Are you serious? Have you seen the amount of effort Adobe has been putting into having Flash remain relevant through initiatives like the Open Screen Project and Flash player 10.1 launching on Android and other mobile OS platforms? Adobe actively totes that Flash is an integral part of the web and that a majority of websites rely on Flash to deliver rich content to visitors around the world. This "knock-on" affect of losing relevance is a HUGE blow to Adobe's efforts to have Flash remain more ubiquitous than Java could have ever hoped to be.Funny how everyone here thinks this is some massive body blow to Adobe when Flash and related programs comprise just 6% of its annual revenue. Shame nobody here can comprehend a financial statement.
Now to the reason for the disappointment. The days of expense reduction to achieve bottom-line expectations is over and I expected Adobe to focus on increasing revenues from 'sunrise' segments such as the Platform business (Flash and FlashLite). Adobe's expectation (and mine too!!) was that the increase in 'Flash-enabled' devices would trigger demand for tools to develop 'flash-based' content and for service providers to deploy the 'Flash Platform' infrastructure to cater to the demand for more digital video content. My expectation was also that the Platform business would compensate for the declines in the Creative Solutions and Acrobat( classified under 'Business productivity' segment) business which are largely dependent on one specific workforce group - Creative Professionals. But that doesn't look likely this year at least.
Platform business looks unlikely to compensate for other segment declines
In the recent past, Adobe continually highlighted the 'phenomenal' growth in Flash penetration in PCs and mobile devices. Here are some commentary snippets related to that from Adobe's SEC filings (10Qs/10K) and earnings transcripts, in the last year or so, which I was able to extract using Gridstone Search.
Do you see how this HURTS Adobe's past and CURRENT narrative on Flash? Will industry moves like this have SERIOUS impact? Sure. We don't know what they are yet, but if people are moving away from explicit support for Flash, then we're wondering about client/server licensing costs, authoring suite costs, marketing costs, and connected costs to Adobe's bottomline.Note how Adobe talks about the penetration achieved by FlashPlayer and FlashLite client in terms of number of devices which are flash-enabled. The 'burst' in flash-enabled devices conjured up images (in my mind at least!) of solid revenue streams in the near future through OEM licensing fees and also through revenue from sales of tools to develop and deploy flash content.
However,in the midst of the search, I noticed an interesting 'snippet' from their 10Q filing for 1Q09 (Second snippet from top in exhibit III above). With the newer versions of Adobe Flash, the OEM's will stop paying license fees for bundling Flash technologies with their devices. Therefore the only way Adobe could generate more revenues in this emerging business is to sell more tools. This at a time when corporate spending on such 'productivity' tools has been significantly hit as the other revenue stream (OEM license fees) will decline and then vanish soon.
Whoa. There's a huge nail in the Flash coffin.
Good to hear and hopefully see in the near future.
Since I use Macs, I'd really prefer to get the HTML5 version of sites on my computers, too. Flash on the Mac is the real "bag of hurt." Ugh.Flash isn't going anywhere. They're just serving up HTML5 video in addition to Flash video. If it detects an ipad, it'll serve up HTML5. Otherwise, for vast majority of people who still use computers, they'll get the Flash video.
Ignore the man behind the curtain.Flash isn't going anywhere. They're just serving up HTML5 video in addition to Flash video. If it detects an ipad, it'll serve up HTML5. Otherwise, for vast majority of people who still use computers, they'll get the Flash video.
For those of yiu scoring at home that's apple 1 adobe 0.
I posted twice before you posted a second time. I was originally updating my first post, but then decided to just make a new post the conincidentally addressed your points from your second post. I guess I was anticipating what you might immediately respond with... and apparently I guess I was on the mark.I never replied to you again until now. You answered my questions when you double quoted a post the last time.
Which would suggest iPlayer is STREAMING content, and not simply linking to an external FLV or MP4 file like most Flash content on the web. Moreover, I think if you have a sophisticated MEDIA SERVER that can apply certain rules and procedures in HOW media is served, you will have more content protection options that simply using Flash to link to an FLV or MP4 sitting in your normal IIS or Apache web directory. For instance, look at this tech note from Adobe outlining how users can work to "protect" Flash content.Doesn't work on iPlayer. Safari's Activity tab shows nothing out of the ordinary at all.
But then of course, the iPad will still not be able to show the other parts of the NYT which are done in Flash, which include the "fancier" parts, like some of the magazine section.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/HTML5Sorry to rain on the parade, but what exactly does it mean to support "HTML5 video?"
Last I looked, the standards body had debated over whether to go with H.264 or Ogg Theora and were encountering challenges that split the community on what to support. Fortunately, the draft standard takes into account a VIDEO tag with multiple source provisions:MacRumors should know better. Last I looked, H.264 was a proprietary standard, which was NOT part of the HTML5 standard.
Which is excellent, and makes everything so much easier to move to standards based playback and not proprietary plugins.Flash Player also supports H.264...
These eventually should be redone to not require Flash either. Flash is a great way to support older browsers but... it took a long time for people to get on the CSS bandwagon. Pushing for developers to move toward HTML5 will be a huge win.But then of course, the iPad will still not be able to show the other parts of the NYT which are done in Flash, which include the "fancier" parts, like some of the magazine section.
Flash isn't going anywhere. They're just serving up HTML5 video in addition to Flash video. If it detects an ipad, it'll serve up HTML5. Otherwise, for vast majority of people who still use computers, they'll get the Flash video.
It may just be me but the video demo on the brightcove website plays in very low quality in Google Chrome, and not at all in Safari. :-(
It works for me in Safari, and the video looks pretty good and is multithreaded, the only problem is it's not GPU-accelerated. Uses between 50% and 100% of both cores on my 2.53 GHz MacBook Pro (GeForce 9400M). That's not too good and if the iPad can handle it, it's going to suck battery life like crazy, unless it is GPU-accelerated on that platform.
I'm pretty sure all of the videos on Brightcove's website are still in Flash.
Well this was the HTML5 "Try it now" page, so I'm assuming that's not Flash? I think that's the point of the page...
Funny how everyone here thinks this is some massive body blow to Adobe when Flash and related programs comprise just 6% of its annual revenue.
Shame nobody here can comprehend a financial statement.
Dude flash will be irrelevant soon in the future. If you can't see this, I don't know what else we can do.So uh... where exactly did they say they were "replacing" flash?
Geesh, I've said it before... use some level of intelligence here... they are adding HTML5 support for a device which does not support Flash...
Not replacing, adding support for... do you get that?
Okay, one more time. Machines with Flash (~98% of all connected platforms) will get the Flash version, devices without it (~2% of all connected platforms) will get the HTML5 version. Clear?
How exactly is this the 'nail' in the coffin, the death of flash, the end of AS3 and the demise of Flex?
All of these anti-flash people couldn't code their way out of a paper bag, so it makes sense that they can't comprehend a common-sense business strategy.
And for all of you click-to-flash proponents... uh, if you don't like Flash... why don't you just remove it, or never install it in the first place? My guess, you need it for a few things or there is absolutely no reason to keep it around.
so sad.