Ok, I've already done some back-of-the-envelope calculations with standby battery drainage. First my data: from my last post, I mentioned my iPhone 4 lost 3-4% battery when left off the charger overnight. For the purposes of these calculations, we will assume a 4% drop (worst case) and the night lasted 8 hours. Now, in the hour or so since I last posted, I have left my iPhone 4S on my desk at work and have not touched it. For the record, it sat there for 51 minutes in a good signal area (full bars) and did nothing except receive 3 emails and vibrate for each one (I did not turn on the screen to look at the emails). During that time, the phone lost 2% of the battery. The settings of the 4S and the 4 are essentially the same (location services on, connected to wifi, 3 email accounts, all set to push, notifications on).
First, let's look at the iPhone 4. If we take the 4% drop over 8 hours as typical, that corresponds to 0.5% drop per hour of standby. This means the iPhone 4 should get 200 hours of standby time (not quite as high as Apple's 300, but I probably had some stuff turned on that they didn't). More importantly, let's say your normal work day is 16 hours long. During that time, you can expect to lose around 8% of your battery due to the iPhone just sitting in your pocket or on your desk. That's not bad considering all the things it does.
Now, let's look at the 4S. It lost 2% over the course of not even an hour (but we will round it off for the purposes of this calculation). If we have a loss rate of 2%/hour, that gives 50 hours of standby life per day. That is one quarter of what Apple claims! More importantly, over that same 16 hour work day, you can expect to lose 32% just to standby (the phone is just sitting there)!
Looking back on this analysis, it makes sense. I used to have around 40-50% left on my battery after a day of normal usage with my iPhone 4. Now, I am ending the day with 10-20% after normal usage on my 4S. What's the difference between those two numbers? About 30%!
The iPhone 4S is doing something in standby mode that is killing the battery! Apple needs to figure out what it is and release a software update ASAP!