I'm not really sure what a new Apple TV is supposed to bring? I love new tech and I have 1x Apple TV (4th Gen.) and 2x Apple TV 4K (5th Gen.) and I love them and I'm always looking forward to something new.
But what is a new Apple TV supposed to bring at this point? New SoC doesn't feel necessary at this point in time as there are no performance issues with the current generation.
People seems to hate on the remote but it feels unnecessary to bring a whole new Apple TV just to bring a new remote. And personally besides typing (where I simply use Siri/Dictation or my phone anyways) the touch is really great for scrubbing. Navigating through all the content within Netflix, tv+, Plex, YouTube etc is much more fluid using accelerated touch gestures that is actually tracking pretty good compared to using a regular up/down, left/right type of navigation.
There are three things I feel would improve my Apple TV experience:
- Support for hardware decoding of Google's VP9 Profile 3 codec.
This will be a requirement in order to support 4K and HDR on YouTube. The hardware is capable of doing it through software (that's how Infuse is capable of playing back downloaded VP9 Profile 3 content without dropping frames) but I think Google require it to be done in hardware for it to be supported through the official YouTube app.
- Support for hardware decoding of AV1.
This might actually be a way for Apple to support 4K and HDR on YouTube without supporting Google's own VP9 codec as Google, Netflix, Amazon etc are all planning on adapting AV1 as a successor to VP9 and HEVC. I doubt Apple will start utilising AV1 themselves anytime soon but as most of the other services are showing heavy interest for AV1 it would be bad for Apple to fall behind in-terms of having support for the best quality that the various services has to offer. It also looks like AV1 is going to be the default codec for 8K content for the time being, not that 8K really matters much at this point.
- Support for HDMI2.1.
With HDMI2.1 Apple can get features such as VRR, Content Matching, eARC etc.. using the official standards within the HDMI Alliance instead of having to use their own quirky ways of getting all this to work that may or may not work with various third-parties. This also opens up for Apple to support Dolby Vision IQ.
But for some reason I feel like a Apple TV released in the first half of 2020 is too early for Apple to adopt AV1 and they are not going to adopt VP9 as Google's licensing requirements is just not something Apple will ever agree upon. Making my first two points on my wish-list very unlikely.
A new Apple TV would most likely just give us a new SoC as Apple doesn't want to produce the older SoC used in the current Apple TV no more and hopefully we would get HDMI2.1 but that would be it. And providing HDMI2.1 doesn't mean much as the HDMI Alliance is very liberal so 90% of all the features coming with HDMI2.1 is up to each manufacturer to implement. Apple could go with HDMI2.1 without having any of the known features enabled.
I like your post, way to layout the different factors of why you think at this point we are just going to get a refreshed SoC on the new Apple TV.
I am just like you...I love new tech, and also own one AppleTV HD and one AppleTV 4K, and neither one of them breaks a sweat throwing what I do at it.
I agree with most of what you say (especially about the codecs, and HDMI 2.1) however, I just do not see Apple releasing a simple SoC refresh, and that is it, I mean that is essentially what they did with the ATV 4K but obviously added a huge feature in 4K/Dolby Atmos/DolbyVision. I feel like they will definitely include HDMI 2.1, but like you said, that may turn out to be not so much, or it could turn out to be everything we want out of HDMI 2.1.
I think Apple will/has too surprise us with some great new features, otherwise what is going to entice anyone, especially those with the AppleTV 4K to upgrade, and those on the AppleTV HD that are looking to upgrade could probably just buy a reduced price AppleTV 4K. Also, those that do not have an Apple TV yet...there has to be something enticing them to buy one, or they can just pick up a reduced price ATV HD or 4K.
So to me, there has to be something Apple is going to add hardware and feature wise to make this a product worth upgrading to, or for buying your first Apple TV.
Obviously just my opinion, however, I do agree with everything you said about VP9 and AV1. It would be awesome if this new Apple TV had support for AV1, but like you said...not likely at all. Maybe they will put some great hardware in there, capable of AV1, and once they adopt AV1 (or if they are working on it now and it is just not ready) a simple software update could "unlock it" sort of speak...simply guessing now???
