I read an interesting article the other day about the development of the Wii. One of the blurbs that caught my eye was that Nintendo did not design the Wii based on information provided by their hardcore customers. In a sense, they didn't create what the customers were telling them they wanted
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Apple seems to be doing the same thing. When the iPod was first announced people were going crazy telling everyone why it will fail. Then with each iteration of the iPod, everyone states that the next one HAS TO HAVE, FM, voice notes, removable flash, removable battery, etc. Stuff that most other MP3 players have yet still fail miserably in the marketplace. Yet, the iPod continues to thrive and grow marketshare DESPITE what we, the hardcore Applites, demand. Is it that Apple is really in tune with what is wanted in the marketplace, or just that we are out of touch. Sure some of our wants have been fulfilled but certain features continue to elude us that we continually demand as 'must haves'.
I bring this up because of this discussion about PDA, features that are not on the iPhone, UMPCs, etc. It kind of makes me realize that we (hardcore 26th level Applites that we are) don't have a clue what will sell and thrive in today's marketplace. A lot of analysis predicted doom and gloom for the iPhone yet it is the most popular smartphone (title is debatable, i know) in the US at this time. By the same token, the Wii, is the most popular and sought after gaming system right now. Both designed not by the hardcore users but by design teams that strip away expectations based on past experience, and plow their own ground.
One poster made the statement that the PDA is dead and that the UMPC is on the rise. I think that may be the case here. Much like Rio and other came out with mp3 players before Apple but then fell by the wayside as soon as the iPod was available. Apple maybe doing the same with the UMPC. Creating a whole new product niche that will appeal to consumers. Not based on needs and desires of the early adopters of the UMPCs, but by creating a whole new paradigm of usage and interaction with the device.
On a slightly off tangent side note, I think the above poster is correct when he made the prediction of iTunes store selling applications for the iPhone. This makes so much intuitive sense that I can't believe no one has made it before. Or maybe it has been made before but lost in the internet static. You just buy the apps you need and can avoid the bloat that you get with WM mobile or Treo or Blackberry. Makes the UI elegant and personable.
just my thinkering.