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Think a trade war is a good idea?

  • Sure, why not

    Votes: 5 16.7%
  • NO

    Votes: 25 83.3%

  • Total voters
    30
Good thing I have a Mac mini and iPhone 6, won't be buying anything new Apple anytime soon.

And to think it's cheaper to build product in China and ship it to the US in fossil-fuel CO2 spewing cargo ships is cheaper than producing them here? Something's fishy....
 
Except judging by my quest to buy a good tea kettle, after my newest Chinese made but American brand name "stainless steel" one rusted since I got it for Christmas... and going by the product reviews on Amazon for all the replacements I'm evaluating, Chinese steel rusts when it is supposed to be "stainless".

As someone who watched my mom get 20 years from her vacuum cleaners and small appliances when they were made in the USA, to now seeing our family have to replace appliances that are barely a year old, I think China isn't doing anything better besides making stuff to clog our landfills and theirs faster. Yeah, cheaper, sure. Better, no. We've rigged all of our values and our entire economy to fill landfills faster and put more people out of work. Fair trade my azz. There's little fair about any of it. The customer gets shafted over the long term and wages go down and job opportunities dry up.

They aren't finding other things to do with their talents. Where are these great free or affordable retraining opportunities I keep hearing so much about? People whose towns and livelihoods that revovled around an industry that shuts down and goes overseas within the space of a year don't just miraculously find another job after a few night classes somewhere. They can't just pack up and move to where the jobs are. Who would want to buy a house in a dying town? How will they afford new housing in a new town or city when they can't sell their existing home? How do they go about getting a new education when they struggled through school the first time in a poor district and now are adults with families to feed?

What's the answer? Welfare? Go on to one of these towns and see what's happening to people who have nothing to do but live for a pittance from the government. Or grow up like I did where these folks resettle only to end up foreclosed on with their stuff out on the street because they can't keep up with the loss of jobs to other countries or wage competition due to illegal immigration.

I now live in a comfortable semi rural suburb in one of the wealthiest counties in the US. If I didn't have family in the steel towns and didn't grow up with kids from the coal towns, I would be easily dismissive of the struggles I've never seen firsthand and only see in newspapers and upvote your post.

Before you jump to conclusions, I did not vote for Trump. I'm still not entirely convinced he's all there. You can be a Democrat and have voted for Hilary and still see that something's broken and things aren't running the way the professors at the universities tell you they ought to. The real world is a messy hands-on lab and most especially when it comes to economics.

I can't dismiss the observation that once a product I value and respect starts getting made in China or with mostly Chinese parts, it stops being reliable and long-lived. Lol, excepting iPhones.

Again, this is my experience as a consumer. I may pay less at each purchase but over the course of five years I end up paying much more and taking more dead appliances and aquarium equipment to the dump. Even the repair shops often won't touch this junk.

I wonder, are you old enough to remember when the "cheap junk" label was applied to everything made in Japan? For decades Japan was said to make nothing (except cameras) that wasn't a poor knockoff of a better product made in the U.S. or elsewhere. It seems ridiculous now, but this was definitely the case until the 1970s at least. Take this a little further forward to Japan's "economic miracle" of the 1980s. Supposedly they had national economic planning all figured out and were going to utterly dominate world economics for decades to come. Instead, within ten years they'd slipped into an economic malaise from which they still have not emerged.

The point being, economic trends have a way of shifting, and fast, and most economic policy is about fighting the last war. Tariffs are, especially, because they are intended to protect industries that have become noncompetitive on world markets, and not for no reason. Politically it can be popular to talk about "saving" these industries, but in reality, they can only be put on a kind of life support. That's the most protectionism can offer, and it comes at a tall price.

Economics is going to be dislocating, that is how it works. The way to handle the human costs is by understanding how the next war will be fought, not the last one. This is where Trump has it exactly backwards, in every possible way. His impulse is to protect the least competitive industries and discourage those that hold the greatest economic promise. Right across the board he has it completely wrong.
 
If the duties do apply to finished products, analyst Gene Munster speculated Apple's costs to make Macs and iPhones could rise as much as 0.2 percent, assuming the tax is a percentage of the steel and aluminum used in the devices.

Which means the selling price to the consumer will go up 2%.
 
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Where is this President School you talk about? Did Obama go to it?

