I already expended a large amount of energy debating a CDMA iPhone in these forums earlier this year before I finally bit the bullet and switched from Verizon to AT&T so I can get my iPhone.
In other words, you have a heavy emotional investment in the possibility of a CDMA iPhone, and your comments are likely colored accordingly. Thank you for this disclaimer.
1. Myth: It is really difficult to develop a CDMA version of the iPhone. Fact: No it's not. Many other companies develop phones with both radios. Blackberry is now developing dual-mode world phones.
Yes they are, and yet they lack a lot of features of the current iPhone: the memory, the screen, the accelerometer, the WiFi, the external speaker, the separate DSPs for video and audio playback, for example. All of these things take up critical space in a space-challenged form factor. If there was room to spare, we'd have a 32GB iPhone already. We might even have a CDMA world edition iPhone. But, we don't.
Can you make an iPhone for CDMA and GSM/UMTS/HSPA? Absolutely... but it won't have the same level of features in the same package. Not with the current technology. In 18 months? Maybe.
2. Myth: Apple wouldn't make much money on this deal becasue CDMA is not a world standard. Fact: Verizon has 60 million customers. Need I say more...
Yeah, you do, actually. A LOT more. Not all 60 million customers are going to get iPhones. And at this point, Verizon has spent quite a lot of time turning on its propaganda machine on
why you don't need an iPhone. that would be pretty tough to suddenly reverse course.
3. Myth: AT&T has a 5 year exclusivity agreement as announced when the original iPhone came out. Fact: There was NEVER an official announcement.
I'm not so sure that if the reports were incorrect, Apple would let them stand. AT&T might have a motive to keep a lack of exlcusivity secret, but Apple wouldn't.
5. Myth: Because Verizon rebuffed Apple the first time they were approached, Verizon won't talk to Apple again (or vice versa). Fact: Since when did big business let emotion get in the way of a money-making deal?
Since Steve Jobs was CEO, that's since when.
I'm not discounting that there may eventually be a Verizon iPhone. But I don't think it'll be next year. And even in 2010, don't expect it to be the same iPhone as on AT&T. There WILL be changes, and they probably won't be good ones. And the ideologies of the two companies (VZW and Apple) will clash significantly because their corporate cultures each dictate that
they know better. When you have two self proclaimed know-it-alls at the negotiating table, the results are never pretty.
Don't expect any possible marriage of the two to be an fuzzy, friendly one.