Well here's the thing most people have about imagining about the innovations of the future-- they imagine their change, with everything else equal, steady-state, nada. The world doesn't work like that. It's a domino effect. Things are a catalyst to other things, and so forth. Technological growth is exponential for that very reason. People like to imagine that in 2021 or any year of your choice in the future, Cloud storage is dominant and is the quintessential form in which digital storage takes place. Then they complain about internet speeds and the what-nots, as if it stay the same.
It's like people who complain about bluetooth headphones and having to charge their headphones every 8 hours, which is exactly the argument I read a plethora of times on this very site. They honestly believe in the future, the only change is bluetooth headphones, and everything else, including battery life improvements, sound quality improvements, stay the freakin' same. Then Apple reveals beats solo3, with up to 40 hours of battery life. I've found a lot of people having trouble imagining the future in a cause-and-effect mindset where things have direct impact on other things. Rather, they believe the everything is equal, and then throw in a random innovation and see how it fits into the world. For example, how would you feel if I told you that without World War II, your great-grandparents would almost certainly been impacted, doing something different, at a different place, meeting a different person, having a different job, that you would've never been born? Jeez, people would go crazy and say no way, I was meant to be born no matter what, and whatever leading up to my birth would've happened with or without any global affairs.
World War III tomorrow. You get drafted. You fight four years of war, then return home. During that four years, you could've met the love of your life, got a nice college degree, been to a job you aren't at now because of said war, and maybe even had children. Instead, after war, you decide to retreat rurally and work a low-key job for a few years, and you meet a girl whom you love there, and have children. Then your childrens despise, protest, **** about World War III, because of how horrendous it "was". Fact is, they wouldn't even be born if said war never occurred, because the specific chain of events had to occur for you to even meet the girl in the rural area. WE would've never been born if the specific chain of historic events didn't happen the way they did. I know it's not a pleasant thing to read, but it's the truth.
And yes, I realize I went extremely off-tangent there. It's just very annoying reading some ****-posts about why some innovations won't work because the author imagines the scenario in which the innovation is apparent, in an "all-else-equal" future, which is NOT how it works.
It's like people who complain about bluetooth headphones and having to charge their headphones every 8 hours, which is exactly the argument I read a plethora of times on this very site. They honestly believe in the future, the only change is bluetooth headphones, and everything else, including battery life improvements, sound quality improvements, stay the freakin' same. Then Apple reveals beats solo3, with up to 40 hours of battery life. I've found a lot of people having trouble imagining the future in a cause-and-effect mindset where things have direct impact on other things. Rather, they believe the everything is equal, and then throw in a random innovation and see how it fits into the world. For example, how would you feel if I told you that without World War II, your great-grandparents would almost certainly been impacted, doing something different, at a different place, meeting a different person, having a different job, that you would've never been born? Jeez, people would go crazy and say no way, I was meant to be born no matter what, and whatever leading up to my birth would've happened with or without any global affairs.
World War III tomorrow. You get drafted. You fight four years of war, then return home. During that four years, you could've met the love of your life, got a nice college degree, been to a job you aren't at now because of said war, and maybe even had children. Instead, after war, you decide to retreat rurally and work a low-key job for a few years, and you meet a girl whom you love there, and have children. Then your childrens despise, protest, **** about World War III, because of how horrendous it "was". Fact is, they wouldn't even be born if said war never occurred, because the specific chain of events had to occur for you to even meet the girl in the rural area. WE would've never been born if the specific chain of historic events didn't happen the way they did. I know it's not a pleasant thing to read, but it's the truth.
And yes, I realize I went extremely off-tangent there. It's just very annoying reading some ****-posts about why some innovations won't work because the author imagines the scenario in which the innovation is apparent, in an "all-else-equal" future, which is NOT how it works.
