Yes but do you think this is realistic. They are saying 10 million is 1% and that is true but this phone is not really in the mobile phone catagory it is in the smart phone catagory (I think) which lowers the figures dramatically. I am sure Apple Inc Marketers and such have done there research but I cant see how they can put the iPhone in the general catagory of mobile phones and I think it belongs in the smart phone category.
I'm finding the whole thing impossible to fathom.
With hindsight, I see why iPod was successful. While MP3 players at the time came from no-name companies and were over-sized or too low in capacity, the iPod was the right balance and was clearly easy to use.
When iPod mini came out, I didn't really understand it until I saw the market it was aimed at snapping it up.
When iPod photo came out, I finally knew enough to figure out why someone would want it and be prepared to buy it, largely through having a fiance (now wife

who was always proudly showing pictures of her nieces to everyone. The idea of adding a photo library made some sort of sense.
But now with this I'm back to square one. I don't see the market. I don't understand why anyone, beyond a very snooty Mac enthusiast, would get this in favour of a good Nokia or Motorola. It's large, about three times the size of my V635 and, remarkably, actually larger than my second generation iPod (except for width, of course.)
The price is very high. Yes, so was the RAZR's, but the RAZR's came down in short order once the initial hype subsided, and IIRC it was never $500! Recent phones in the RAZR series, KRZR and RIZR, unlocked and unsubsidized, are around $300 today. So the market for phones costing over $500 that, even then, require contracts is, well, questionable.
And price is something key. People are used to getting free phones, or phones that "cost" $50-150. My wife gets horrified when I buy them because I always insist on getting something unlocked and unsubsidized. But even I spend $250-300, not $500-600.
To believe it's going to sell well is to believe that a significant number of people will look at it and say "I need this. And I'm the kind of money that has $500 to spend, and am happy about spending it on a (good) phone." I'm failing to see who that group are. Who is this thing aimed at?
Without knowing that, I can't tell if this is a Thread 500 for me, again, or something that'll bomb exactly the way it first appears.