Become a MacRumors Supporter for $50/year with no ads, ability to filter front page stories, and private forums.
Ridiculous points? You too, another 6502a accusing me of being ridiculous? Dude, give me a break.

Let's go in reverse order, then, shall we? All companies eventually fail? No s***, La Palice/Sherlock. 🤦‍♂️ My point was always that Tesla is not the juggernaut Musk sells it as, or at least not while he is at the helm. Because of, not in spite of him. And I'm willing to be crucified, burned at the stake, quartered, etc. on that hill. Oh, by this point you might've guessed I'm very fond of colourful and hyperbolic language, get used to it.

I never accused you of saying over night, and I made the point of all companies eventually failing to show that the only conclusive time frame you mean about Tesla "liquidating" is near term to which I say is very stupid considering they have tons of cash on hand and very little debt to outlast every single major auto company today.

In fact, big automakers are *now* taking on large debt that Tesla took years ago because they're late in setting up production for EVs. The fact that you think these big automakers with crazy debt and little cash on hand could snap up Tesla is ridiculous.

Next, here you come again with the “maximizing profits” line;

Because I'm responding to the person that made the "maximizing profits".

I'm making the argument that other automakers charge for what Tesla gives away for free which goes against maximizing profits argument.

I'm well aware of how software features are paid for like how Apple budgets 5 years of updates for iPhones into the price of the product, but the fact is, Tesla isn't maximizing profits as they absolutely did not plan and bake the cost of every single feature I received so far into the price of the product, they aren't charging me for them, and I absolutely will get more features/software updates for at least the next 3 years. https://www.notateslaapp.com/software-updates/history/

Plenty of features were take at the requests from other owners on Twitter and Elon decided to release it for free. Not really baked into the price of my car.


As for the Model Y, I stand corrected, so thanks, but yes, it is indeed irrelevant.

I'm referring to your assertion about "Is Musk full of crap and always failing to meet deadlines and deliver on promises?" as irrelevant. No one really asked, you only posed that question to yourself.

And now that EVs are popping left and right,

Competition has been coming since 2013 https://www.wsj.com/articles/SB10001424052702303653004579210053345661982

And those EVs popping are quickly adopting Tesla's port because they can't possibly compete against Tesla's Supercharger network. Every EV sold in USA will now add to Tesla's bottom line, whether or not Tesla built the car. So just as Tesla has been selling carbon credits to legacy automakers, Tesla is now selling energy to legacy automakers at a profit (even better when they add solar and batteries to fatten those electricity margins) 🤣

Tell me how Ford or one of the large automakers is going to eat Tesla when every single electric car they build will bring profits to Tesla.

We seem to agree that FSD is where it's at, as it's the big differentiator over the next couple of years, and if someone else comes out with it first, or with a substantially better version thereof… Teslas may very well go the way of the Newton, or Windows Phone, or whatever. Yeah, first-comers, successful in a niche and maybe even promising, whatever, but not guaranteed market leaders or even independent in the long run.

It's funny because Elon mentioned on the last call that a major OEM (likely Ford) is currently in the talks to license FSD from Tesla.

I am not saying that Tesla will necessarily collapse (my first comment in that vein was a sort of a hot take, unpopular opinion – is it, though? – kind of thing); I'm just saying that judging from a lot of worrying signs, their FSD system isn't nowhere near ready for consumption.

Again, a major OEM is in talks with Tesla to license. There are no other major automakers that even have the compute capacity to train a model. And other solutions like Waymo require expensive lidar sensors. there's a reason why Ford and Volkswagen gave upon their $4 billion acquisition self driving initiative Argo.

And, if I must say so myself, the cool CT may actually end up being a stupid detour, something that may have distracted Tesla from their main goal of FSD.
If CT wasn't made, it would have been a regular truck. Teams would still be busy working on a truck.


really. And, heck, even if it doesn't detract from FSD development… it's the first piece of really innovative kit from Tesla, manufacturing-wise (and let us not forget that the earlier, more conventional models were plagued with fit and finish issues, and you certainly cannot deny those, as I've seen them with my very eyes because I've come across A LOT of Teslas parked around my neighbourhood and city at large, and their panels aren't fit any better than those on my lowly Micra were when it came out of the dealership), and it, too, seems to be chronically delayed.

