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People have been coming out of lockdown the world over and very few places are showing increases nationally. Why do you think the US is different at this point?
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New Zealand is a far less populated country. You can't compare one to the other. There will be a degree of overlap but that is such a flawed statement to say "It worked there so it would have worked here"...there are far too many variables.

Exactly what I say about "gun control" to all those that are scared of firearms.
 
Americans have the constitutional right not to wear masks and the right to spread viruses that can kill others, or i think... well based on what the media tells me. No idea what to believe. Go America!
 
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You literally just picked the first result on Google!! OK, here are a few more for you:

https://www.healthline.com/health/herd-immunity#how-it-works (Anywhere between 40 and 95%)

https://www.sciencemediacentre.org/expert-comments-about-herd-immunity/ (Around 60%)

https://www.sciencealert.com/why-herd-immunity-will-not-save-us-from-the-covid-19-pandemic (92% for mumps)

Interestingly, that last link comes up with the same 70% number but at least qualifies it by saying that it reaches that number because of the R number of 3. COVID currently has (in the UK at least) an R number of below 1.

Plus, until every person has been tested for both a current infection and antibodies, you have know way of saying with any authority what percentage of people in NYC (or any city) have had the virus.

The average of the studies you cited is greater than 70%, which is a pretty good ratio of reducing transmission. No one ever cited 100% or that masks were perfect. Given how this virus has proven to be both contagious and lethal, and we could wear a mask to reduce the spread by 70% to save our friends, families or fellow citizens, you would still prefer to not wear a mask?
 
California will soon follow.
I don't think the spikes in CoV infections are solely due to not wearing masks — people are interacting with each other more closely now that the lockdown has passed. Businesses are opening and people are going out.
Masks can reduce the likelihood of transmission, but they definitely don't prevent it.
If everyone were wearing a mask it might help. Since people can have it and not know it, everyone should wear a mask. We can't say this won't work since a large portion of the population will not wear a mask. They have vids on transmission with a mask and without a mask. Less transmission with a mask especially if both people are wearing one.
 
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I have yet to hear a convincing alternative to ending lockdown from anybody who says "too early"...but I'm always open to ideas. So what do you suggest? Literally keep people locked down and businesses closed until a vaccine arrives...which may never happen? How do you think the global economy would be able to support that?

Literally keep people locked down, for real, until everyone with the disease has been identified by testing, contact trace and isolate, so that you snuff it out. New Zealand did exactly that, and has no cases. Then you let people out, you keep testing, and as soon as people have symptoms you isolate, test, and contact trace.
 
And what exactly? Lockdown the country until a vaccine? The virus is here to stay folks. We have to learn to live with it. Staying in your home isn’t going to kill the virus. The fact that no one gets this is beyond me. I just came back from vacation in Arizona for a week. It was beautiful living life not crippled by fear.
 
I am anything but embarrassed.
Don't worry, anybody here who understands the scientific method is embarrassed for you.
Please tell me how I am invalidating scientists by saying that what is regarding as immutable truth by scientists can be discovered later to be a falsehood? I am not saying that scientists are inherently wrong, what I am saying is that scientists do not have some innate knowledge of the physical world,
Classic fallacy made my charlatans.

"Scientific evidence came to the wrong conclusion in the past so all of science is wrong"

Educate yourself and stop using fallacies (The first example they use in this article was what you posted almost exactly 😂):

But critical thinking is a skill that everybody should have.

Ironically in my experience it is only the people who lack critical thinking skills that constantly make these statements.
 
People have been coming out of lockdown the world over and very few places are showing increases nationally. Why do you think the US is different at this point?

Because the US started coming out of lockdown before it met its own guidance for when it should come out of lockdown. Cases were still increasing at an accelerating rate. That’s a stupid time to give up.
 
And what exactly? Lockdown the country until a vaccine? The virus is here to stay folks. We have to learn to live with it. Staying in your home isn’t going to kill the virus. The fact that no one gets this is beyond me. I just came back from vacation in Arizona for a week. It was beautiful living life not crippled by fear.

Lockdown until everyone who has it is identified and isolated. Stop with the straw man arguments.
 
