Which makes me wonder whether Apple wouldn't want to tie the timing / release of a Mac Mini M2 Pro with a refresh of the Mac Studio. The speculation at the moment is that the M2 Pro and Max will have 2 extra CPU cores. This would see a 12 core M2 Pro Mac Mini outperform the 10 core Mac Studio's M1 Max, probably by a notable margin, in CPU performance.
You're presuming that the "2 extra CPU cores" are P cores. It is about as likely that these two extra cores are E cores; not P. Especially if this is TSMC N5P like the plain M2. The additional 1-2 GPU cores per GPU core cluster will bump a "Pro" class die up 4 GPU cores. That will take up space. The P cores getting a L2 cache upgrade will take up space.
Four E cores would make it more consistent with the M2 on that core count. The same with the Max. The Ultra is still done two identical Max size dies would jump to 8 E cores. But if chasing Intel/AMD on max core count numbers than probably won't hurt. ( would be at 24. )
There are rumblings that the M2 Pro/Max will be on TSMC N3. But if one of the main motivations there is to get to smaller die sizes ( so can get more dies out of a N3 wafer), then again the E core is a very creditable option. Again the emphasis is on making the GPU bigger; not the CPU .
The P cores naturally come in clusters of 4. Adding "half" a P core cluster would be odd. It is technically doable but odd. The E core naturally come in a cluster of 4 also. The Pro/Max have that chopped down. Decent chance that is driven by the Max needing to stay small enough so that it will not bump too close the other Packaging requirements for the Ultra to be incrementally under 1x reticle limit.
There is enough density increase with N3 so that could add a 'half' P cluster and still be under the reticle limit. However, even with just 8 P cores and N3 implementation at higher clocks would likely come closer to the old N5 M1 Max on CPU.
They don't have to be exactly timed. If there is an leapfrog for 3-4 months that would not be the "end of the world for the Studio". While the CPU performance would be close the GPU performance would not be. 24 GPU cores isn't likely to catch 32 GPU + twice the memory bandwidth even with some clock speed bumps and incremental cache increase. That memory bandwidth gap is significant (even if it doesn't matter for the CPU cores).
A Mini Pro is gapped from the Studio as long as keep the "Max" out of the Mini (which probably would if reusing the legacy Mini case. )
Edit - Or, maybe the Mac Studio is more stopgap than permanent fixture. The Mac Studio wasn't listed among the M2 Macs in testing by Gurman:
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/arti...s-with-next-generation-m2-chips?sref=9hGJlFio
Really? That rumor is from April 14 2022. The Studio was only released in March 2022. Why would Apple has the replacement in testing in the labs when they
just released the Studio. And can't even keep up with demand for the studio 3 months later the wait list is still super long. A product that is so 'hot' you can't keep it in stock is in no dire need of a replacement. Not at all.
If Apple refreshed the Studio in Feb-March 2023 that would work just fine. That would be faster than any M-series Mac replacement so far. A Mini Pro and MBP 14"/16" refresh would likely consume all the M2 Pro/Max that Apple could get their hands on for a quarter. Even more so if there is some kind of quad die Mac Pro thing out there sucking up wafers at a disportioncate rate to unit sales.
What could be coupled with the Studio is a return of the large screen iMac ( if they are giving the large screen iMac a shot at the Max by not gutting the thermal system. )