The fact that Apple hasn't changed status or sent ship notices with less than 48 hrs before scheduled deliveries tell you that things haven't gone as expected. I have no confidence in UPS being able to deliver anything much less a million phones the same day. I am not expecting to get any notices from Apple before Friday.
Nope, tells you nothing. You are making assumptions where there is no data. Last year I got no notices of any kind, and yet the phone was delivered launch day....by UPS.