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I'm hoping for a relaunch of the 12" MacBook. Even if Apple took the last form factor with butterfly keyboard and 1 port and and only gave it the guts of an M1 MacBook Air, I'd buy it for twice the price.
 
While it doesn't get the NAME (Pro), you can go in the store and configure a $3K Mac Mini using technology that is couple of years old right now...

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It's possible to configure a 14" MBpro M1 MAX with not MAXed config options for LESS that that... and it will come with a screen, better speakers, keyboard, trackpad, camera, battery, etc.

We can config a MBpro with the best M1 PRO chip 32GB RAM and 1TB storage for $100 LESS than that right now.

I do not see it as some monumental leap for M1 PRO & MAX to appear in a new Mac Mini.
Agreed; it's not a monumental leap and should be easily achievable, but it would be very welcome in many quarters.

I would expect it to cost "about $600" less than the equivalent cheapest MacBook Pro configuration. So maybe starting at $1300-1400 for a binned M1 Pro with 16GB/512GB.

It would go up to well over $3000, with a similar spec (64GB/2TB) to the maxed out Intel Mini above for maybe $3200-3300. However, such an M1 Max Mini (let's assume with 24-core GPU) would be *much* faster than the maxed-out Intel Mini, especially in GPU
 
Speaking of that we still have the examples of a M1 Max with 32 cores not giving geekbench metal results that are not four times a M1 (22000 vs 71000). Apple has yet to optimize it seems how the GPU cores run with MacOS.
As numerous reviewers have stated (Constant Geekery on YouTube is good), the GB5 Metal benchmarks on the M1 Pro and Max are likely unrealistic (too low) because they don't actually put enough load on the GPU cores to actually derive a maximum performance benchmark.

You would be better off looking for benchmarks based on the actual application performance that interests you.
 
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How could they justify that, given the CPU performance will lag behind significantly? I doubt that estimation
Think of it like current Intel Core vs Xeon lines. Workstations and servers tend to use the Xeons because they scale out to more cores and have some other advantages, but they are based on 2-year old core architectures compared to the Intel Core line.

The Pro / Max are somewhat similar when compared to the M1. I think users that can benefit from multi-core CPU and heavy GPU workloads will not be enormously concerned about single core performance as long as it still competitive and doesn't affect their workloads.

Apple may end up with a fast cadence, e.g. 12 months, but I think Pro/Max is going to lag the base M<x> by 6 months at least.

It's hard to tell based on less than a single iteration, during the pandemic. If M2 arrives next month then M1->M2 will be almost 15 months. M1 Pro/Max to M2 Pro/Max may be similar, but could be longer or shorter. It's too early to tell.
 
  • Redesigned high-end 27-inch iMac with M1 Pro and M1 Max
27 inch will be quite disappointing since M1 Pro and Max are far from desktop grade performance compared to 12th gen CPU and RTX 30 series.
 
I can see the M2 being the star showing at the next event. Which Macs it ends up in in are almost irrelevant.

For the record, I'm picking:
M2 Mac mini (redesign; M1 base stays to maintain lower price point)
M2 iMac 24" (4 port models only; two port stays to maintain lower price point)
M2 MBP 13" (same design)

I actually think Apple originally planned for the new MBA to come now, but there have been delays that have messed up best-laid plans. So, here we are...

Just can’t see a second generation Mac SoC while there are still Macs with Intel chips being sold. The M1 is the “transitional” SoC, once all variants have at least been announced, then we’ll see an M2. The iMac Pro with an M1 “Ultra” will be released at WWDC, and the Mac Pro with an M1 “Extreme” will be announced at WWDC and released in late Fall. The M2 will debut in a new MacBook in the Fall. The smaller, fanless MacBook will replace the Air, the larger will replace the 13” MBP.

The next event will have…

27” iMac w/ M1 Pro/Max
Mac mini w/ M1 Pro/Max
iPad Air
iPhone SE
…and possibly a high-end 13” MBP with a low-end M1 Pro (8/14)
 
Speaking of that we still have the examples of a M1 Max with 32 cores not giving geekbench metal results that are not four times a M1 (22000 vs 71000). Apple has yet to optimize it seems how the GPU cores run with MacOS.

Yeah not quite Apple’s problem here… macOS is optimized for all those cores, as can be demonstrated by applications that actually do see a 4x increase in GPU performance.

