unfortunately I'm thinking they are probably real. Apple like their external antenna design which they raved so much about so it doesn't surprise me they'd keep it. Just elongating the screen makes it bigger but doesn't mess too much with exisiting apps nor make the phone too big. I watch each apple announcement with excitement yet in recent times they are mostly a disappointemtn for me. The elongated iphone fits with apples current philosophy, just like the mediocre iOS6 update (from what we know so far). I think we'll get LTE (useless in the UK) and NFC and a better camera and more speed but I don't see apple pushing the pace any more.
Personally I don't see these leaks being from apple to throw people off the scent. iOS6 disappointed people, now the elongated iphone is. People are already leaving to go to android or win mob (personally I am very close to picking up an S3) so if anything apple need to speed up release or show us something good rather than leaking 'fakes'. Slipping from a summer release to an october one means many people who didn't get a 4s are on a 4 or 3GS even and are desparate for a change. For the vast majority the badly designed home button probably barely works and something special might be needed not to jump ship!
I totally agree they need to announce something soon b.c tons of people are jumping ship solely b.c they want a new phone NOW!