Opinions??? Dude, the physical damage does not lie....It is crystal clear that the damage was caused by an impact. Where you are going to lose your claim is that little white spot of crushed glass at the point of impact....
I understand that the guy is upset, he accidentally smashed his iPad and he's come up with the bullshiit story and has all these people buying his story and offering to help him out. Bottom line, there's no way in hell that his iPad spontaneously shattered from an obvious impact point. He knows it didn't happen that way but I guess he feels if he gets enough people to fall for his fantasy, it will somehow bolster his case. I really hope Apple doesn't replace it for free. I've heard many stories of people breaking their iPads or iPhones shortly after getting them, but instead of coming up with a bullshiit story, they just tell the truth to the Apple store and sometimes get lucky with a sympathetic employee.
Well I suppose it's a good thing you cynics won't be reviewing his claim. Sometimes parts go bad. I've seen ram modules with exploded chips that started a small smoldering fire and the first "genius" said it was water damage. We called it in and explained this happened while his daughter had it on her lap. They sent a box and repaired it immediately. There is no way to definitively call this user damage from a picture on the Internet. Sometimes things just break.
Besides he's a Canadian. They're all polite and can't lie... Can they?
Cheers,