Do what New York did, test the **** out of everyone, enforce face coverings, and slowly reopen in a phased approach

but the governor of Florida criticized the states that did that sort of thing and patted himself on the back.
 
I have yet to hear a convincing alternative to ending lockdown from anybody who says "too early"...but I'm always open to ideas. So what do you suggest? Literally keep people locked down and businesses closed until a vaccine arrives...which may never happen? How do you think the global economy would be able to support that?
We never had the whole country on lockdown and everyone wearing masks.
This is what happened during the 1918 pandemic. It took the 2nd wave with 100's of thousands of people dying before
everyone became true believers. human nature.
 
I actually think that new cases is a largely irrelevant metric at this point. New deaths is the most useful because, as somebody wrote above (and as has been shown in many different studies from all around the world), it seems that many more people have little or no symptoms than end up being affected very badly.

So as you increase testing, you will increase the number of diagnoses of asymptomatic people which shows "infection rates" increasing...but they aren't necessarily increasing at all, you are just picking up more diagnoses. If infection rates keep rising but death rates don't then asymptomatic diagnoses are probably the reason. I would definitely be keeping an eye on the death rates but infections...not so much!
Heh how about deaths matter? You have more infections in Florida etc...with more deaths 2-4 weeks from now unfortunately.
 
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Yeah of course I did, I'm not going to waste additional time on anti-science mis-information spreaders such as yourself, when as you just showed, you can google yourself.

If you had taken the time to read any of those articles (you didn't), you'd realize that:
  1. They prove what I said correct and what you said wrong.
  2. The higher the ease of transmission, the greater the required percentage of population needing to be immune, of which COVID is easily spread and therefore will require higher percentages of the population to be immune.
To summarize, your insinuation that NYC is benefitting from herd immunity is ridiculous.

Oh so I am anti-science am I? And you know this how? Simply because I said that the scientists MAY not be right in everything they say? Consider the situation in the UK...

Dr Ferguson made predictions based on his scientific model for multiple epidemics/pandemics in the past and on every occasion his predictions (based on "science") were an order of magnitude wrong! I am not saying that science doesn't exist. I am not saying that science it always wrong. I am saying that science CAN be wrong.

And the articles that I quoted literally said different numbers to the 70% which you quoted as both a fact and as an invariable parameter. And yes, I do understand the concept of transmissibility, I am far more intelligent than you give me credit for. Of course a more virulent illness will require higher numbers to reach herd immunity. But the last of those articles stated that 70% was required for an illness with a transmissibility of 3. COVID simply DOES NOT have that number, at least not in the UK. It is less than 1. Therefore, by your own admission in point 2 that you made, if it is only 1 then then percentage needed will be much less than 70%.

Plus, you may be 100% correct that, on a macro level, NYC didn't benefit from herd immunity, but what about on the micro level? If people are staying in, under lockdown, in apartment buildings or other high population density areas, then herd immunity can operate within those pseudo-closed systems. If a high enough percentage of people within those environments that are positive (or recovered) then herd immunity can protect the un-infected within those "closed" communities, thereby limiting the spread within those micro-groups. Each of those micro-groups then benefits from lower infection rates. If you then go up a level and look at those micro-groups as "individuals" then the lower rates mean that there is less chance of a spread between those groups. It isn't as simple as looking at the overall number and saying "no herd immunity".

Anyway, to summarise, I did not insinuate anything, I merely posited it as a possibility. That is what enquiring minds do. They consider more than the dogmatic, parroted press releases. Sometimes they end up coming back to agreeing. Sometimes they don't. But you seem to be suggesting that because I looked at other sources, that I am somehow less informed than you?

I am absolutely open to all opinions on this, but I won't simply accept what one scientist says as being the facts when there have already been different views on this...from other scientists! There is no consensus.
 
There’s no vaccine available in New Zealand, but they did the lockdown the right way and now they’re basically back to normal operations.
New Zealand is a far less populated country.

Because it's an island with very few and tightly controlled entry points. Compare New Zealand to Alaska and Hawaii, which also had small infection rates. The same situation occurred with Japan and South Korea.
 
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