It’s been noted for a while now that GB5 GPU benchmarks are not running properly on these new SoCs.
 
It can do 8K 60Hz just fine, uncompressed. More importantly, I don't think an Apple display is touching anything close to 8K in the foreseeable future.


In link provided under "What type of compression supported":

"... VESA DSC 1.2a also can be used to obtain higher resolutions than 8K60/4:2:0/10-bit color, such as 8K60 RGB, 8K120 and even 10K120. VESA DSC 1.2a also supports 4Kp50/60 with the benefit of enabling operation at much lower link rates. ..."

4:2:0 is also a form of compression since throwing away data. 4:2:2 8k60 RGB would be above 4:2:0/10-bit color . ( similarly if dropped back to 8-bit color would be shrinking data by giving up color space.
 
  • Redesigned high-end 27-inch iMac with M1 Pro and M1 Max
27 inch will be quite disappointing since M1 Pro and Max are far from desktop grade performance compared to 12th gen CPU and RTX 30 series.
They also don't suck up 600 watts. Which is something a surprising amount of people care for.

I actually don't think we'll see the iMac just yet, or any Mac, but if it were the iMac I wouldn't expect it to have Mini-LED. Mini-LED screens seem to be a major concern in terms of supply, and considering a 27 inch screen is four times a 14 inch screen (roughly) that would only amplify this issue with MBP orders having 2 Months backlog already. Same goes for the rumored screens. I simply don't see Mini-LED being the norm on desktop sized screens anytime soon. (Plus I'm not so sure if that is even a bad thing. Not a fan of Mini-LED.)

At this point I wouldn't be too surprised if they pulled an Apple Watch 7 and just release the old iMac with new insides. Not saying this will happen, but the supply chain crisis has finally reached Apple and apparently in full force, and I think simple (and still best in class) IPS panels are much easier to come by. And they kinda have to offer a new iMac at some point (no, the 24 inch living room thing doesn't count).

I would expect US$3100 for the Mac mini in my sig...
So 1300 for the base model? Could be about right.
 
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Apple must have really committed internally to really ensure the Intel Macs still continue to get macOS support beyond 5 years. I don't see how someone who spent 41 grand on a specced out Mac Pro (check the refurb store) and not expect to get at least 10 years of macOS updates.

Spending more on Apple Mac products does nothing directly in getting longer support from Apple. Apple's Vintage and Obsolete policies are all based on "last day of sale" and have absolutely nothing directly to do with 'price'. Once withdrawn from sale there is a 5-7 countdown clock started.




Pragmatically, Apple's inattention to upgrades for the Mac Pro: 3 years (2010-2013) , 6 years ( 2013-2019 ) is what extends the support length window. The willingness to ship something more than several years old gets the longer window; not the price. Apple treating the Mac Pro as a "hobby product" is getting the longer support window rather than price customer pays.

It is somewhat coupled in that folks who pay $30K probably are not coming back to buy something for more than several years either. It becomes a bit of a pricing death-spiral as the higher the price the longer the upgrade cycle .. which leads to higher prices .. which leads to....

10 years on the 2019 will primarily be driven by fact that sat on product until 2022 ( 3 years : 2019 -> 2022 ). The leading edge macOS will probably disappear before that. by the 10 year point on the dregs of the "major security fix only" upgrades. Depending upon how quickly most Mac users retire x86_64 Macs , Apple could quit a year or two sooner than 10.

Paying more just puts more money in the Scrooge McDuck money pit that Apple runs... not extends service life.
( can also tell because they don't let folks explicitly buy super long term extended service either. )
 
The M2 will be a development of the M1 with the same CPU cores (4P + 4E) but likely more GPU cores, with modest increases in CPU speed and energy efficiency. The M1 Pro is a completely different design family and will not be the basis of the M2

There is a pretty good chance that Apple will prioritize putting ProRes en/decode into the M2 higher than adding more GPU cores. They could go with the "small size" ProRes en/decoder from the A-series. However, if targeting the big video en/decode of the M1 Pro/Max into a M1-class die that would be about same space that 1-2 GPU 'cores' would take up. And Apple would be 'done'.

Similarly if add AV1 to the decode abilities. ( consumption trumping GPU core count increase ).

