You can choose to believe whatever you want. That's fine.
Or you can see what prominent fund managers have done and admitted to in the past without any repercussions. Take Jim Cramer, for example. He's described simple stock manipulations that he used to do when he was a hedge fund manager to drive the price of a stock in a direction that he wanted to.
Here's a youtube link.
As for why Apple has dropped 6% today, of course there could be legit reasons. Obviously the market is spooked by flat iPhone sales. Combine that with Apple stating that they will no longer provide unit sales data for iPhone, that has everyone assuming that Apple is trying to hide falling iPhone sales going forward.
What I refer to is the continual flooding of negative Apple stories year after year, without anyone in the business attempting to refute, even in the face of being proven wrong over and over. That's the manipulation that happens.
At some point, when the stock has been beaten up enough, you'll see stories coming from the analysts as to why the next supercycle of iPhone is about to happen. Could be the very same analysts putting out the negative stories today. Of course they'll have notified their clients to buy AAPL before they publish their bullish reports.
In regards to the future, yes, eventually iPhone sales will plateau. Every market reaches saturation eventually. The smartphone market will not be the exception. The key will be whether Apple can withstand flat sales with higher ASP's or not. Right now, most analysts are bearish about that. I'm bullish on it. Apple sold the same number of iPhones last quarter as they did a year ago. Yet they grew revenue 28%. Eventually, they'll be unable to grow the ASP on flat/declining sales, so they better have another source of revenue handy when that happens.
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Totally agree. Apple has a track record of being able to pivot and creating an all new revenue stream. Services could be that stream, or maybe they have something up their sleeves.
EDIT - Here's an example of analysts and the media lying, but not lying.
View attachment 800630
https://www.cnbc.com/2018/11/02/heres-what-every-major-analyst-had-to-say-about-apples-earnings.html
DAMMIT -cnbc.com changed the link for that story above.Nevermind, I found the link in my browser history.
The headline here says Apple's guidance (referring to Q1-2019) is weak. For the record, Apple is guiding between $89 and $93 billion. In that article, JPMorgan's quote is that the avgEstimate is $92.6B and JPM's estimate is $93.1B. Apple routinely beats their high end guidance (I think something like 3 of the last four quarters and 7 of the last 8), which would put them at $93+B. Which would exceed the average and probably meet JPM's estimate. Yet the headline is "weaker guidance".
Note that the 92.6/93.1 estimates were raised in the two months leading up to yesterday. If the analysts had kept their original numbers (from Aug 1st), Apple guidance would be looked upon as "upbeat" or "herculian". Yet the major institutions all raised their estimates and they still couldn't get above Apple's guidance.
Tell me that's not manipulation.
Thanks for sharing video. We know most traders are dirty Cramer was pumping RH and Zuora recently. Look at what happened to their stock after lol.. Don’t expect honesty from a guy like Cramer