Fit and finish has been pointed out for years and years and people still buy Teslas.

That alone tells me that Tesla was only truly innovative in drivetrains, batteries and, to a certain extent, infotainment and UX (all fields on which, as I've said, its competitors seem to be catching on), but those two critical delays blow apart half of the mythology around Musk, at least when it comes to cars. Guess what, that, too, reminds me of OceanGate and its stupid usage of carbon fibre and epoxy – all materials from aerospace engineering, from whence Stockton Rush came – on a deep-sea vessel; likewise, designing and building cars isn't exactly rocket science… because, duh, it's car science. And while the CT's steel/unibody construction looks interesting and promising, there seem to be some issues with it. Shouldn't it have been, then, reserved for a Gen. 2 product, much like Apple does by not jumping right ahead to a new case design (and we should appreciate how Apple's case designs shifted as much between generations as a CT does in relation to conventional chassis) during ISA or other architectural transitions, i.e. they don't try to innovate the innards and the shell at the same time? Tesla hadn't even fleshed out a complete lineup, which effectively constituted a transition from gas (or, better yet and in their case, literally nothing because they were a newcomer) to electricity, and they forged right ahead with an all-around revolutionary product (as in, completely revolutionary, inside and out) in a market segment that is far from a niche. Oh, gee, what could possibly go wrong with trying to use completely new manufacturing processes right away on a massive scale… (Spoiler: you get a glorified, very resistant and powerful vehicle that's as hard to build in scale, buy and profit from as a Trabant, that's what you get. 😂)

You've diverted away from the original topic with this paragraph...
 
Imagine thinking Amazon exists to fund Bezos' wife's plastic surgery because he sold stock to pay for the operation.
Did the surgery cost 5% of Amazon's market cap?

That's not the purpose of Tesla, no. That's Elon exercising what he wants to do with his compensation.
Right. Tesla is Musk's piggy bank, and he used it to dismantle Twitter.

You can say that isn't Tesla's purpose, but it is shocking how correlated the Tesla stock price is to the day by day Twitter news. Investors thought they invested in an up and coming electric car company but for the past 18 months they've been invested in their stone throwing CEO's glass house.

1690303857964.png
 
Last edited:
  • Like
Reactions: ErikGrim
Did the surgery cost 5% of Amazon's market cap?

Irrelevant to the purpose of the company?

he used it to dismantle Twitter.

Saying he used his piggy bank to dismantle Twitter is completely different than saying "Tesla exists to fund the dismantling of Twitter.

You can say that isn't Tesla's purpose
I can say it because it's factually not the purpose of Tesla. You can jump through all the hoops to try and justify your earlier assertion, but it's literally not the purpose of Tesla.

Elon tweeted "the stock price is too high" and the stock price dropped 12%. Suddenly Tesla's purpose is for Elon to say dumb things? lol yeah ok, you do you.

Elon can sell 100% of his shares so that he could build a toilet on Mars, that doesn't change the purpose of Tesla.
 
I'll miss the cute little bird. And the word 'tweet'.

Not that I ever used it anyway lmao.
 
Well, my ads, brochures, banners and stationery were in need of a refresh anyway; now's about as good a time as any, I guess...
 
Am I the only one concerned about teenagers searching for “X” and getting a lot more than a new name for Twitter?

Even I don’t want to put in X.com, although I’m curious if they are changing the URL.
 
Damn, liberals in the comments having a mental breakdown. Guys, take a deep breathe, put the lgbtq+blm apple's wallpaper on and relax. X will be there whether you want it or not.
I see your new. This is not a political forum and this type of comment is frowned upon.
 
  • Like
Reactions: macsplusmacs
And how does that not make it a legitimate strong quarter? Despite all of the price cuts, Tesla still managed industry leading margins. I don't understand the point you're making.

You're making it sound like Tesla is only successful because they had to resort to cut margins and needed the help from the government.

My point AGAIN was that Tesla's strong quarters were largely due to the significant price cuts, additional discounts, models potentially qualifying for $7,500 federal tax credits again, etc.

As far as "industry leading margins", that is largely due to the fact that they are not only the manufacturer but also the dealer. Most other automakers are manufacturers only so it's not quite an apples to apples comparison.
 
