Isn't it a given that the XEON parts will have a 1:1 relationship with the i7-970 (3.2GHz) and i7-980 (3.3GHz) which are the talk of the town? Are you expecting lower clocked variants?
Intel's supposed to release 3x 6 core Gulftowns (SP models, so there will be SP Xeons from them as well).
i7-980X, and it's equivalent Xeon are to release March this year (I've seen both March 16th, Q1, and even H1 2010). The i7-970X is to release Q3 2010 (W3675?), and a faster chip in Q1 2011 (presume 3.46GHz; perhaps i7-990X for the consumer part, and either W3685 or W3690 for the Xeon equivalent).
So there will only be 1x SP Xeon that would be possible (W3680). We also know the quantity pricing; $999USD.
It's the DP parts I'm unsure of (exact pricing, but
if it follows with the Nehalems, follow the model numbers).
I found a leaked chart of the P/N's with clocks (no prices though). For example, the E5620 is 2.4GHz. Assuming it's the same price as the E5520, there's a speed boost. But without pricing, we can't be sure on that, as the DP line is separating from the SP lineup to fill enterprise requirements.
On the pricing, I'm predicting a price drop ($500) on the existing CPU's - we all know there's plenty of room for such a drop and they've done some surprising price drops on other products in the last year or so. Do you think that's unlikely?
No, I don't think a price drop is likely. At best, the pricing will carry over, but users get an additional pair of cores per CPU.
But Intel has to pay for the die shrink, and the enterprise market is where thier real profits come from. They've not been lowering the pricing in this market. The value comes from the performance increase.
I expect a mix of 45nm, and 32nm parts, so some of the current models' CPU P/N's may be recycled, otherwise dropped. If this were to happen, it would leave only one SP model, and cost that of the 3.33GHz unit now ($3699USD), assuming there's no increase in margins or other changes that push the price (i.e. graphics card; the RAM speed is still 1066MHz; such items could also lower it, but I'm not expecting that, as it would be consumed as a margin increase IMO). Please understand, the 45nm parts would apply to the SP systems only, as there's no alternatives that would allow for more than a single clock speed if only 32nm parts are used.
DP systems I expect to be 32nm exclusively (wide range of P/N's available; please note, not all are 6 core parts, some are still Quad core).
If the pricing increases from Intel, either Apple's pricing has to increase to cover the difference, or the clocks will be lowered to meet the target MSRP's.
The lack of a quantity price sheet is really making this hard to figure.
Hopefully we will know soon.
I hope so.