Ditto for the NPU cores if doing something with AI/ML upscaling. The display processing on M1 was a bit under powered to (number of displays supported went down from the Intel iGPUs. )

Going from TSMC N5 -> N4 is about a 6% increase in transistor budget if keep the die at the same size. Better caching ( GPU , CPU , and/or NPU ) , ProRes, display processor , and better Ai could blow most of that whole budget increase.

The M2 still probably has to fit inside of a iPad Pro, so they probably are not looking for a die size bloat.

Can get some performance and power utilization efficiency uplift from the minor shrink too. So same core count would move the performance numbers up. Same number of cores , but substantively 'better'. But other specific stuff had higher Perf/Watt bang for buck in those silos . (which happen to dig a bigger moat around the Apple ecosystem. )
 
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Why wouldn’t they announce “M2 + M2 Pro & Max” at the same event though? Won’t people automatically assume M2 will be faster than M1 Max?
That’s not gonna happen. M2 is going to be slower than the max and the pro but faster than M1.

Also Apple is not going to release an iMac with the Max or Pro, they will release it with M2, same for the Mac mini. The M1 pro and Max are only for pro devices so they’ll be exclusive to MacBook Pro and Mac Pro
 
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Spending more on Apple Mac products does nothing directly in getting longer support from Apple. Apple's Vintage and Obsolete policies are all based on "last day of sale" and have absolutely nothing directly to do with 'price'. Once withdrawn from sale there is a 5-7 countdown clock started.




Pragmatically, Apple's inattention to upgrades for the Mac Pro: 3 years (2010-2013) , 6 years ( 2013-2019 ) is what extends the support length window. The willingness to ship something more than several years old gets the longer window; not the price. Apple treating the Mac Pro as a "hobby product" is getting the longer support window rather than price customer pays.

It is somewhat coupled in that folks who pay $30K probably are not coming back to buy something for more than several years either. It becomes a bit of a pricing death-spiral as the higher the price the longer the upgrade cycle .. which leads to higher prices .. which leads to....

10 years on the 2019 will primarily be driven by fact that sat on product until 2022 ( 3 years : 2019 -> 2022 ). The leading edge macOS will probably disappear before that. by the 10 year point on the dregs of the "major security fix only" upgrades. Depending upon how quickly most Mac users retire x86_64 Macs , Apple could quit a year or two sooner than 10.

Paying more just puts more money in the Scrooge McDuck money pit that Apple runs... not extends service life.
( can also tell because they don't let folks explicitly buy super long term extended service either. )
I feel like this should be covered by consumer protection law.
 
I would expect that the new Mac Pro with its likely changed form factor and changed functional concept would make sense as a pre-announcement in the WWDC keynote where developers as part of the target audience can be addressed directly, also to exploit its changed design with new and adapted software.

It would then ship a significant while later than that, towards autumn / winter.

So where would that leave the other models?

I think the idea of switching to just plain MacBook for the low-end laptop would make sense. With the M1 max / pro MBPs now shipping is there really a need for a separate MBP 13" any more?

Using the new M2 generation for a redesigned MacBook would make sense, but would that be based on last year's A15 or this year's A16? The processor development cycle and production volume may dictate what's possible there, and when the release would be possible.

An M1 max / pro Mac mini would make the most sense to be squeezed in alongside another Mac release, so with the MacBook would make sense.

As to the iMac Pro: It would make sense to have models with M1 (or M2?) max / pro processors but also top models with the Mac Pro processor; so they might delay iMac Pro presentation until WWDC as well, especially if the display supply issues keep holding them up anyway, or maybe just the top model alongside the Mac Pro...

New, separate displays would make sense at multiple points whenever available for slightly different reasons, but they are a necessity by now.
I can't see Apple launching an iMac Pro with the M1 Pro/Max processor, as the 2017 Intel based iMac Pro model (that was discontinued last year) is still faster in both CPU and GPU scores.
 
Secondly, we are imagining a "pattern" based on only perhaps a familial connection to what we've seen with A-series chips. Perhaps there's no M2 at all? Maybe it will be a letter change instead of a number? Hello N1. Maybe M-series is meant for Mobile macs (in spite of original Mini and "Mini" iMac) and desktops will get a D1? Maybe Apple will do a OS X branding trick and the next real hardware will be M1.2 preceding M1.3?Maybe Apple will jump to an M5 (and only increment in 5s or 10s)? Or perhaps align the next iteration with A-Series with the new M16 chip? There's no history to assume anything. Yes, it seems logical that the chip after M1 will be called M2, but until there is a M2 we have no pattern at all on only a single iteration. The long-time OS X branding implies it very easily could be M1.X branding for the next decade and a half or so.