Am I the only one concerned about teenagers searching for “X” and getting a lot more than a new name for Twitter?

Even I don’t want to put in X.com, although I’m curious if they are changing the URL.
Excellent point.

One of the traditions in my family was to build doll houses for our kids. We lived in Scotland and back then it was hard getting doll house furniture etc locally. One summer we were heading to London to see relatives, so I thought we shop for doll house miniatures while we were there. So while I was at work I foolishly typed in 'doll's house London'. Suffice it to say what came back was not about innocent toys, but what could euphemistically be called dating escort services. Of course this triggered an inquisition from our IT department and I never lived it down. No doubt 'X.com' is going to cause similar confusion. I am sure at first this domain name might trigger some child safety firewalls (and maybe a few at work?).
 
Last edited:
So in the span of 10 minutes last night I saw:

1) A local news channel story talking about the heat this week.

Bottom left of screen: a BLUE BIRD logo to follow the news channel

2) A Kelloggs box of cereal or something:

Bottom left of box: a BLUE BIRD logo to follow the product

3) A soft drink can

On the can: a BLUE BIRD logo to follow the soda


This IDIOT destroyed so much brand value yesterday that the business schools will be talking about this fiasco long after we are all gone.

Seriously, do you see any of the above brands putting a black and white X on their package?

No.

Expect to see all of them switched to a 🧵logo soon.

https://www.threads.net/@taylorlorenz/post/CvG2uaNOiZZ
 
I never accused you of saying over night, and I made the point of all companies eventually failing to show that the only conclusive time frame you mean about Tesla "liquidating" is near term to which I say is very stupid considering they have tons of cash on hand and very little debt to outlast every single major auto company today.

In fact, big automakers are *now* taking on large debt that Tesla took years ago because they're late in setting up production for EVs. The fact that you think these big automakers with crazy debt and little cash on hand could snap up Tesla is ridiculous.



Because I'm responding to the person that made the "maximizing profits".

I'm making the argument that other automakers charge for what Tesla gives away for free which goes against maximizing profits argument.

I'm well aware of how software features are paid for like how Apple budgets 5 years of updates for iPhones into the price of the product, but the fact is, Tesla isn't maximizing profits as they absolutely did not plan and bake the cost of every single feature I received so far into the price of the product, they aren't charging me for them, and I absolutely will get more features/software updates for at least the next 3 years. https://www.notateslaapp.com/software-updates/history/

Plenty of features were take at the requests from other owners on Twitter and Elon decided to release it for free. Not really baked into the price of my car.




I'm referring to your assertion about "Is Musk full of crap and always failing to meet deadlines and deliver on promises?" as irrelevant. No one really asked, you only posed that question to yourself.



Competition has been coming since 2013 https://www.wsj.com/articles/SB10001424052702303653004579210053345661982

And those EVs popping are quickly adopting Tesla's port because they can't possibly compete against Tesla's Supercharger network. Every EV sold in USA will now add to Tesla's bottom line, whether or not Tesla built the car. So just as Tesla has been selling carbon credits to legacy automakers, Tesla is now selling energy to legacy automakers at a profit (even better when they add solar and batteries to fatten those electricity margins) 🤣

Tell me how Ford or one of the large automakers is going to eat Tesla when every single electric car they build will bring profits to Tesla.



It's funny because Elon mentioned on the last call that a major OEM (likely Ford) is currently in the talks to license FSD from Tesla.



Again, a major OEM is in talks with Tesla to license. There are no other major automakers that even have the compute capacity to train a model. And other solutions like Waymo require expensive lidar sensors. there's a reason why Ford and Volkswagen gave upon their $4 billion acquisition self driving initiative Argo.


If CT wasn't made, it would have been a regular truck. Teams would still be busy working on a truck.




Fit and finish has been pointed out for years and years and people still buy Teslas.



You've diverted away from the original topic with this paragraph...
Ok, I already wasted a lot of time replying to this thread, but you still raised some pertinent questions, so here goes:

Regarding debt, thanks for enlightening me, I wasn't aware of their current situation. Last time I had heard about their massive debt was during the last bailouts after the economic crash, all the way back in… 2008? 2011? It's almost as if I erased those years from my memory, they were pretty traumatic here in Europe, especially with all the nation-wide IMF bailouts and interventions. However, you are aware that some of that debt is related to the pandemic and the war, and that there are massive recovery plans in place that will likely also revert towards automakers, right?

