Absolutely. Their risk, however, is that younger/newer users start working in other software and never start using Creative Cloud. This strategy works as long as most people stay. Once there is more than a small group who leave, Adobe has a problem. Currently, everyone uses Photoshop because everyone uses Photoshop. People expect to be able to ship PSD files around and not worry about it. Think of it like herd immunity with vaccines. Once a sufficient number of people switch, others who used to be able to say: “I will only accept a PSD (or a .AI or an Indesign file)” will start discovering that they need to be able to deal with Affinity Photo/Designer/Publisher, or Pixelmator Pro files. The more those people start to accept alternative formats, the easier it is for people at the margins to move away from CC.
For some other Adobe apps it can happen more quickly. Many people use Premiere Pro/After Effects because they are good enough and since they already pay for Photoshop, they are basically free. As that price goes up, they will start to look seriously at DaVinci Resolve and Fusion (free for the needs of many users, $300 one time purchase for those that need the extra features), or Final Cut Pro X/Motion and Logic. Again, the more it happens, the faster it goes.
You caught me! I've been lurking in the shadows on MacRumors for 11 years with 10,000 posts just so that I can shill for them using gorilla PR tactics. Boom! I'm also "the Russians" everybody talks about on the TV. Be scared.
Given how much time you have spent building this online persona, it seems odd that you are surprised that people are upset by this price increase.
Finally a sane person. I have the same thing just for freelance side work, and my work also pays for a license for my work Mac. It pays for itself so fast!
The problem that Adobe has is that there is they have done a very poor job segmenting their users. As someone mentioned, there are more than a few people who would not think twice for the suite at $100 or even $200. Unfortunately, there is not a version that satisfies the needs of the hobbyists and semi-pros, that is substantially cheaper. Adobe’s cloud storage is less valuable than Box/Dropbox/Google Drive/iCloud Drive and is even less interesting to people who use their systems for other software. There is some price (I have no idea what it is) at which CC is cheap enough that people will buy it without thinking twice about it. There is a higher price at which almost everyone will still buy it, but they will not be happy about it and may even start looking for alternatives.
As the price drifts, more and more people will drop from the ranks and start using other software. People like you who use it to make real money, will not worry about it and just keep paying. However, the faster it goes up and the higher it goes, the faster the lower end of the market leaves and the greater the likelihood of a catastrophic collapse.
Yeah yeah, I addressed this just a few posts down, still on the first page of comments. And again, there are a lot of cheaper alternatives that are pretty good that are coming to market like I mentioned above. Cancel your service and migrate your catalog to one of these promising startups.
The more that happens the faster it will happen moving forward. This is Adobe’s real risk.