There is no UPS flight from Hong Kong today. Next UPS flight is 11:20 HKT (Dubai -> Cologne -> Philadelphia). In Germany (-7h) it is 04:20. So our Macbooks can fly earliest tomorrow Morning at 04:20. The plane is landing after 13h+time in Dubai at around 18:00 in Cologne. If UPS is not total slow, than a delivery on Friday is possible. But i think Monday is our day...
Am i wrong?
Yes, you don't know if it will be transported to Europe by UPS. Just because it was the case for US people, it doesn't mean it's the same for EU. In the past, Apple also used chartered air freight.