I keep hearing about Plex (I admit I haven't played with it) and others that you can install, like Boxee/XBMC (which I was an alpha tester for on ATV). However, what I think all these are missing that the ATV has is a clean user interface. I don't want to have a keyboard or mouse to work my home theater (neither does my wife and kids). How do you rent movies with Plex or Boxee? I think, other than non-mainstream shows that are not streaming, DVR is dying.
I know that alot of you readers will disagree with me, but the simple interface that ATV has blows all the others away...especially since I can easily rent movies too. Now granted, ATV doesn't have the codec support that the others have but I don't know if the UI degrade is worth it. I find that I really just rent movies and buy kid movies so that the kids can watch them more than once. Just keep it simple is what will succeed in the mainstream...and that is where the money is. I will also admit I rip my purchased DVD's and then Handbrake them so they are on ATV...all behind the scene geeking out that my wife and kids don't want to or care about. I am fine with the quality and so is my family...I know others are not and I respect that. I would like to see ATV support more codecs...wouldn't mind a blueray player to be included with that too.
Just so you know, I did geek out with Boxee alpha on ATV and then into Beta, but it just never clicked with the family. UI is very important...hence the fact that the iPhone, iTouch, and now iPad are the first successful tablets. All others were trying to accomplish it but if you try and run a program that is designed with a mouse and keyboard, it is tough going if you don't have those accessories. Programs need to be designed with the specific UI in mind.
In my simple mind, all I think we need (and there are rumors it is coming) is ATV with iOS. Apps can be developed (hopefully Pandora and Hulu would be part of that) and I think the possibilities are almost endless. Who knows what great things all those minds out there can dream up.
Anyways, the new mini is nice but...