Depends on what you ordered. I can see movement on my wife's Rose Gold 7 ordered on apple.com via UPS MyChoice, but when she checks the order Apple still stays that it hasn't shipped. Also, it's coming from China, whereas I imagine Best Buy pre-orders will be coming from a US shipment center (already here), not direct from the factory in China, so they wouldn't need to ship as early. And as for my 7 Plus black ordered via apple.com, no movement, though I expected that with a quote of Oct 4-10, which is why I also ordered one from Best Buy.
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Hope so. So... basically, we won't know about the status of our orders until it's already too late to get in line at our local Apple Store? I heard people start lining up Thursday mornings and if you wait until late Thursday night you may already be 30-50 people back in line.
Your iPhone 7, iPhone 7 Plus, or Apple Watch Series 1/Series 2 will not go into shipping status until after customer service is closed on Thursday night. This means that you probably won't have time, or be able to, cancel the order on Friday and get it at an Apple Store either if you are using some sort of Carrier Upgrade eligibility like AT&T Next.
In all honesty, it seems like the best way is the Apple yearly program. But that requires you paying an additional 5 bucks a month for AppleCare+. However, even that had issues with the upgrade this year through Apple.
I am just keeping my fingers crossed the information I got from Best Buy Customer Service is accurate.