The jump from 1080p to 4K is clearly visible. The jump from 4K to 8k much less so. And in the end an AppleTV needs to be connected to an 8k-capable display (a.k.a. TV). When Apple launched the aTV 4K, 4K TV’s were widely available and affordable. I don’t see a similar situation for 8k TV’s, not even in 3-4 years from now.
So unless Apple would ponder to enter the TV market with an 8k model, an 8k aTV makes no sense simply due to lack of (affordable) 8k TV availability. And if Apple would indeed ponder to release an 8k TV, it’d make no sense to attach a separate aTV box to it, as they could instead integrate the functionality from the very beginning.
My bet is on their headset instead. No more lugging around heavy and bulky flat screens, optically dominating the living room. Just put on the iGlasses (or whatever they’ll name ‘em) and enjoy a virtual 4K/8K screen wherever you want.
When tube monitors and TV’s became too unwieldy, a new technology stepped in (flat screens) and allowed for much better devices with a greater diagonal at a fraction of the weight/bulk. Flat screen tech is now approaching a similar junction imho.
Again, same stuff ahead of 4K and 1080p launches. When Apple launched 4K AppleTV, there was still a good mix of 1080p and 4K TVs for sale. Right now, that's more a good mix of 8K and 4K TVs for sale. But "we" slung that back then to pooh-pooh the idea of a 4K AppleTV too. Go back to before the 1080p AppleTV and it was the same then too: "everybody has only 720p or 1080i" sets. There are hardly any 1080p sets right now." And yet, there actually was. Apple was about LAST of the set-top boxes to go 1080p. I had that kind of TV for YEARS before Apple TV could display native res to it. I had piled up 1080p video I shot myself for years before I had an easy way to push it to my 1080p TV.
Same with the "affordable" adjective. 8K TV is generally not as "affordable" as 4K TVs, mirroring 4K vs. 1080p when the former was the new kid on the block. However, we're the Apple crowd... known to pay WAYYYYYYYY up for RAM, SSD, etc so it would seem plausible that if anyone is going to pay WAYYYYYY up for a higher resolution "monitor" vs. cheaper alternatives on the market, it would seem likely to be us.
And again, as far as "clearly visible" but "much less so", that too was slung against 4K before there was one and 1080p before there was one. I couldn't even count how many times people were slinging "eyes can't see the difference" applied to arguments against a 4K Apple TV and 1080p AppleTV before that too. So we'll do it again for 8K and again for 16K after that... UNTIL... Apple actually rolls out such a device and then all that evaporates... as if we never had any fault with higher resolution boxes.
What rumor is in play right now that seems plausible: it seems towards a lock that perhaps the next iPhone will shoot video is 8K. How does one display that 8K to their 8K TV if they have one? They'll have to directly connect it or a Mac to that TV... UNLESS an AppleTV 8K is rolled out to be the middleman tech. Would Apple want someone to spend about $30 for a cable or buy a new AppleTV for $150-$300?
What marketing line keeps getting slung about Silicon video power by Apple: "PRORES engines capable of handling multiple streams of 8K video." If one is working with 8K video and then render it as 8K- as Apple themselves are promoting now- how would someone play that content on an 8K TV? Again, hook that Mac to the TV? Or slip in an 8K AppleTV as middleman? Would Apple want someone to buy a cable or buy a new AppleTV?
Just as it was with 4K before this... and 1080p before that... Apple is
already turning the page...
already pushing 8K in the lead products and as a point of demonstrating the great power of Silicon. What good is either in practice unless there is an easy way to display it?
All that offered: the pattern of the past is that iPhone can shoot in a higher resolution for up to about a year... various iPads get the same capability in their upgrades and then soon after iPads go, an AppleTV able to push that quality to a TV follows pretty quickly. So I doubt we get an 8K AppleTV this year but if the Fall phones can shoot in it, the Spring-Fall iPads next year will probably shoot in it and an AppleTV 8K probably hits in the Fall of next year.
If iPhone doesn't go 8K this year, then I'll guess it all rolls out another year.