I'd like to think that most iPhone owners wouldn't be seen dead at Walmart
Around here, WalMart is open 24x7, making it convenient when you need something after most retailers close for the evening. They also have a house brand of flavored water that I like. I'll just pay cash for that now.
Here's my short summary of the situation and my predictions:
CVS, WalMart, Rite Aid, Lowe's, etc entered into MCX and signed multi-year exclusivity arrangements years ago, dating back to 2012 in some cases.
NFC transactions were such a non-entity until Apple Pay that the fact that Google Wallet and NFC credit card worked wasn't even a blip on the radar. Apple Pay and the media buzz around it drew attention to the fact that it was working at some of the member's stores. This caused MCX to wave the exclusivity agreement and tell them to shut NFC down.
My guess is that CVS is well and truly stuck. They likely want to support NFC, but can't since it violates their exclusivity agreement. And, after the very public backlash, I'd imagine that most of the MCX partners are collectively crapping their pants, not wanting to be in that same, glaring spotlight. The ones who never enabled NFC on their terminals are probably happy that they made that decision. CVS is taking almost all the heat on this. It will be interesting to see how many MCX members cave when their agreements expire. My prediction is that Target - with one foot already out the door - is just chomping at the bit to embrace the NFC payments as much as they have embraced in-app payments.
Once the general public learns these basic facts, they won't want anything to do with CurrentC:
- CurrentC is the competing mobile payment technology that these merchants are speaking of.
- CurrentC requires giving your your bank account info, social security number, and driver's license number to MCX establish an account - an identity thief's wet dream
- It debits your bank account via NCH, which has almost no consumer protections covering unauthorized transactions
- Nearly 25% of the CurrentC proponents/MCX members have been breached in recent years, losing customer records
- Your purchases, health info (!), and other data will be shared to augment their marketing efforts (you are the product)
Once they additionally learn that Apple Pay and Google Wallet offer much more security than swiping a card OR using chip & pin, and that Apple isn't tracking/selling your purchase history, and when they remember that fraud protections with Apple Pay/Google Wallet are the same that they have always expected, they will want to use those technologies.
Now, you need to remember that MCX isn't trying to pick a fight with Apple & Google, but rather the credit card companies.. In reality, the MCX merchants are aligning themselves against Apple, Google, Mastercard, Visa, and American Express. Even for Walmart, that's a pretty big gang to stare down. That group could not only remove CurrentC from their App Stores and virtually ensure that CurrentC dies, but they could also restrict or outright prohibit them from accepting the overwhelming majority of credit cards worldwide. I'm not saying that either of these outcomes are likely -- there is, after all, a lot of money involved here -- but they are certainly taking a serious gamble with dire circumstances amongst the possibilities. Remember that the push for chip and pin in 2015 is NOT due to legislation or regulation, but rather the credit card folks saying that liability for fraud will be transferred to the merchants themselves. Nothing says that they can't require NFC as a part of that requirement as well.
If they insist on sticking with this, in a few years, the overwhelming majority of smartphone owners will not only know how ruinous CurrentC could be (has been?) to their financial well being, but will likely all have upgraded NFC-capable phones and will have been using them.
My prediction: CurrentC will fold as merchants cave to the consumer pressure and abandon MCX. Most, if not all, will get on board with secure payment technology, which at the moment means Apple Pay, and, to a lesser extent, Google Wallet.