Th
This is a global version of levelling up and I don't think it is a bad thing. The wealth of the west has depended in part on being industrially ahead of much of the rest of the world. This is not sustainable in the long run without deliberate intervention to keep the rest behind. Local corruption can slow things down a lot but, eventually, everyone will want their country to advance and that will mean (definitely not in our lifetime) that outsourcing becomes a more considered option if manufacturing, education, costs etc are more or less the same the world over. Geography will be the deciding factor - population, local customs, geology, topography and climate will disadvantage some countries in terms of what and how much they can produce and consume.
Globalisation is the natural consequence of wanting to better yourself. Your parents grafted in mind-numbing factory jobs, pits and all manner of life-shortening industries in the hope of being able to give their children a better life than they had. Before industrialisation we had basically the nobility and the peasantry. Social mobiity was not great.
Holding back China for the sake of being top dog will require more than just tariffs. The one advantage the US has over China is its education system, which encourages scepticism, independent thought and questioning of the status quo. That leads to all sorts of innovations in every sphere of life. It is not just because of English that a lot of students from the rest of the world flock to western universities. China has moved somewhat along those lines recently but its political class still insists on obedience. The US can, if it wishes, restrict access to those corridors of academe and try to hang onto its competitive advantage for a little bit longer. Like King Canute holding back the sea.
Thanks for a great & thoughtful response.
Sure, I agree that levelling up the world is something to be applauded. And way better than handing out aid etc
But with all due respect, your answer kind of assumes that everyone in the west has a great education and a great job. And last I looked, they do not.
And the areas that we see the greatest disparity are those that lost precisely the sort of jobs that were lost to other countries.
And then we see many people in these areas vote for people like trump, because whether they believe in him and his like, what have they got to lose?
So there’s some inbuilt instability in the democratic west. And I don’t see that resolving itself anytime soon.
And yes, it’s a story that’s still being written as to whether a very authoritarian society can beat the USA.
We’ll see. At the very least, I’d say that the USA and the west using china as a workshop has helped it to nearly equal the USA as a superpower.
And china has already started to throw its weight around. Look at the rare earths export bans. And that they - most likely - started selling off us bonds (Govt debt) the other week, helping the market to panic.
I guess I’m just trying to be a bit of a Cassandra and say that since the collapse of the ussr and the end of the Cold War in 1991, the USA has had things its own way, mostly.
I’m just not sure that’s going to continue for much longer & it would be smart to onshore important industries.