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[WW] Mistings Wars. INSURGENCY WINS

-aggie- said:
Uh, why?

I'm still keeping my vote as is, unless I hear differently from Pluto, but I suggest the rest of y'all look at tweedledum, Rick, Chris, Koods, and Astro as being non-rebels. Having been a WW many times (but for some reason, I never am any more....I really can't remember the last time....around when Jav used to play??), they like to get a bandwagon going, and it really looked like they were doing that from my perspective.
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Definitely keeping my vote for you :p
 
-aggie- said:
Uh, why?

I'm still keeping my vote as is, unless I hear differently from Pluto, but I suggest the rest of y'all look at tweedledum, Rick, Chris, Koods, and Astro as being non-rebels. Having been a WW many times (but for some reason, I never am any more....I really can't remember the last time....around when Jav used to play??), they like to get a bandwagon going, and it really looked like they were doing that from my perspective.
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def sticking to you as my vote. xo

edit: i swear i didn't see astroboy's post above until after i posted my response! jinx!
 
Don't panic said:
this discussion i can partake without interfering with the game. :D
i would also considering going lower, like 1/4 or even 1/3, with the idea of possibly getting a negative answer to clear people.
- with 1/4 in 18 players and 3 ww, if the answer is 'yes' you go up to 25%, if it is no, then it is 3/14, or 21%, but with 4 that are def cleared
- with 1/3, the odds are 33% if it is yes and 20% if it is no (more likely), with 3 cleared players

also with night-only infection like in this game, day 2 ore even 3 could be a good option, as infection is more likely to be used early
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With 18 players, the odds are actually evenly distributed.

Chances of 0/9: 10.3%
Chances of 1/9: 39.7%
Chances of 2/9: 39.7%
Chances of 3/9: 10.3%

You will always find a group with 2 or more bad guys in it this way. I believe this consistency helps mentally because it eliminates possibilities to argue about. By making a small list, you gift wrap an infection list for the WW and much bickering will ensue down the line as to what to do with those 3 or 4.
 
chrmjenkins said:
With 18 players, the odds are actually evenly distributed.

Chances of 0/9: 10.3%
Chances of 1/9: 39.7%
Chances of 2/9: 39.7%
Chances of 3/9: 10.3%

You will always find a group with 2 or more bad guys in it this way. I believe this consistency helps mentally because it eliminates possibilities to argue about. By making a small list, you gift wrap an infection list for the WW and much bickering will ensue down the line as to what to do with those 3 or 4.
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i would just consider the infection a separate issue altogether, so the ones cleared from the initial list (if they survive the nights) are back in the pool.
 
Scepticalscribe said:
Why are you 'sorry'? Because I doubt that you are.

And why do you 'guess' (some idiomatic form of speech, perhaps) that you'll vote for me? Apart from asking whether you actually have a reason for that vote, - and do you? - I also have to query the choice of 'I guess I'll vote' for you. Really? A guess, or a reason?

I don't mind the vote per se (apart from the fact that it is illogical) but I do mind the grammar, and lack of reasoning….
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Because I have nothing to base the vote on. This is a random vote.

I'll change my vote when someone can tell me that jumping on person x would be smart.
 
Don't panic said:
i would just consider the infection a separate issue altogether, so the ones cleared from the initial list (if they survive the nights) are back in the pool.
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You can do it that way, but I think it is best to focus on getting a WW as early as possible in a random scenario. Choosing the most evenly distributed odds is going to give you the best chance of doing so, on average.

You may get a 25% shot if you ask for 1/4, but if you multiply by the odds that the answer is yes and add it to the odds of 3/14 and its odds of being yes, you'll end up less than the average of dividing in half and looking for 2 or more.
 
Moyank24 said:
I believe so. 19 minutes and counting...
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cookie_monster_waiting.gif
 
-aggie- said:
And I didn't miss the fact that you could have saved me. :) Yet, you're on my friend's list??:D

I'll be revealing who I am right before the deadline, so at least you guys will know.
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What's the count? There's still time.

I still remember the game from like 2 years ago, where I killed you with a last minute tie-breaking vote (and you were a good guy). I still feel bad! And it was all Pluto's fault because of him and his stupid ties!
 
Moyank24 said:
What's the count? There's still time.

I still remember the game from like 2 years ago, where I killed you with a last minute tie-breaking vote (and you were a good guy). I still feel bad! And it was all Pluto's fault because of him and his stupid ties!
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Aggie - 4
Ravenvii - 4

Aggie wins the tiebreaker

SS - 2
WoodNUFC - 2
Plutonius - 1

I'm surprised that Ravenvii didn't vote to protect himself
 
Moyank24 said:
What's the count? There's still time.

I still remember the game from like 2 years ago, where I killed you with a last minute tie-breaking vote (and you were a good guy). I still feel bad! And it was all Pluto's fault because of him and his stupid ties!
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It's the same situation. I have 4 and am tied with raven, if the site link DP provided is accurate. It's pretty hard to follow with all the changing votes.
 
Moyank24 said:
which makes me even more doubtful of his guilt. He's a vet. He knows better.
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Like I said, I only voted for raven based on Pluto. Since I haven't been following enough, that was all I had to go by. However, now I'm really wondering about Rick and the others that voted for me. Twieetee is probably innocent, AFAIC, since he changed his vote earlier, but who knows.

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Plutonius said:
You can always change your vote from SS to Aggie to make it a tie.

(Ravenvii still wins the tie breaker)
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And then Raven can save himself.
 
-aggie- said:
Like I said, I only voted for raven based on Pluto. Since I haven't been following enough, that was all I had to go by. However, now I'm really wondering about Rick and the others that voted for me. Twieetee is probably innocent, AFAIC, since he changed his vote earlier, but who knows.

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And then Raven can save himself.
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I don't think he will.
 
Plutonius said:
I don't think he will.
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Why not?

I was going to pull a Melrose, just for fun, if the votes for me were overwhelming.

Edit: Well, it's too late now. I'd like some advice as to what roles should be revealed in this game, if any. I'm game to reveal mine, if it's one of them.

Edit2: And Mo pulled the same thing she did two years ago. Wow! Thanks so much again, SS!
 
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