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The iWatch is a great opportunity for Apple to see if its rabid fanboys are in numbers high enough to sustain a new product category; if the watch succeeds, Apple can probably get away with releasing anything.
 
Maybe it is you. But keep in mind that you know what the Omega will do and you don't really know what the Apple Watch will do. Not once the developers have at it. So it isn't really a fair comparison until you've held the watch and the several bands in your hand and you've tried out the apps. Me, I'm having trouble seeing too much value in it. But I suspect some of that is lack of imagination about how the watch will get incorporated into my life. If Apple Pay is ubiquitous by the end of 2015 (and remember most points of sale systems need to be replaced by then to accept Chip and Pin cards, so the infrastructure is coming), that alone might be the killer App.

Yep, I can see the name now: iPay Watch.

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The iWatch is a great opportunity for Apple to see if its rabid fanboys are in numbers high enough to sustain a new product category; if the watch succeeds, Apple can probably get away with releasing anything.

Next product in the pipeline: iCrap
 
How long after release will it take for one of those gold ones to end up in Pawn Stars lol
 
The iWatch is a great opportunity for Apple to see if its rabid fanboys are in numbers high enough to sustain a new product category; if the watch succeeds, Apple can probably get away with releasing anything.
Yep. Where the rabid fanboys go, the masses soon follow.
 
lol

Is this sarcastic?

SOLID GOLD? Really? Sorry kid, it is not solid, it is 18K and probably plated so it wears out in time for the next version.

:rolleyes:

You forgot your rose colored glasses. It's not that it wears off. It's that the watch changes with age. As you wear it, it will magically transform from gold to silver to steel to aluminum to classic black (plastic).

If by chance the entire surface doesn't change at once, it's not a defect.... It's the special edition metallic rainbow version. Select users will be randomly chosen to receive this special edition.

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i think it's 18 karat and not 24 karat.

i believe most people will buy the low cost version $349

I believe most people will not buy one at all.
 
Apple alwasy screw over early adopters.

1) First iPhone had a price drop just weeks after it first went on sale.
2) the first iPad barely survived one iOS software revision becoming obsolete in just over a year.

Ill wait for the V 2.0
 
Apple alwasy screw over early adopters.

1) First iPhone had a price drop just weeks after it first went on sale.
2) the first iPad barely survived one iOS software revision becoming obsolete in just over a year.

Ill wait for the V 2.0

Version 2.0 will be offered in a much cheaper "classic" version that blinks 12:00
 
I don't think this product will be widely adopted ever.
Someday you'll have the luxury of knowing if your prediction was accurate or not. You can use this knowledge to learn whether to trust yourself or to take what you think with a grain of salt.
 
I have a Tag watch I bought 5-6 years ago for around $2500. If I sold it, I could probably get roughly $1500 for it now as its in near mint condition. An Apple watch with a degenerating battery that will be obsolete within 2 years will lose 95% of its value in 5 years.

I seriously don't understand the purpose of the Apple Watch...and I've owned 6 Macs, 4 Apple TVs, 7 iPhones, 5 iPods and 5 iPads.

An as new Iphone 4 costs 150 (80% decline in 4 years), and Im thinking that the watch could decline slower since its replacement cycle will be slightly longer. I'd guess 50% in 4 years for the cheapest one.
That's a cost of maybe $40 per year for the functions of the watch.

The battery can be changed for probably $30 (That's how much I paid to change my 3GS battery).

So,... How is this expensive?

The main improvement of the watch will be SOC and sensors. If the battery doesn't improve much, performance improvement of the watchc will be limited to maybe 50% in 3 years. That won't negate existing functions, especially esthetic ones.
 
Most Jewelry Does Not Increase in Value

Which tag do you have?

I think Smart watches will go the route of iPhones - requires change every 1-2 years to keep up with the internals and OS requirements.

Why do people think this? First, iPhones don't require changing every 2 years. People have iPhone 4s and 4S's that work fine. Second, people still use iPads and iPad 2's, also 3-4 years old. So why couldn't the Apple Watch not only be useful for many years, but I think Apple will support for a minimum of 4 years and design changes probably will happen every 2-3 years.

Jewelry isn't about heirlooms. The far majority of jewelry purchased does NOT increase in value. Instead it's purchased because it is beautiful and the purchaser finds it more valuable than the cost. Simple. A lot of people are missing the point.
 
See, here is were Apple could potentially lose me. I could care less about fashion. I don't want a gold iPhone, gold watch, etc. I want a powerful 15" rMacBook Pro, I'd like a more powerful Mac mini, and a real Apple TV, and a bunch of other things. But fashion is NOT on my list. So it's great if Apple can make some extra money selling jewelry and such, but they won't be getting this customer to wear a watch anytime soon. I wouldn't buy one for $199.
 
Open Letter of Eric Migicovsky -- Founder of Pebble,

Do not look at the Apple Watch as the end of your run. View it as a validation of your concept. Apple is going the high road with a unit taking all of the high fashion and trendy crowd. Do not make the mistake of being Timex against Japanese competition in the 70's. You need to be the low price leader.

Get rid of that color OLED Pebble watch a few saw on California Avenue in Palo Alto during the summer. Get the best hardware optimization engineer you can find (I have a few references) and get the MSRP $95 Pebble smart watch out there. If you are smart, you are in progress of this already. If not, kill everything else, do a 50% layoff and get this low-ball smart watch out there.

Once that is out and the big money is in, time to get exotic and trendy. Let Apple be their high and mighty, Vogue / Esquire / Seventeen darling. Casio cleaned up with one ASIC that made over a hundred models. Want to get fancy? Have an RGB LED drive the back-light and have a C-language SDK call control that color. IMO, this will outsell the Apple Watch tenfold.

Do NOT compete against Apple head-to-head.

To continue this conversation. Red Rock Cafe, on the Castro in Mt. View., November 12th at noon. See you then. Wear the jersey of your favorite British Premier league, shower and shave that morning.

You are doing well. Glad you ego isn't that large from all this success and the 800 lbs. gorilla jumping in.
 
I'm glad there are going to be some people out there willing to pay $5000 for this piece of crap. Then I will be able to know what kind of an idiot I'm dealing with at a simple glance.

Those same idiots probably make 250K+ a year, so they can do whatever they want with their money, just like you.
 
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