I actually think there are a reasonable number of people whose primary camera is now their phone and would like the latest and greatest camera system. How many of them will pay the upgrade cost remains to be seen, more than 0.000005% but it doesn't feel like this is going to be a line-around-the-block year. I have my X, that's still absolutely fine, my wife is now on a hand-me-down iPhone 6 which doesn't even get iOS 13.
This year seems to be pitched at everyone who held out during the X and then the Xs/Xr years and whose phone is now 3+ years old to upgrade. Let's see how well they do with that .. definite pass here unless I break the old one.