Yay, good on you and your free updates. And good luck on Musk keeping them free. 🤦‍♂️

As for licensing, sure, some automakers won't have the resources to come up with their own tech, and they'll either license them from Tesla, or… Apple? Google? Tesla isn't immune from competition from the tech sector, I'm afraid, and Apple in particular is reportedly investing not just on CarPlay, but on tech that may rival Tesla's own (and if the quality of the Vision Pro, a v.0 product that came out of nowhere seemingly fully formed from the hands of a semi-independent internal group like the rumoured car division, is any indication, oof…).

Regarding Musk being full of crap and failing to deliver on promises… I said what I said. Even if he makes 100 promises and delivers on 70 of them, that still makes him flaky as hell (especially if some of the missing ones are among the loftiest and more strategically important of the bunch). I obviously pulled those numbers from my behind, as most statistics on the internet, but hey, that's an increasingly common public perception of the guy, and it's not up to you to magically wave it away. You can try to word-of-mouth your experience as a Tesla owner all you want, but the company and its wares will be tarnished by all his shenanigans until they sack him. 🤷‍♂️

When it comes to the Supercharger network, I'm not bringing your assertions into contention, or at least not in their context; I'm pretty sure it's great in the US, as I've seen the maps and did all the back-of-the-napkin math back at a point – say, five years ago? – when it likely wasn't even close to what it is now, and still came away convinced. Yes, it's impressive, and yes, it's a strong asset. Except that's a very US-centric view. I've also seen a crapload of Teslas around these parts since they entered our local market not that long ago – those same five years, I reckon –, but Superchargers? **crickets** (8 Superchargers for a 10M population, 35 580 mi² country, and I can assure you that Teslas are indeed very common already 😂). People here use them mostly as glorified city cars (and, indeed, in Europe it's very normal to use your personal vehicle for certain daily usage and mid-range trips, and just take public transportation instead for larger distances; despite our decent highway network, we don't have that obsession of taking to the “interstate” and making 8-hour or even multi-day trips unless we have a really good reason for that – like, say, doing winter sports, helping someone else move, etc., while cheaping out on gear/vehicle rentals), so the whole Supercharger network point is kinda moot across the pond…

And last time I've checked, we're far from a small market (here I'm referring to Europe as a whole, and not to our puny little country); as for other big ones, like China and Japan, guess what, they also have very advanced high-speed train networks… The US, with its congested interstates and airports, is the outlier there, sorry. Also, my understanding is that the Tesla connector standard was either open-sourced or is going to be licensed on FRAND terms, which further diminishes the importance of the Supercharger network once, duh, new networks are built up and existing ones adapted to work with it (and if and once cars start popping up with Tesla connectors, you can bet those compatible charging stations will become widespread and even compete against Tesla on their own turf, as they will likewise be compatible with Tesla vehicles). Ever heard of this little thing called… the free market? ;)

Regarding the CT, you're just agreeing with my assertion, thanks. Of course it would be a regular truck, and it would likely be more profitable, just like the OG iPhone was, in hindsight, just a nicer smartphone with better materials than average (and a killer OS and interaction model, which were, of course, the key differentiators), and not a “wow” piece of design like the iPhone 4. Heck, the 3GS was even a physical downgrade just to accommodate 3G connectivity, at that… And had Apple attempted to manufacture something akin to the iPhone 4 in 2007, it would've ended up as an overly complex, thicc and heavy boi which would completely bog down their supply and manufacturing chain, because Apple had never worked with milled blocks of stainless steel – or aluminium, for that matter – and was more worried with getting the damned thing to work in the first place. Which is, incidentally, what seems to be happening with the CT, down to the materials and even the design language they picked. See my point?

Exactly, fit and finish issues have been pointed out, and some people – interestingly, a big chunk of Tesla's current target audience, Apple users – really care about that kind of stuff and may have been giving those issues a pass because the other differentiators more than made up for them. Remove the differentiators and what do you get? A slightly shoddy-looking product packed with cool tech. If that top segment of the market starts pivoting towards electric Audis, BMWs, Mercedes, etc., Tesla may be in for a rough ride. Add to that the fact that the CEO is patently unpalatable as a person (and that is very much on topic, as his stint at Twitter is the strongest expression of it), and… yep, we have a problem. The dude manages to be even nastier than Bezos, yikes!

