My educated guess about the Macbook Nano
I know there was huge initial demand for eeepc's too. (Everyone is sold out, basically.) But beyond the initial "cool" factor of a little tiny portable with solid state flash memory, I don't see the big deal for most people?
This subnotebook from Apple sounds like it'll fill a similar niche market. Despite all the talk about "huge pent up demand" for a small notebook from Apple, I'm not really convinced it's true.
The thing is, you can ask the "average user" if they'd like to own a thin, light and tiny notebook and they almost always say "Yeah! That'd be great!" But once they sit down and use such a thing for a while, the complaints start pouring in. "The screen is giving me eye-strain!" "I wish the keyboard wasn't so cramped for space!" "This thing is too slow!" "I have to carry around external devices all the time to plug into it!" "I wish I had more drive space in it!" "Such and such broke on it, and nobody can do service work on it but the manufacturer, and the parts are back-ordered for weeks!"
Sure, it will be ideal for a few people. But I wager MOST people will find more usability in something like a 15" Macbook Pro or current Macbook -- even though the styling and "hype" will make a lot of people WANT to own it, at first.
I can see SJ speaking at Macworld now, saying "The thing is, you can ask the "average user" if they'd like to own a thin, light and tiny notebook and they almost always say "Yeah! That'd be great!" But once they sit down and use such a thing for a while, the complaints start pouring in." Then he would go on to list some of the reasons you said, and then say "We knew this, and our engineers took this into account when producing the Macbook Nano."
Do you really think Apple will produce some crappy laptop? Either they won't make it, or they will do it right. That's why it took so long for the iPhone to come along. They wanted to do it right, despite it's small problems so far. I expect the same from this.
Companies like STEC based in Santa Ana are working on somthing called "MLC" NAND SSDs with 90MB/s read / 60MB/s write speeds which is faster then laptop hard drives. These drives will range from 32gb to 512gb. Yes, you heard right, 512gb ssd! They are also saying that this new "MLC" (which apparently stands for Multi Level Cell based) will also cause the prices of such devices to drop. The largest 1.8" drive they produce is 128gb, which is the minimum I would expect to see in a Macbook Nano. Storage problem solved.
With the Intel Penryn mobile processors being released on January 6th, expect high speed, low power processors for the Macbook Nano. Speed problem solved.
Now we come to physical size. It is small, there's no changing that. But Apple's genius comes from their ability to create amazing UI's and software. Perhaps we will see a large touch pad area beneath the keyboard for multi-touch input. Perhaps a magnifying glass sort of popup such as the iPhone's for text, but this could be a tricky implementation to pull off. It would be difficult to strike an aesthetic and functional balance with that approach, but it's just a starting point as far as I'm concerned for what they could do.
As for me and many people I know who have small laptops, they bring them to class to take notes, which is great, and then when they're at home doing graphics design or editing photographs, they plug it into a larger LCD and a full size keyboard. Even my grandpa does this with his laptop. I would expect the Macbook Nano to come with a dock that would include a display out, headphone/speaker port, and perhaps a few usb ports for keyboard, superdrive etc. The dock would of course charge the system, and perhaps the superdrive could be implemented into the dock itself. I think that could be a simple, functional design when implemented properly by Apple engineers.
So here are my Macbook Nano specs:
Base Configuration
Intel Penryn Core 2 Duo T9300 2.5GHz 800MHz 6MB
1440x900 12" screen
2gb (not sure, but probably 800mhz, DDR3? can't remember)
64gb SSD
Geforce 9 mobile (although this isn't slated until February)
Dock with Superdrive (doubt Blu-Ray or HD-DVD, no clear winner yet, Apple will leave these options up to 3rd parties)
Not for certain on the 2.5ghz T9300. They may use the 2.1 or 2.4ghz T8100 and T8300. I just doubted that as those two have a lower 3mb of cache, which is lower then current Macbook models. However, these models may be more power efficient, so perhaps they could be used in this system.
Macworld will be really fun this year! I hope they demo some iPhone apps created from the SDK. I'm sure Google and Facebook are already working on them. Google has had the SDK from day one. Expect an updated Maps with the new cell-tower gps system at the least. With the latest MMS app for iPhone, we should also see MMS added, at least by February. 3g iPhone? Meh...don't have 3g coverage at my university anyway.
Sorry if this was long and covered some things already discussed, I just thought someone might appreciate having several of the issues around this new sub-notebook addressed, with the information around the internets compiled into something that could become a product. Either way I am buying an Apple laptop in January!