Lol "bad air" hahahahahahaha... so many surgeons dropping dead after wearing a mask for a 12 hour surgery.... Does it hurt being you? Because it all the nonsense coming from you sure hurts my head.
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Almost 100 Apple Stores Closed Again, Including All Stores in California
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My iPad and Mac are my main tool for income and I will do what I always do, call Apple Support. I don’t have time to wait for a Genius Bar appointment.
Yeah, especially considering California having 40 million people according to 2020 census, Florida having 20 million and Georgia having 4 million. I wonder why California have more cases than both Florida and especially Georgia.
People like the one on these two tweets cherry-picking graphs without context and background are just perfect examples why educating the population is extremely challenging and difficult.
I would also suspect their test capabilities, actual percentage of population going to get tested, population densities etc. But no, throw these two scary looking graphs and claims “lockdown does not work”. It’s amazing to see the graph marks Georgia’s restriction removal as “human sacrifice”. Crazy indeed.
ZZZ....of course they did. This is true in Michigan where businesses are still completely open. Apple is down to curbside and fix by appointment only. It’s a little much. If I’m going to mingle at the grocery store I certainly am not going to freak out over going into an Apple 
store.
store.
Read the article again. Let me know if there’s anything you don’t understand. Details matter if you’re going to tell someone they’re talking out there ass. Heart disease is #1 overall in 2020 but in the past few weeks has been taken over by Covid. Happy to give you some pointers on statistics.
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Wrong your death count is among the highest in the world even accounting for population. In virtually every survey of Covid responses in countries USA rates the worst.
Numerous leaders around the world don't have a news infrastructure within their country that is pathologically against everything they do. The WHO is a garbage organization that fumbled early on in the pandemic and covered for China. I think Trump, his administration, Fauci, etc. was trying to do the best they could with the limited information they had at the time. We didn't know how if this thing was going to have death rate of 50% or less than 1%, which we now know was the latter. National policies are supposed to be made on what's best for everyone for the long run, not just assuming the worse case scenario all the time. I'm definitely no Trump fanatic, but you're kidding yourself if you don't think the media response to a Democrat president doing the same thing would've been the exact opposite.
Then you fall back to your backup device, because you simply can not afford to have a broken device when it's your primary source of income. Or you have a contract with the manufacturer with a guarantee for repair or replacement within a specific time frame. Of course, this costs money. But again, without a machine you can't make money at all.
Take for example, if a server breaks, I call Dell. Within 4 hours Dell is on-site and start repairs or replace the whole machine. With laptops, they usually start repairs or replacement the next business day. On-site, no questions asked. Same is available for Lenovo and Apple (not from Apple directly though). If anyone is running a business, relying on tech and doesn't have a backup plan, maybe they shouldn't run a business in the first place, because they suck at it.
Yes, they track it and it will be interesting to compare these numbers. There are already peer-reviewed publications about this out there, but not for the full year as the year is not over yet. There are also studies that compare things like number of suicides before and during the lockdown, such as this one: https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.10.20.20215343v1
It will be very interesting to see the final numbers for 2020 to have a full picture. Not just for death, but also remote-work.
You'll always have to consider population density. Check youtube as well. You have a shocking amount of "media" idiots in California ignoring lockdowns, masks and distancing. They're busy with they (illegal) party life. Just remember what happened during spring break in Florida... it was a huge party.
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You know those coffee/hot chocolate machines at gas stations that keep filling up for a few seconds after you release the button? Yeah, the guy you were responding to is the kind of person who over-fills his cup every time because he doesn’t understand how it works.
Nope they work. Do it once, do it properly. Get control so the numbers are low enough contact tracers can do their job. This has been shown in many places. That’s why I shall be having a normal Christmas where no community covid has existed for 8 months. You not so much.
Again, “do it properly” didn’t happen, so no, they don’t work. Doesn’t matter why.
I’m at Disney World for Xmas, as usual, so it’s just a normal year for me. 😂
Things are operating normally in America in most cases. In fact, I can’t tell much difference besides the masks.
Only stupid states closed anything and most of those orders are being ignored bc, you know, people need to work to live. No one is containing this virus anymore.
Then I'm not sure why compound growth is so hard to grasp...
Ok, let me try a finance metaphor and maybe this will be more clear... The math is essentially the same.
In finance, you have income, and you have expenses. When your expenses exceed your income you run a deficit and the accumulated deficit is debt. You need to pay interest on that debt. If you add the interest to your debt, then your debt load increases. It doesn't increase linearly, it increases exponentially because as your debt grows, the size of your interest payment grows which in turn makes your debt grow by bigger increments.
Think of human interaction per time as expense, the human immune response rate as income, infections as debt, and transmission (so called Re) as interest. If there are more interactions per time than the human immune system can clear, you build up a growing pool of infected people. The more infected people there are, the more transmission there is which increases the size of the pool and leads to exponential growth.
What do you do when you have exploding debt? You reduce expenses. What do you do when you have exploding infections? You reduce human interaction per time. You shutdown.
If you can reduce expenses below income, then your accumulated debt will decline with time.
If you can reduce the interaction rate below the immune response rate, your total infections will go down.
Shutdowns work for the same reason expense reduction does. Does it need to bring infections to zero to be useful? No, it does not. With a smaller amount of infections in the population you add fewer infections each compounding period and the growth rate is slower just like your debt growth is slower when your debt is lower-- what might be called "manageable debt". Just like most companies need to go through periodic cost control measures to keep their debt down, society needs to go through periodic shutdowns right now to keep their infections down.
Stop acting like you need to get infections to zero to make a shutdown a success. The goal is to reduce loss of life, and if you can cut the number of infected people in half today, then the number of new people infected tomorrow will be cut in half which means the number of infected people the day after tomorrow is less. It works. Thinking we were going to only have to do this once was naive just like thinking you only need to go to the dentist once would be naive.
