why bring your one cable with you if you can keep one in each room you charge, one in your car, one at work, an extra in your bag, etc., not due to the reliability of OEM cables.
I would agree with you when the OEM cable is reliable. When the reliability of OEM cables is low the primary reason people buy new cables is that they no longer have one that works. Sometimes people buy additional cables while the old one still works, not so they can have one for another room but because they know the one they have won't last long. Buying two cables because you worry they will stop working doesn't mean you got them for extra rooms, it means you go through more cables.
That’s great for your anecdotal personal experience. Unfortunately though you seem to have no concept of the entire world of wired infrastructure that exists.
Based on the evidence you provided I can't reasonably conclude the lightning cable is not reliable. I'm not saying cables don't break under misuse or abuse. Purposefully bending at the connector, pulling the cable out repeatedly by the cord, stepping or having a chair wheel or leg run over the cable etc...is abuse/misuse.
1. You can't conclude they are reliable and have no evidence supporting that claim meanwhile there is significant evidence that they are unreliable.
I was half joking but the average consumer probably goes through many charging cables a year due to daily use and abuse, not to mention the damage to the connector port on their mobile devices. The same cannot be said about "wireless charging cables".
I can conclude they are reliable. By the evidence you can't make the claim they are unreliable.
No, that is not normal use. Pulling cables and wires by the cord rather than the connector is not normal use. Bending cables and wires beyond their flexibility is abuse.
What "evidence?" Nothing indicates the Apple lightning cable is unreliable. I agree if you misuse or abuse the cable it will break, like every other cable.
Please cite that rate from an official source.
Baloney. Many people never have to replace a lightning cable due to normal wear and tear. I agree that people have to replace cables due to abuse and lost cables, but not due to normal wear and tear within a reasonable life span.
What evidence do you have they are reliable? None.
What sort of bag do you use that lets you travel with a charger without folding it?
This was a fun, intellectual exercise. Worlds apart on definitional items, such as:What evidence do you have they are reliable? None.
Normal use is based on how it's normally used, not some vendor-specific instructions.
I already provided Apple as a source and that wasn't good enough so
Based on made-up numbers and absurd definitions of normal.
. But different strokes for different folks.
It's not anecdotal. My evidence included more than 2300 reports to apple that their cables fail early. It included references to investigative journalism recognizing and exploring the cause of early lighting cable failures.This was a fun, intellectual exercise. Worlds apart on definitional items, such as:
- what is proof vs anecdotal or claimed evidence
- what is normal use
- what is the life expectancy of cables
Not surprising your conclusion since you believe the anecdotal evidence on the internet as irrefutable proof. Definition of "normal use" had me
Apple has been selling lightning since the iphone 5 days in 2012. That's 9 years of cables and rounding down to 100 millions phones/year that's shy of 1b lightning cables. So 2300/1b = .00023%. Op seemingly doesn't get that and is seemingly operating on the premise that any failure more than one constitutes a product defect.
That’s not how any of this works. Most people don’t report anything. The reports demonstrate a failure rate exist. So no, the 2300 is sufficient.
Please provide some citations and definitive proof on how any of this works. Please provide proof that most people don't report anything. The fact that products fail is not a new revelation to many. The fact you have not produced any evidence that shows an endemic failure of lightning cables above an estimated .00023% and tells the forum how things don't work rather than providing citations about how things do work shows this is another vacuous argument.
Since you are clearly unfamiliar with the words you are using, I am done with you.