Finally, did I divert away from… the original topic of my post? Or from the original topic of the thread… only in the last paragraph? 😂 Anyway, you people clearly want to have your cake and eat it too, don't you? When it comes to praising the guy, sure, Elon is the mOdErN rEnAiSsAnCe mAn (and he does play to that perception, unlike, say, OH, STEVE JOBS, who was pretty mum about his also wildly successful dealings in Pixar)… But when someone points out that Musk's failings have to be systemic, and not just random (what seems to be a bit random is the degree of freedom and power his subordinates have, and it appears that the more they have, the more successful his companies are), nah, it's not fair game to bring his other ventures up anymore. 🙄 Tsk tsk…
 
Last edited:
My point AGAIN was that Tesla's strong quarters were largely due to the significant price cuts, additional discounts, models potentially qualifying for $7,500 federal tax credits again, etc.

As far as "industry leading margins", that is largely due to the fact that they are not only the manufacturer but also the dealer. Most other automakers are manufacturers only so it's not quite an apples to apples comparison.
You're responding to my point Elon being a great businessman.

So I guess all your points were really in agreement with me? If not, I really don't understand your stance.
 
Ok, I already wasted a lot of time replying to this thread, but you still raised some pertinent questions, so here goes:

Regarding debt, thanks for enlightening me, I wasn't aware of their current situation. Last time I had heard about their massive debt was during the last bailouts after the economic crash, all the way back in… 2008? 2011? It's almost as if I erased those years from my memory, they were pretty traumatic here in Europe, especially with all the nation-wide IMF bailouts and interventions. However, you are aware that some of that debt is related to the pandemic and the war, and that there are massive recovery plans in place that will likely also revert towards automakers, right?

Yay, good on you and your free updates. And good luck on Musk keeping them free. 🤦‍♂️

As for licensing, sure, some automakers won't have the resources to come up with their own tech, and they'll either license them from Tesla, or… Apple? Google? Tesla isn't immune from competition from the tech sector, I'm afraid, and Apple in particular is reportedly investing not just on CarPlay, but on tech that may rival Tesla's own (and if the quality of the Vision Pro, a v.0 product that came out of nowhere seemingly fully formed from the hands of a semi-independent internal group like the rumoured car division, is any indication, oof…).

Regarding Musk being full of crap and failing to deliver on promises… I said what I said. Even if he makes 100 promises and delivers on 70 of them, that still makes him flaky as hell (especially if some of the missing ones are among the loftiest and more strategically important of the bunch). I obviously pulled those numbers from my behind, as most statistics on the internet, but hey, that's an increasingly common public perception of the guy, and it's not up to you to magically wave it away. You can try to word-of-mouth your experience as a Tesla owner all you want, but the company and its wares will be tarnished by all his shenanigans until they sack him. 🤷‍♂️

When it comes to the Supercharger network, I'm not bringing your assertions into contention, or at least not in their context; I'm pretty sure it's great in the US, as I've seen the maps and did all the back-of-the-napkin math back at a point – say, five years ago? – when it likely wasn't even close to what it is now, and still came away convinced. Yes, it's impressive, and yes, it's a strong asset. Except that's a very US-centric view. I've also seen a crapload of Teslas around these parts since they entered our local market not that long ago – those same five years, I reckon –, but Superchargers? **crickets** (8 Superchargers for a 10M population, 35 580 mi² country, and I can assure you that Teslas are indeed very common already 😂). People here use them mostly as glorified city cars (and, indeed, in Europe it's very normal to use your personal vehicle for certain daily usage and mid-range trips, and just take public transportation instead for larger distances; despite our decent highway network, we don't have that obsession of taking to the “interstate” and making 8-hour or even multi-day trips unless we have a really good reason for that – like, say, doing winter sports, helping someone else move, etc., while cheaping out on gear/vehicle rentals), so the whole Supercharger network point is kinda moot across the pond…