It's called, "Listening to your Advisors." Pretty rudimentary stuff. However, when one's President is a Textbook Narcissistic Oligarch with a Grandiose Personality Disorder, and is a Pathological Liar with the attention span of a 2 year old it can be hard to defend ones allegiance. ;)
 
I wonder, are you old enough to remember when the "cheap junk" label was applied to everything made in Japan? For decades Japan was said to make nothing (except cameras) that wasn't a poor knockoff of a better product made in the U.S. or elsewhere. It seems ridiculous now, but this was definitely the case until the 1970s at least. Take this a little further forward to Japan's "economic miracle" of the 1980s. Supposedly they had national economic planning all figured out and were going to utterly dominate world economics for decades to come. Instead, within ten years they'd slipped into an economic malaise from which they still have not emerged.

The point being, economic trends have a way of shifting, and fast, and most economic policy is about fighting the last war. Tariffs are, especially, because they are intended to protect industries that have become noncompetitive on world markets, and not for no reason. Politically it can be popular to talk about "saving" these industries, but in reality, they can only be put on a kind of life support. That's the most protectionism can offer, and it comes at a tall price.

Economics is going to be dislocating, that is how it works. The way to handle the human costs is by understanding how the next war will be fought, not the last one. This is where Trump has it exactly backwards, in every possible way. His impulse is to protect the least competitive industries and discourage those that hold the greatest economic promise. Right across the board he has it completely wrong.
I am not quite old enough to remember when Japanese-made stuff was junk but I remember them being a powerhouse in the 80’s. And that’s only after they stopped making junk. They made some good things in the 80’s and became synonymous with quality.

Meanwhile, I don’t know what factors were in play when they were making cheap junk, since I was a baby then and I don’t recall it being covered in depth when I was in school, but I don’t recall their cheap products dominating in our country the way the Chinese stuff does now.

We only really started losing jobs to Japan when they started making good stuff. It helped that they had already gotten some experience at making economy cars when our gas crisis hit in the 70’s. That’s when my neighbor ditched his big American car for a little bitty Datsun.

Anyway, I’m not saying tarrifs are the answer or any answer whatsoever. I’m just pointing out that some of the people who voted for Trump don’t deserve the derision and dismissals they’ve been getting. These are desperate people left behind by the loss of domestic manufacturing jobs.

And I’m saying that there are things that the Chinese sell to us not because they are better or even more efficient. They’re cheaper. That’s it. And it’s not good for the consumer or the environment. Especially if there are domestic factories or factories in other nations that can make these things with less pollution and less waste and make them a higher quality.

But right now the Chinese and their cheaper steel and cheaper labor and cheaper quality output is really entrenched in our economy in a way the Japanese never quite managed. That’s causing problems we don’t have an immediate remedy for. I can understand some people wanting to trust Trump with a shot at it. Even if I think their hope is misplaced.

Every party and politician has had a hand in not preparing their constituents properly for all of the necessary changes and adjustments. Some of that is due to corruption and incompetence and some of it is due to the fact that the economy is complicated and there are many pieces to it that are at cross purposes at any given moment.

I do NOT trust Trump to have any answers at this point. However, if he somehow manages to pull a few out of his hat, I don’t trust the media and the people with entrenched anger and resentment over his presidency to acknowledge that he even made an effort. Especially any successful ones.
 
I am not quite old enough to remember when Japanese-made stuff was junk but I remember them being a powerhouse in the 80’s. And that’s only after they stopped making junk. They made some good things in the 80’s and became synonymous with quality.

Meanwhile, I don’t know what factors were in play when they were making cheap junk, since I was a baby then and I don’t recall it being covered in depth when I was in school, but I don’t recall their cheap products dominating in our country the way the Chinese stuff does now.

We only really started losing jobs to Japan when they started making good stuff. It helped that they had already gotten some experience at making economy cars when our gas crisis hit in the 70’s. That’s when my neighbor ditched his big American car for a little bitty Datsun.

Anyway, I’m not saying tarrifs are the answer or any answer whatsoever. I’m just pointing out that some of the people who voted for Trump don’t deserve the derision and dismissals they’ve been getting. These are desperate people left behind by the loss of domestic manufacturing jobs.

