If the USA tells Apple to pull out of the USA, then Apple will have to do so. BUT, that’s not likely to happen. So, it’s back to countries… that have both a strong desire to invade other countries… AND… to be able to use Apple Pay. I think you’ll find that’s not a very long list of countries that have these combined desires… Perhaps 2 at the most.
Not really. Apple Pay is only one of many sanctions that have been applied in Russia. Even if Apple Pay was still available, the VISA and MC’s loaded into it still wouldn’t work. And, local Mir cards STILL work even without Apple Pay. The only thing removing Apple Pay has done is just made people have to pull out their physical cards, not really a hardship.