xsedrinam said:It's early on, yet, and STL seems to have come back to life. This subtle stat I think is significant if they hope to continue.
I can't think of anything in baseball that's harder to predict than the effectiveness of relief pitchers. And when you're talking about a whole staff, it's almost impossible. Only the really big star relievers (Rivera, Hoffman, Gagne for a few years) show consistent effectiveness over time. Most of the others bounce between good years and bad years. The 2003 Dodgers had the best bullpen in baseball by far. The 2004 Dodgers did not, even though they had almost the same group of pitchers.
There's also the fact that the Padres have one of the weakest lineups in the league, and they were playing in one of the most extreme pitchers' parks in the majors. (Those two things are partly related, obviously.) I'm not saying the Padres will make a comeback in St. Louis, only that I wouldn't put too much faith in rookie relievers based on two games at Petco.
And how many times do you plan to roll the dice with Jeff Weaver?