Well, I got my replacement card this afternoon. Identical card, looks like.
I had trouble installing it, because the slot the card comes in from the factory is flush up against an internal wall in the machine. After several tries I gave up and put the card in the middle slot (fortunately all other slots are empty).
What I'm wondering, though, if whether there may be a design issue here: if the standard placement for the card leads to a heat buildup?? Certainly, in the middle slot the card gets a lot more air circulation.
Whatever, now it's wait and see whether I experience more freezing. Since it was freezing several times a day I should have at least some idea of the comparison fairly soon.