Umm, there is a history with Apple’s silicon nomenclature… Ax, Sx, Hx, Wx, Tx

First letter is the “family”, the number is the generation. Why would they change this naming scheme just for the Mac? I do see your point about there possibly being a second “desktop” family of SoCs. However, next gen. Mac SoCs will more than likely be M2 and it will be based off A16 gen. cores, not A15.

That’s my guess.
 
When has Mac Mini ever got an event launch?

Its most likely iMac Pro and maybe a new Macbook Pro 13
when the mac mini got a redesign? decades...so if the mac mini comes with that redesign that people talked then...Mac mini with M1 pro/max can have a special 5-10min presentation on March 8th
 
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It just doesn’t make sense to release an M2 product with so many other machines still on Intel processors. If they release a Mac in the March event, the safest bet is adding the M1X to an existing model of some sort.
 
It just doesn’t make sense to release an M2 product with so many other machines still on Intel processors. If they release a Mac in the March event, the safest bet is adding the M1X to an existing model of some sort.
Yes, the Intel mac mini probably will get replaced in March, the bigger intel imac in June, and thats it, since Apple wants to keep Intel Mac Pro probably for another 1-2 years along side with the apple silicon
 
Yes, the Intel mac mini probably will get replaced in March, the bigger intel imac in June, and thats it, since Apple wants to keep Intel Mac Pro probably for another 1-2 years along side with the apple silicon

Doubtful towards the "that's it" in regards to the debut of the ASi Mac Pro (Cube), the transition will not be complete until all Macs are using Apple silicon...
  • M1 Pro/Max Mac mini (Pro) desktop - Late Winter/Early Spring Event 2022 (rumored/speculated for March 8th)
  • M1 Pro/Max 27" iMac (Pro) all-in-one desktop - WWDC 2022
  • Dual (possible Quad) M1 Max Mac Pro (Cube) - preview @ WWDC, release by end of 2022
 
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I can't see Apple launching an iMac Pro with the M1 Pro/Max processor, as the 2017 Intel based iMac Pro model (that was discontinued last year) is still faster in both CPU and GPU scores.


iMac Pro 18 cores : 1148 Single. 14069 Multi

iMac Pro. 14 cores : 1112 Single. 11942 Multi


iMac Pro 10 cores : 1169 Single. 9655 Multi


MBP 16" Max : 1778 Single. 12743 Multi


In single threaded, it isn't faster. For multiple only the 18 core is really a clean win. If the new iMac Pro (M1 Max) is $1.5-2K cheaper than the 18 core then I doubt many folks are going to complain about that. There is no indication that Apple is going to try to match the price of the old iMac Pro entry point here. Which should make adding. $700+ for BTO M1 Max configuration probably landing lower than the
[ The screen is likely less than what folks are thinking it will be driven up over 2K for the entry iMac Pro, but no where near $4K. ]

Folks who had a mix of multi and single workloads drifted mainly to the 8 and 10 core models. ( e.g. Adobe apps ) . For iMac Pro the higher core count the single scores dropped.


GPU wise also... knock a thousand off the price and a healthy number aren't going to complain.
Folks pushing lots of ProRes Video won't even blink at buying. ( if offload the video en/decode from the CPU and/or GPU, then it won't matter the GPU can't hit the same "compute" benchmark score. ). Also points to why Apple has been hyperactive in driven software vendors to optimize specifically for Apple's GPU with native Metal. (no 3rd party GPU support on M-series and folks have nothing else to do but optimize for just one GPU family. )


There is a corner case of folks who bought: 256GB RAM , 18 core Xeon , Vega64X GPU systems , but that was no where near the majority of users. And a decent number of those folks probably looked at a Mac Pro 2019 in the past year or so if needed to "trade up" due to increase workload. Eventually, Apple's "half sized" Mac Pro will be used to target this subset. ( if there is a Max Duo then Multi score falls and the GPU probably does too in most cases. )


The "half sized" Mac Pro isn't going to cover the top end BTO options for Mac Pro 2019 either. Two 6800 Duos. , 1TB RAM , and 28 cores ... probably not on a fair number of workloads.
 
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