And last time I've checked, we're far from a small market (here I'm referring to Europe as a whole, and not to our puny little country); as for other big ones, like China and Japan, guess what, they also have very advanced high-speed train networks… The US, with its congested interstates and airports, is the outlier there, sorry. Also, my understanding is that the Tesla connector standard was either open-sourced or is going to be licensed on FRAND terms, which further diminishes the importance of the Supercharger network once, duh, new networks are built up and existing ones adapted to work with it (and if and once cars start popping up with Tesla connectors, you can bet those compatible charging stations will become widespread and even compete against Tesla on their own turf, as they will likewise be compatible with Tesla vehicles). Ever heard of this little thing called… the free market? ;)

Regarding the CT, you're just agreeing with my assertion, thanks. Of course it would be a regular truck, and it would likely be more profitable, just like the OG iPhone was, in hindsight, just a nicer smartphone with better materials than average (and a killer OS and interaction model, which were, of course, the key differentiators), and not a “wow” piece of design like the iPhone 4. Heck, the 3GS was even a physical downgrade just to accommodate 3G connectivity, at that… And had Apple attempted to manufacture something akin to the iPhone 4 in 2007, it would've ended up as an overly complex, thicc and heavy boi which would completely bog down their supply and manufacturing chain, because Apple had never worked with milled blocks of stainless steel – or aluminium, for that matter – and was more worried with getting the damned thing to work in the first place. Which is, incidentally, what seems to be happening with the CT, down to the materials and even the design language they picked. See my point?

Exactly, fit and finish issues have been pointed out, and some people – interestingly, a big chunk of Tesla's current target audience, Apple users – really care about that kind of stuff and may have been giving those issues a pass because the other differentiators more than made up for them. Remove the differentiators and what do you get? A slightly shoddy-looking product packed with cool tech. If that top segment of the market starts pivoting towards electric Audis, BMWs, Mercedes, etc., Tesla may be in for a rough ride. Add to that the fact that the CEO is patently unpalatable as a person (and that is very much on topic, as his stint at Twitter is the strongest expression of it), and… yep, we have a problem. The dude manages to be even nastier than Bezos, yikes!

Finally, did I divert away from… the original topic of my post? Or from the original topic of the thread… only in the last paragraph? 😂 Anyway, you people clearly want to have your cake and eat it too, don't you? When it comes to praising the guy, sure, Elon is the mOdErN rEnAiSsAnCe mAn (and he does play to that perception, unlike, say, OH, STEVE JOBS, who was pretty mum about his also wildly successful dealings in Pixar)… But when someone points out that Musk's failings have to be systemic, and not just random (what seems to be a bit random is the degree of freedom and power his subordinates have, and it appears that the more they have, the more successful his companies are), nah, it's not fair game to bring his other ventures up anymore. 🙄 Tsk tsk…
I'm not going to go point by point since I'm on an iPad
- Tesla wasn't bailed out by the gov. They took a loan from the gov and paid it back 9 years early as they realized they didn't need it. https://insideevs.com/news/551186/tesla-punished-paying-loan-early/ meanwhile Ford took the same offer from DOE and barely paid it back 1 or 2 years ago https://www.freep.com/story/money/c...nment-loan-department-energy-debt/5526413002/
- Free updates prove Tesla isn't "maximizing profits" as you suggested.
- You said elon is always failing to meet deadlines. Model Y ahead of schedule. Model 3 was ahead of schedule for deliveries. Battery projects were on time or ahead of schedule https://www.solartrustcentre.com/blog/elon-musks-biggest-lithium-ion-battery-ahead-schedule and so on.
- You downplaying supercharger network in EU is laughable. Suddenly taking public transportation/trains is somehow relevant to this conversatiom? 😂
- Your assertion about CT is that it's a distraction for Tesla. Except trucks are a big market and Tesla needs to make one either way even if it wasn't "cyber". Not an agreement. And yes doing a regular truck would be more profitable but that just goes to show Tesla isn't trying to maximize profits (thanks for proving me right)
- Not talking about apple users. So far fit and finish issues are still yielding record deliveries. Next.
- Last paragraph is absolutely off topic, yes.

Then you proceed along that has nothing to do with the discussion. You're now essentially accusing me of being in a cult. It's not cult-like behavior when I'm countering every point you're making with facts. Insulting. Lol, we're done. Have a good one. 👋
 
Last edited:
Register on MacRumors! This sidebar will go away, and you'll see fewer ads.