And I’m saying that there are things that the Chinese sell to us not because they are better or even more efficient. They’re cheaper. That’s it. And it’s not good for the consumer or the environment. Especially if there are domestic factories or factories in other nations that can make these things with less pollution and less waste and make them a higher quality.

But right now the Chinese and their cheaper steel and cheaper labor and cheaper quality output is really entrenched in our economy in a way the Japanese never quite managed. That’s causing problems we don’t have an immediate remedy for. I can understand some people wanting to trust Trump with a shot at it. Even if I think their hope is misplaced.

Every party and politician has had a hand in not preparing their constituents properly for all of the necessary changes and adjustments. Some of that is due to corruption and incompetence and some of it is due to the fact that the economy is complicated and there are many pieces to it that are at cross purposes at any given moment.

I do NOT trust Trump to have any answers at this point. However, if he somehow manages to pull a few out of his hat, I don’t trust the media and the people with entrenched anger and resentment over his presidency to acknowledge that he even made an effort. Especially any successful ones.

Japan's postwar economy was based on low cost production. I well remember how many found it galling in the '60s and '70s that they became so adept at producing electronics for a fraction of the cost of U.S. products. They weren't better, just a lot cheaper. Since then their manufacturers have chased lower costs of production elsewhere, just as ours have, which means offshoring. Japan's economy will never be as large as China's, but that's just a function of demographic and natural resources.

I well understand the economic distresses of dislocation and certainly don't discount it. What that calls for is more right answers, not more wrong answers.
 
I don't know if this really is good... or bad... but I would be hugely surprised if Trump backs down. His overarching MAGA directive has so far proven effective.

For sure this is not a positive thing. Free market economies are open and unregulated. If Trump starts this, Europe, Asia and others will react accordingly in a different market area - so nothing is won as other US companies will suffer on behalf of the steel industry. I assumed, at least for economics, that Trump would have acted smarter, e.g. only banning certain countries like China who actually are doing price dumping at all. For sure Europe with it‘s extremely high wages and production costs wouldn’t be able to underprice US companies...so why start a tariff war with us?

MAGA didn’t fail up until now as till yesterday it didn’t oppose directly other economies as it was mostly centered on actions within the US only. This obviously will now change I assume as it will cause a reaction that will than also hit the US economically spoken. My thoughts and fears...
 
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Not when it is done specifically against dumpers.
Which these aren't. They're against everyone, including allies in Europe. I'd rather we just cut our ridiculous military aid to them (we defend them more than they defend themselves). But yes, I'd get behind an anti-China tariff, even if only for environmental reasons.

For the issue of China also attacking all our businesses there while copying everything: This has to be handled more subtly, in ways that make Americans avoid Chinese products for non-economic reasons. China has managed to do this against American virtual tech. Trump's one of the ugliest businessmen I can think of, so I was kinda hoping he'd know how to take down a competitor, but maybe the only answer is to let them catch up and face the realities themselves as they continue brain-draining into the US and Japan.
[doublepost=1520021527][/doublepost]
It's called, "Listening to your Advisors." Pretty rudimentary stuff. However, when one's President is a Textbook Narcissistic Oligarch with a Grandiose Personality Disorder, and is a Pathological Liar with the attention span of a 2 year old it can be hard to defend ones allegiance. ;)
His advisors are idiots. I don't even dislike Trump that much, more worried about his team.
[doublepost=1520021618][/doublepost]
Which means the selling price to the consumer will go up 2%.
Unless this is just an Apple joke, in theory it'll go up at most the amount of the tariff, probably less.
 
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Last year everybody's favorite did the same thing:

EU Imposes Anti-Dumping Duties on Chinese Steel

BRUSSELS (AP) — THE European Commission has imposed anti-dumping duties on steel products from China to stop them flooding Europe's struggling steel market.

The Commission said Thursday that an investigation has confirmed that Chinese hot-rolled flat steel has been sold in Europe at dumping prices.

The Chinese exports will now be taxed with duties ranging from 18.1 percent to 35.9 percent


https://www.usnews.com/news/busines...-imposes-anti-dumping-duties-on-chinese-steel
 
Good thing I have a Mac mini and iPhone 6, won't be buying anything new Apple anytime soon.

And to think it's cheaper to build product in China and ship it to the US in fossil-fuel CO2 spewing cargo ships is cheaper than producing them here? Something's fishy....
There's no way to avoid buying computers from China. Other things, sure.
 
