I don't really see anything particularly negative about those projections. I would expect those who really want the iPad when it launches to pre-order it--and to do it as soon as pre-orders are available. Some on the fence will pre-order this month, and the rest are going to wait until they see it--or wait until the bugs are worked out after launch. LOL--it took me until 3GS to get an iPhone--but I've liked the product since launch.