I was able to lookup *something* on the fedex site. To me, that's a good sign I'm going receive my preorder soon...
I ordered during the pre-order rush, received a confirmation email for my 42 MM Stainless + black sport band dated 3:08 AM EST, showing 4/24-5/8 delivery.
Apple store site + App still showing that timeframe.
Entered my (a) order number, (b) *full* zip copied from my apple store order [really how all the info entered here would be as entered in via the Apple store], and (c) the phone number as formatted in the order status and I was able to see something w/ in status at fedex. Very promising.
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I believe this is real because:
(1) I have just changed numbers and this is definitely the first order with Fedex since that change (that # not my previous phone number made the fedex backend happy)
(2) I haven't ordered something for shipment via the Apple store, really ever since my I moved - so there is a very slim chance the apple store order number formatting would snag a record.
Of course, taking with a grain of salt but shipping communication would not happen if there wasn't some *expected* confirmed orders that have cleared payment, cleared stock + logistics and are all ready to go (with a status of in transit!) really at the shipper's behest...