Yes, and the 3GS sells for $99 which is subsidized by several hundred dollars by a 2 year contract, there is no way apple is going to sell an ipod touch for $99, that would absolutely murder their margins. Thats almost the same price as a shuffle.
The 3GS 8GB currently on sale is supposed to cost around 150-170 bucks in parts, down from 200-250 for the 3GS 16 the year before and the current iP4 16. A big part of the difference will actually be the memory, although the cheaper screen and camera module contribute. Battery and logic board will be virtually the same price. Case is not included in those estimates, so will be an additional savings.
In the iPT line, unless they introduce the iP4 case design (which seems unlikely), the difference between 4G 32 and 3G 16 will be, again, the screen, camera, and the Flash. The major reason why they kept the lowest end iPhone and lowest end iPT on the previous generation hardware is simple -- they want a bigger differentiation between the medium and the low than just the 8 vs 16 GB. It's a way to shore up sales of the higher-margin mid-end model while simultaneously shoring up the margins of the low-end model.
They've done it for the iPhone last year, for the iPod Touch last year, and for the iPhone this year. I see no reason whatsoever why they wouldn't do it for the iPod Touch this year.
Apple has always had multiple iPod lines that fall into different price categories. At present it's the shuffle, nano, classic and iPod touch. The entry level iPod touch being different technology to it's two higher priced ipod touch brethren is a bizarre anomaly in apples iPod line up
It isn't, really. It's following the practice set and continued by the iPhone line. iPhone and the iPods may not share an overarching product name, but I think it's fairly clear even to disinterested outside observers that the iPods and the iPhones are linked lines.
In having said all that - each of us has an opinion and no one knows what apple releases tomorrow, so good luck to you with your prediction (as an aapl stockholder i hope your wrong).
Here's my half cent:
- iPod Touch gets Retina Display and at least one camera, and thus facetime. Possibly just the VGA front. It retains the iPT form factor. The lineup will be 3G 16, 4G 32, 4G 64, just like the iPhone (except with more flash chips). Pricing might drop slightly for the 3 models, but not much.
- no 3G iPod Touch.
- iPod Nano will be the square touch based thing. The 3G Nano shows that Apple is not afraid to try new form factors. It will not run iOS. It will not have WiFi. It will be cheaper than current Nanos.
- The shuffle will either stay relatively unchanged, or move to being a clip-on model that will be in the place of the current remote control. Or, it vanishes entirely, and the Nano is priced appropriately.
- Apple will announce the white iPhone 4 and my longstanding order will be fulfilled by Wednesday.[1]
I remain ready to be surprised, though.
[1] All right, that's wishful thinking.
No, it makes it a smaller format iPad+3G. It would likely have the same data plans as the iPad.
That is exactly what an iPhone 4 with the right SIM card is, too, though. Production costs would be exactly the same as an iPhone 4 for an iP4 based iPT with 3G. Therefore sale prices would also be the same. That means $600-$800. No, that's just not gonna happen.