Well, it’s not uninformed. The maps I posted are from 2010 census data.
When I say ‘empty’ I mean there are so few people living in those areas they’re not relevant in the shift to this future method of transportation. The vast majority of the US population will be serviced by these fleets. People living in these incredibly low population density locations might not appreciate it, but it’s a reality. It will be no different to what it is now, with some services absent that are available in population centres.
Of course the whole world is not the US, and these same systems will be rolled out in Europe and other developed countries.
The maps were of little use. They show that Many people live in cities. Not a surprise. It doesn’t show how people travel or use vehicles. If you want to suggest that cities (primarily larger ones) will have fewer people owning vehicles than they do today - I will admit that is possible. But that’s a far cry from your original suggestion. But even in cities in the US, people travel to rural areas and currently want their own vehicles. This is a fact. I don’t see this changing because subscription models will likely only be viable within a city or small, restricted area.
What you are suggesting is an Uber - type company, that doesn’t pay a driver (self driving), that allows people to not own a vehicle and still travel anywhere. The problem with that model is that you still need a physical location to park the vehicles and the risk of financially acquiring a fleet And then your fleet would be distributed across the state if not the country within a week if there weren’t travel limits. If there were travel limits, the oasis of not owning a vehicle dies right there. People don’t like limits. The only reason Uber works is because the drivers swallow the cost of purchasing, maintaining, and storing the vehicles. You lose ALL those benefits when they become self driving.
The “people won’t own cars“ logic is flawed. You know how we know that? People can rent cars, taxis, leases, etc right now. It hasn’t stopped ownership. It’s cheaper for the majority of the country - including the population. Even if it’s not cheaper, it’s clearly preferable. For those that live in a smaller bubble, that may work. I Have friends like that - but guess what, every time they want to go on a trip, see family, or take a vacation, they immediately call a friend who owns their own car.
I’m sorry if I come off harsh or overly argumentative. I’m just laying out my points. It’s a good discussion.
*The one and only way I see car ownership changing is if we get self driving cars that you can Uber-out while you sleep or are at work. This does NOT however do away with ownership. It actually still requires individual ownership so a company doesn’t have the high risks discussed before, but it also allows a larger portion of the population to not have a vehicle because they can essentially borrow it from the neighbor. The problem with this... inequality. If a richer class that has the money to buy a car can then rent that car out to folks that can’t afford one, I could see that further dividing the wealth in the country.