You are standing by your "absolute terms and all" in the face of contradicting evidence.
As a third party bystander, please feel free to provide citations to relevant scientific literature that support your claims...a personal anecdote NEVER cuts it.
FWIW, one of the things that I recall from my Driver's Ed was the (claimed) statistic that a first year male driver had a "170% chance" of having an accident. When questioned on how this number could be greater than 100%, the explanation was that there were an
average of 1.7 accidents per new driver in their first year. And since I had zero in my first year, that meant that there was some other first year driver that had to have had 3 accidents to make the statistics balance out! Since people don't like to admit mistakes, they don't generally go advertising their accidents and fender-benders unless they're forced to...which means that our perception as to how well people are doing is frequently biased by under-reporting.
Again, your ill-informed opinion. I'm not saying you're ill-informed in general, you do work at a driving school, I'm talking about this opinion. You talk like there are no kids out there with faster learning curves, who don't do stupid things like street race, who don't get tickets, who don't get in accidents, who haven't skillfully evaded accidents about to be caused by others many times when other, older drivers would have gotten into those collisions.
Interestingly, this sounds like a statement that is either being made that is ill-informed about the concept of the entire field of Statistics, or at least a conversational generalization.
The question isn't if there might be
a few younger drivers out there who are really fast learners, really humble and actually proficient - - the real question is what is the expected skill set of the population demographic when taken as a whole. In other words, the "one in a million" tail does not wag the dog, so the statement was based on the average expectation of their performance, instead of the rare exception. And if you want to learn just how poor the average new driver training is in the USA, go read some of the Editorials on this subject that have appeared in
AutoWeek magazine within the past year, such as
this one.
And BTW Badandy, it does utterly no good to claim that you're an "Above Average" driver, because that what we
ALL say. Always, and especially us guys.
If you're really interested in really becoming a better driver, it takes real training, which you can't learn on public roads. Someplace like the 'Accident Avoidance' class at
BSR, which is worth every penny. This past Christmas, I gave my brother a certificate for the one day class.
-hh