Trump makes no sense on this issue. Tariffs on natural resources coming in from other countries would make the US economy weaker. We should be having government subsidies for importation of natural resources so we can sell back higher markup products.
 
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Last year everybody's favorite did the same thing:

EU Imposes Anti-Dumping Duties on Chinese Steel
Not the same thing. Against ONE country allegedly dumping.

The UK had opposed such action in the past even if one of their mills was endangered.
 
When you’re paying $1000 for an iPhone the additional 0.2% comes out to $0.20. Call me crazy, but that doesn’t look like a deal breaker.

0.2% of $1000=$2

But the phone does not cost $1000 to make, and aluminium and steel is only a part of the phone, so yes, it probably is closer to a few cents than a few dollars.
 
China has one policy and thats would domination in time so get your head out of the sand and add as many tariffs as we can on China products. China has a 25% tariff on American built cars exported to China.
The world has to change against China and Russia.
Trump is the man to bring back a true western world.
 
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Can you imagine what the reaction would be if Obama used a painter for his self-portrait who depicts the decapitation of white women.

Oh wait he did do that.

The media is working hard every minute of the day to make Trump look bad. The fact is, he really has done nothing wrong. Sure he's a little vulgar, sure he's not politically correct, sure he may have cheated on his wife. He clearly has major character flaws. But the media's clear bias ensures Trump has my vote in 2020.
 
But you Europeans have no room to talk. You are the most trade protectionist tariff laden of them all outside of the European Union. It's about time things get shaken up. The Obama Gravy Train for the world is over. Sorry.
Germany in particular has a particularly egregious trade surplus backed by it's central government. During the crisis, Obama clashed repeatedly with Merkel over it, but ultimately wasn't willing to go 'thermonuclear' (to quote SJ) on it - I assume due to the delicacy of the global economy of the time. Thus Germany has pretty much been allowed to continue this outrageous piggybacking off of other countries (Particularly the US, UK and Canada) who have pursued policies to encourage their consumer spending while Germany has sat back and hoovered up much of the resulting windfall. If Trump is finally willing to act on this toxic issue, then more power to him.

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/busines...heels-world-anger-mounts-toxic-trade-surplus/
 
The problem now is we have a generation of kids whose only skills are selfies, reality star idolization, YouTube video production, and narcissism. Meanwhile you can't find a doctor in my town with the last name of Smith or Jones.

Perhaps it’s because the previous generation drove up the cost of education. It costs 260% more to get a college degree now compared to 1980. That is pricing out America’s youth, and making it so that wealthy foreign nationals are the folks able to afford education here.

With that said, the sky isn’t falling. I can’t take a selfie to save my life, but I can build you a bridge, a factory, and I can help you govern your enterprise.
 
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Tariffs are only a good idea when you have an infant industry that you want to protect until it can compete on its own. Steel and aluminum is part of the past and this is just moving backwards. America should focus on industries and products where it has comparative advantage.

This is doing a disservice to young people instead of training them for the trades and jobs of the future. When this experiment collapses, we will end up will unemployed, frustrated people who will only have experience with metal similar to how laid off coal workers don’t have other skills to adapt to other jobs.

In addition, any such tariffs would mean tariffs imposed on other goods that we produce and cause unnecessary market inefficiencies. Protectionism makes for great populist rhetoric but in practice is a terrible idea.
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Perhaps it’s because the previous generation drove up the cost of education. It costs 260% more to get a college degree now compared to 1980. That is pricing out America’s youth, and making it so that wealthy foreign nationals are the folks able to afford education here.

With that said, the sky isn’t falling. I can’t take a selfie to save my life, but I can build you a bridge, a factory, and I can help you govern your enterprise.

I would not blame foreign nationals. This is just scapegoating. Many of these foreign nationals study here and end up going back to their country. They primarily want to learn English and the prestige of having studied at an American university.

University in Germany is free for all citizens. It’s the American system that is broken with all of the unnecessary costs that American Universities take on like college sports. In Germany there are no college football coaches getting paid million dollar salaries.

In fact it’s often much more affordable for Americans to go get their degrees abroad for a fraction of the cost. The education in Europe is equivalent and in many cases superior. The Europeans who come to study over here are mainly interested in the prestige of the Ivys.
 
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