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Your last post about GDP turned me completely off to your sense of what’s going on. You just don’t fully understand these concepts and have a more humanitarian view perhaps. Locking down destroys lives and could destroy the economy. A 32% contraction is not just some nothing blip...we roared back bc we opened back up quickly. A shutdown the scale we tried in March for any continued period of time would have been devastating. Thankfully, we didn’t do that.
I think you’re somewhat thoughtful, but there is a full picture you’re refusing to see because you are trying to argue for saving lives...something I understand is hard to argue against.
There is no disputing that the age group most impacted by this virus is quite old, let’s agree on almost living their full life expectancy and beyond. That is absolutely relevant when assessing risk and response. If this killed perfectly healthy people on any regular basis, I’d completely change my tune.
We should not be locking down for many reasons, particularly at this point, and those who are still afraid should be protected by staying home. Others need the option and full ability to operate their businesses, within the guidelines of reasonable precautions. Forcing people unaffected by this to stay home because they could “spread” this is completely against American values. The ones in danger should have to adjust and be subject to restrictions, not perfectly healthy people that understand risk.
Life is a risk...other viruses and risks exist every day.
I won’t be continuing to respond to you, bc I’m too lazy to go point for point. You do raise some fair points, but so do I, and you dismissed them just bc I was “wrong” about total deaths and some other points where there is evidence Both ways. I’ve been wrong before. I never expected more than 200,000 to die, sure, but much of the other stuff I’ve said is still true...we just disagree on the approach. People definitely see my side because new restrictions are less onerous and are largely being ignored.
It’s hard to prove and not be “conspiracy guy” when questioning death totals, but as an analyst, I see problems with the reporting, particularly when CDC says 3 other conditions contributed to death in 94% of cases. That leaves a lot of gray areas for docs, particularly with funding for Covid to hospitals and the fact we are dealing with a lot of very old and very sick people. I’ve had first hand experience with several death certificates...let’s just say it’s not a process an engineer would like.
I also believe and know from economics that the secondary and tertiary effects are more damaging than the obvious ones.
Good day.
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Logic doesn't work that way. If it did, umbrellas would be deemed useless as protection against the rain simply based on some people just bringing them, but not actually opening them and holding them over their heads when it rains.
Yes I would say everything is normal , except for all the dying. That you Americans have succeeded very well with. Plenty of countries have contained the virus, just not you.
And this is how misinformation gets spread. Idiots who have no clue making statements as fact and no credentials. Herd immunity has never been achieved without a vaccine.
You say it like I can fix it. I think other countries did a better job covering up their issue and have different reporting methodologies, medias, and geographies, for sure.
Lockdowns don’t work in America...but I’d rather live here than your country.
Good for you. I think the fact I’m welcome in your country but you’re not welcome in mine speaks volumes about that. Every other country did better because they didn’t cover up this issue lol. Enjoy your alternate reality.
Befitting of the logic that was being addressed.
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For those interested in actual science, I'll leave this here to read: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-020-18272-4. Of course anyone can agree or disagree. When you disagree, be sure to link a reviewed paper as a source, for further discussions. Those that agree, already have a verified source with the link above.
What are you talking about?! There was never a 32% contraction in GDP. If there were, the economy would be the size it was in 2000.
2Q20 GDP fell 9%.
The math is quite simple. Real GDP in chained 2012 dollars in 1Q20 was $19.01T. In 2Q20 it was $17.30T. 1-(17.3/19.01)=9%
I think you're relying on a news summary that pulled the "percent change" number from the BEA report without context for some added sensationalism. 32% is an annualized number, which is meaningless in this case for reasons so obvious that an analyst shouldn't be making the mistake of quoting it.
Annualized values only have any predictive power at all in a stable, steady state economy. Q2 was neither.
No, we do not agree that most people dying are living up to and beyond their life expectancy. You clearly do not understand how life expectancy is measured.
Half of the people dying have an average remaining life expectancy of 13 or 14 years (meaning many are expected to live longer). A third of the people dying have an average remaining life expectancy of 18 or 20 years (again with many expected to live longer).
And nobody is “perfectly healthy”.
Sure there’s risks. That doesn’t excuse reckless behavior. You can’t just say “sometimes people get hit by lightning, so why can’t I drive home after a six pack?”.
It’s not about fear. It’s about trying to minimize harm— both to public health and to the economy. Unchecked growth of the virus will bring an economy down. I showed you that Sweden’s economic output was affected about as badly as the US, even when they were going all herd immunity.
And saying only people who don’t want to get sick should stay home totally ignores the fact that people simply can’t stay in isolation. They need food and services. The point of restrictions on business is to make the most necessary interactions less risky.
I agree this puts a burden on certain businesses. Some need to adapt (as many have) and some should be supported by society. Bars aren't closing because of mismangement or a bad business model, they're closing because we need them to close so we can keep the more critical parts of the economy working. If we as a society are making that decision, those businesses should get financial support from the taxpayers. That's been another piece of the government response that has been sorely lacking in the US.
I’m fine if you stop responding to me. You tend to duck or ignore my points anyway. That’s not going to stop me from responding to you though. If you’re putting ideas out there that are wrong and dangerous, I’ll continue to give my view.
If the points you're raising are factually wrong, it's not about a difference of approach. If there's evidence on both sides, provide it. But if you're going to continue repeating a point, such as "shutdowns don't work", when they clearly do, then you need to support it if you want to be taken seriously.
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Not a normal year for more than 300K people (and their families) who died due Covid-19 during the last few months. But please, keep on happily posting smilies.
Bravo.
Merry Christmas.
Life is hard sometimes. The majority still here have to make it too. Merry Christmas from Disney!