I disagree with this. Your argument seems to be because Apple has launched successful products before then all products they launch will be a success.
You're also omitting products such as Apple TV (today Apple reinvents the TV) which then became a hobby, and the original HomePod which was canned two years after launch and hasn't exactly set the world alight since. I also remember a whole keynote just for the launch of the iPod Hifi.
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What strikes me as different with Vision Pro is how it's marketed and has been fundamentally conceived. All the products you list above, and the classic Apple approach, was to identify a problem and invent a product to provide a solution. Apple always sold the products on what you could do whereas with Vision Pro it seems the other way round. It's a very impressive bit of hardware which isn't really clearly solving anything and is instead looking for a purpose.
I will also say another point of difference is Vision Pro isn't a universal product. There are people who can't use it with certain health conditions, it's heavy, some find it uncomfortable and I can't imagine it works well with make up. You also have to be fitted to it. All of these are barriers for mass adoption.
Personally I see this product going in the hobby direction similar to Apple TV, it will be something that will be supported and continue, and there will be some interesting use cases I'm sure, but it won't see mass adoption for a long time, if ever. Vision Pro to me is Apple's attempt at having something in the market in case this is where the future goes but it seems a response to the whole Metaverse hype there was a few years ago before everyone largely forgot about it.